SSC Napoli vs AC Milan, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SSC Napoli vs AC Milan — Serie A at Diego Armando Maradona.
- SSC Napoli 38 games · 76 pts (2026/27)
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniele Doveri
- Assistant 1 Giovanni Baccini
- Assistant 2 Valerio Colarossi
3 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 3.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | AC Milan | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Mar | Cagliari Calcio | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | US Lecce | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Mar | Torino FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Feb | Hellas Verona FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Feb | Atalanta BC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | SSC Napoli | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | Torino FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Mar | SS Lazio | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Mar | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Mar | US Cremonese | A | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | Parma Calcio 1913 | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| SSC Napoli | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #5 |
| 76 | Points | 70 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 23 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 20 / 10 / 8 |
| 58 | Scored | 53 |
| 36 | Conceded | 35 |
| +22 | GD | +18 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 1.84 |
| 61% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
SSC Napoli are 2nd (76 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. SSC Napoli is hosting AC Milan for another epic battle.
- 5' It’s high time Massimiliano Allegri made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' SSC Napoli seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 12' The referee shows SSC Napoli player a card on 12.
- 17' Supporters expect more eagerness from Adrien Rabiot, as he is very good at scoring at Diego Armando Maradona with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 22' Scott McTominay has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 39 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 27' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 32' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 37' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Mike Maignan has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 42' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Vanja Milinkovic-Savic made 236 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 47' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Zachary Athekame suffering a number of foals already.
- 52' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 57' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 62' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Alexis Saelemaekers is replaced by Zachary Athekame on 62 minute.
- 63' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Niclas Fullkrug is replaced by Santiago Gimenez.
- 68' SSC Napoli is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 70' SSC Napoli manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alisson Santos is hanging Giovane Nascimento on the field on 70 minute.
- 74' The whistle greets Christopher Nkunku as he departs to be replaced by Christian Pulisic.
- 79' Goal! Matteo Politano scores his 43 goal in 485 matches.
- 81' That looks like a foul for a card for Matteo Politano.
- 82' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ruben Loftus-Cheek is hanging Fikayo Tomori on the field on 82 minute.
- 85' Eljif Elmas is replacing Kevin De Bruyne for the SSC Napoli side.
- 90' Juan Jesus needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- Another three points for SSC Napoli.
Lineups
SSC Napoli Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
11
Kevin De Bruyne ↓ Eljif Elmas 85'
- 8
- 99
- 68
- 37
- 32
- 4
- 17
- 3
-
5
Juan Jesus ↓ Sam Beukema 85'
- 23
Bench
- 30
-
20
Eljif Elmas ↑ 85'
- 1
-
21
Matteo Politano ↑ 74'
-
31
Sam Beukema ↑ 85'
- 14
- 6
-
27
Alisson Santos ↑ 70'
Coach
Antonio Conte
AC Milan Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 23
- 12
- 18
-
19
Youssouf Fofana ↓ Rafael Leao 82'
- 16
- 9
- 14
- 56
- 31
- 5
- 33
Bench
-
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek ↑ 82'
-
10
Rafael Leao ↑ 82'
-
11
Christian Pulisic ↑ 74'
- 1
- 2
- 4
- 30
-
7
Santiago Gimenez ↑ 63'
- 27
- 96
-
24
Zachary Athekame ↑ 62'
Coach
Massimiliano Allegri
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Matteo Politano | 5 |
| Olivier Giroud | 5 |
| Dries Mertens | 3 |
| Piotr Zielinski | 2 |
| Romelu Lukaku | 2 |
| Giacomo Bonaventura | 2 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
Head to Head
SSC Napoli Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.28
SSC Napoli xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SSC Napoli win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.13
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
SSC Napoli or Draw
78%
Draw or AC Milan
51%
SSC Napoli or AC Milan
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.2%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.8%
2 – 0
9.3%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.9%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 2
1.6%
Asian Handicap — SSC Napoli
| Handicap | SSC Napoli covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 24% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 15% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.