Saturday , 14 November 2026

AC Milan vs AS Roma, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
1 – 1
Full Time
Sun 29 Dec 2024 · 19:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza 74,283 HT 45' · FT 45'
Tijjani Reijnders 16' 1–0
1–1 23' Paulo Dybala

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs AS Roma — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

  • AC Milan 11 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
  • AS Roma 11 games · 27 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Fabbri
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Costanzo
  • Assistant 2 Valerio Vecchi
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 2.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec AS Roma H 1–1 D
20 Dec Hellas Verona FC A 1–0 W
15 Dec Genoa CFC H 0–0 D
11 Dec FK Crvena Zvezda H 2–1 W
06 Dec Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
30 Nov Empoli FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec AC Milan A 1–1 D
22 Dec Parma Calcio 1913 H 5–0 W
15 Dec Como 1907 A 0–2 L
12 Dec Sporting Clube de Braga H 3–0 W
07 Dec US Lecce H 4–1 W
02 Dec Atalanta BC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

AC Milan AS Roma
#4 Position #3
24 Points 27
11 Played 11
7 / 3 / 1 W / D / L 8 / 3 / 0
23 Scored 31
13 Conceded 10
+10 GD +21
2.18 PPG 2.45
64% Win % 73%

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
55% Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season

AC Milan are 4th (24 pts). AS Roma are 3rd (27 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AS Roma
0-15
4/1
16-30
5/1
31-45
5/–
46-60
4/4
61-75
4/–
76+
8/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Adrien Rabiot 5 G 4 A
Alphadjo Cisse 5 G
Diego Moreira 4 G 3 A
Christian Pulisic 4 G 1 A
Goncalo Ramos 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and AC Milan launch into their encounter with AS Roma.
  • 4' AS Roma receives a card for a hard tackle on 4.
  • 9' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AC Milan and AS Roma are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 13' AS Roma receives a card for a hard tackle on 13.
  • 16' Tijjani Reijnders makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and AC Milan are in front.
  • 21' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 23' Goal! Paulo Dybala scores his 90 goal in 534 matches.
  • 28' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 33' It looks surprising AS Roma does not make any changes. Manu Kone has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 38' The 30-year-old Lorenzo Pellegrini has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 43' The referee shows AC Milan player a card on 43.
  • 44' A moment of madness from Alvaro Morata on 44 minutes earns him a card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
  • 46' The whistle greets Mats Hummels as he departs to be replaced by Zeki Celik.
  • 51' A quiet spell here at Giuseppe Meazza. AS Roma seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 61' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mats Hummels, as he is very good at scoring at Giuseppe Meazza with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 62' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Samuel Chukwueze is replaced by Tammy Abraham on 62 minute.
  • 67' The referee shows AS Roma player a card on 67.
  • 71' AS Roma receives a card for a hard tackle on 71.
  • 76' AS Roma fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 79' AS Roma ring the changes. Alexis Saelemaekers has done his job and it is now time for Stephan El Shaarawy to step up.
  • 82' The referee shows AC Milan player a card on 82.
  • 86' The AS Roma bench stirs into life. Artem Dovbyk is withdrawn and Eldor Shomurodov gets his opportunity.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Matteo Gabbia argues furiously but the card stands.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.42 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 AS Roma xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or AS Roma 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan39% Draw27% AS Roma34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
66%
Draw or AS Roma
61%
AC Milan or AS Roma
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan27% Draw45% AS Roma28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
8%
0 – 0
7.5%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 0
7.1%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push AS Roma covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 19% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 19% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.