SSC Napoli vs AC Milan, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SSC Napoli vs AC Milan — Serie A at Diego Armando Maradona.
- SSC Napoli 5 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
- AC Milan 5 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniele Doveri
- Assistant 1 Giovanni Baccini
- Assistant 2 Valerio Colarossi
3 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 4.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | AC Milan | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Mar | Cagliari Calcio | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | US Lecce | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Mar | Torino FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Feb | Hellas Verona FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Feb | Atalanta BC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | SSC Napoli | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | Torino FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Mar | SS Lazio | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Mar | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Mar | US Cremonese | A | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | Parma Calcio 1913 | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| SSC Napoli | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #5 |
| 7 | Points | 11 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 2 / 1 / 2 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 0 |
| 7 | Scored | 10 |
| 6 | Conceded | 4 |
| +1 | GD | +6 |
| 1.40 | PPG | 2.20 |
| 40% | Win % | 60% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
SSC Napoli this season
SSC Napoli this season
40%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
SSC Napoli are 9th (7 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SSC Napoli
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SSC Napoli
| Rasmus Hojlund | 2 G | |
| Kevin De Bruyne | 1 G | 1 A |
| Matteo Politano | 1 G | |
| Antonio Vergara | 1 G |
AC Milan
| Diego Moreira | 3 G | |
| Adrien Rabiot | 2 G | 2 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 G | |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' SSC Napoli have kicked off against AC Milan. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Antonio Conte might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' With 3 assists to his name this season, Miguel Gutierrez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Milan.
- 12' A moment of madness from Alessandro Buongiorno on 12 minutes earns him a card. SSC Napoli will be frustrated.
- 17' The home supporters are growing impatient. SSC Napoli must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 22' SSC Napoli are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against AC Milan's 3-5-2 shape.
- 27' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 32' AC Milan have won 609 goals from 521 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 37' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 42' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SSC Napoli and AC Milan are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 47' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 52' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Leonardo Spinazzola suffering a number of foals already.
- 57' SSC Napoli started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 57.
- 62' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Alexis Saelemaekers is withdrawn and Zachary Athekame gets his opportunity.
- 63' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Niclas Fullkrug exits the field as Santiago Gimenez enters on 63.
- 68' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Antonio Conte will be considering his options from the bench.
- 70' SSC Napoli make a change. Giovane Nascimento trudges off to be replaced by Alisson Santos on 70 minutes.
- 74' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Christopher Nkunku is withdrawn and Christian Pulisic gets his opportunity.
- 79' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Matteo Politano makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 81' SSC Napoli player sees a card in front of him.
- 82' Fikayo Tomori makes way for Ruben Loftus-Cheek at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
- 85' Eljif Elmas is replacing Kevin De Bruyne for the SSC Napoli side.
- 90' A quiet spell here at Diego Armando Maradona. SSC Napoli seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. SSC Napoli take all three points.
Lineups
SSC Napoli Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
11
Kevin De Bruyne ↓ Eljif Elmas 85'
- 8
- 99
- 68
- 37
- 32
- 4
- 17
- 3
-
5
Juan Jesus ↓ Sam Beukema 85'
- 23
Bench
- 30
-
20
Eljif Elmas ↑ 85'
- 1
-
21
Matteo Politano ↑ 74'
-
31
Sam Beukema ↑ 85'
- 14
- 6
-
27
Alisson Santos ↑ 70'
Coach
Antonio Conte
AC Milan Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 23
- 12
- 18
-
19
Youssouf Fofana ↓ Rafael Leao 82'
- 16
- 9
- 14
- 56
- 31
- 5
- 33
Bench
-
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek ↑ 82'
-
10
Rafael Leao ↑ 82'
-
11
Christian Pulisic ↑ 74'
- 1
- 2
- 4
- 30
-
7
Santiago Gimenez ↑ 63'
- 27
- 96
-
24
Zachary Athekame ↑ 62'
Coach
Massimiliano Allegri
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Matteo Politano | 5 |
| Olivier Giroud | 5 |
| Dries Mertens | 3 |
| Giacomo Bonaventura | 2 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Piotr Zielinski | 2 |
| Franck Kessie | 2 |
Head to Head
SSC Napoli Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.06
SSC Napoli xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
SSC Napoli or AC Milan 71% + Under 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SSC Napoli win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
SSC Napoli or Draw
70%
Draw or AC Milan
59%
SSC Napoli or AC Milan
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
13.6%
0 – 1
11.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
6.9%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 3
2.8%
0 – 3
2.5%
3 – 1
2.5%
Asian Handicap — SSC Napoli
| Handicap | SSC Napoli covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 19% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 20% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

