AC Milan vs AS Roma, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Michael Fabbri
- Assistant 1 Alessandro Costanzo
- Assistant 2 Valerio Vecchi
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 2 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 3 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
| 4 | FC Internazionale Milano | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SSC Napoli | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Como 1907 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Juventus FC | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Atalanta BC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Bologna FC 1909 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | SS Lazio | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Torino FC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Cagliari Calcio | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | ACF Fiorentina | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | US Lecce | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | AC Monza | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Venezia FC | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | Frosinone Calcio | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec | AS Roma | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Dec | Hellas Verona FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Dec | Genoa CFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Dec | FK Crvena Zvezda | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Dec | Atalanta BC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Nov | Empoli FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec | AC Milan | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Dec | Parma Calcio 1913 | H | 5–0 | W |
| 15 Dec | Como 1907 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Dec | Sporting Clube de Braga | H | 3–0 | W |
| 07 Dec | US Lecce | H | 4–1 | W |
| 02 Dec | Atalanta BC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | AS Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #6 |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0 | Played | 0 |
| 0 / 0 / 0 | W / D / L | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| 0 | Scored | 0 |
| 0 | Conceded | 0 |
| +0 | GD | +0 |
| – | PPG | – |
| – | Win % | – |
Key Stats
83%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 8th (0 pts). AS Roma are 6th (0 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and AC Milan launch into their encounter with AS Roma.
- 4' A moment of madness from Kouadio Kone on 4 minutes earns him a card. AS Roma will be frustrated.
- 9' Supporters expect more eagerness from Malick Thiaw, as he is very good at scoring at Giuseppe Meazza with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
- 13' Mats Hummels is having his name booked by the referee on 13.
- 16' A stunning finish from Tijjani Reijnders — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 21' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 23' Against the run of play, Paulo Dybala has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 28' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 28 minutes.
- 33' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Alex Jimenez has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 38' Youssouf Fofana has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 4 cards already picked up this season.
- 43' The referee has no hesitation. Theo Hernandez is booked for AC Milan — card on 43.
- 44' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alvaro Morata on 44 minutes.
- 46' Zeki Celik is replacing Mats Hummels for the AS Roma side.
- 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Emerson Royal made 475 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 61' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alvaro Morata is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Milan.
- 62' Tammy Abraham has so much to prove this time. He replaces Samuel Chukwueze on 62 minute.
- 67' That is a card for AS Roma. Leandro Paredes will be fuming at that decision.
- 71' Zeki Celik has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 71.
- 76' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paulo Fonseca will be considering his options from the bench.
- 79' Fresh legs for AS Roma! Stephan El Shaarawy comes on to replace Alexis Saelemaekers.
- 82' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Tijjani Reijnders gets a card.
- 86' Eldor Shomurodov has so much to prove this time. He replaces Artem Dovbyk on 86 minute.
- 90' The referee shows AC Milan player a card on 90.
- 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 22
- 7
- 29
- 16
- 19
- 21
- 46
- 28
- 42
- 20
Bench
-
90
Tammy Abraham ↑ 62'
- 23
- 2
- 57
-
4
Ismael Bennacer ↑ 46'
- 31
- 33
- 18
-
73
Francesco Camarda ↑ 86'
- 96
- 30
Coach
Paulo Fonseca
AS Roma Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3
-
15
Mats Hummels ↓ Zeki Celik 46'
- 5
- 21
- 23
- 16
- 99
- 56
-
11
Artem Dovbyk ↓ Eldor Shomurodov 86'
-
17
Manu Kone ↓ Lorenzo Pellegrini 46'
- 61
Bench
-
19
Zeki Celik ↑ 46'
- 22
-
7
Lorenzo Pellegrini ↑ 46'
-
92
Stephan El Shaarawy ↑ 79'
-
14
Eldor Shomurodov ↑ 86'
- 28
- 12
- 59
- 35
- 18
- 26
- 66
- 89
- 70
Coach
Claudio Ranieri
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 5 |
| Franck Kessie | 3 |
| Tammy Abraham | 3 |
| Olivier Giroud | 3 |
| Gianluca Mancini | 3 |
| Jordan Veretout | 2 |
| Leandro Paredes | 2 |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.72
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.42
AS Roma xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 88% + Under — clean sheet likely 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 1.14
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 1.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 2.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 3.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
| ± 4.5 | 1% |
|
99% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
80%
Draw or AS Roma
61%
AC Milan or AS Roma
60%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
34.8%
1 – 0
21.2%
0 – 1
11.7%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
2.5%
1 – 2
2.1%
3 – 0
1.8%
3 – 1
1%
2 – 2
1%
0 – 3
0.3%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | AS Roma covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 9% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 25% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 14% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 3% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
66%
✗
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
49%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

