Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs AS Roma, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
1 – 1
Full Time
Sun 29 Dec 2024 · 19:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza 74,283 HT 45' · FT 45'
Tijjani Reijnders 16' 1–0
1–1 23' Paulo Dybala

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs AS Roma — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Fabbri
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Costanzo
  • Assistant 2 Valerio Vecchi

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec AS Roma H 1–1 D
20 Dec Hellas Verona FC A 1–0 W
15 Dec Genoa CFC H 0–0 D
11 Dec FK Crvena Zvezda H 2–1 W
06 Dec Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
30 Nov Empoli FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec AC Milan A 1–1 D
22 Dec Parma Calcio 1913 H 5–0 W
15 Dec Como 1907 A 0–2 L
12 Dec Sporting Clube de Braga H 3–0 W
07 Dec US Lecce H 4–1 W
02 Dec Atalanta BC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

AC Milan AS Roma
#5 Position #1
11 Points 13
5 Played 5
3 / 2 / 0 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 0
10 Scored 14
4 Conceded 3
+6 GD +11
2.20 PPG 2.60
60% Win % 80%

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
60% Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season

AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). AS Roma are 1st (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AS Roma
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and AC Milan launch into their encounter with AS Roma.
  • 4' Kouadio Kone has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 4.
  • 9' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 13' It’s gonna be a card for Mats Hummels.
  • 16' Against the run of play, Tijjani Reijnders has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 21' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 23' The deadlock is broken! Paulo Dybala gets on the scoresheet on 23 minutes.
  • 28' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 33' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 38' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 43' Theo Hernandez picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 44' A moment of madness from Alvaro Morata on 44 minutes earns him a card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
  • 46' Another change for AS Roma made on 46 minute. Mats Hummels leaves to be changed by Zeki Celik.
  • 51' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Milan in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past AS Roma's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 56' AC Milan is showing some good football. However, AC Milan are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 61' AC Milan are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against AS Roma's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 62' Tammy Abraham has so much to prove this time. He replaces Samuel Chukwueze on 62 minute.
  • 67' It’s gonna be a card for Leandro Paredes.
  • 71' It’s a booking for AS Roma player. Zeki Celik gets a card.
  • 76' With 0 assists to his name this season, Stephan El Shaarawy is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Milan.
  • 79' Another change for AS Roma made on 79 minute. Alexis Saelemaekers leaves to be changed by Stephan El Shaarawy.
  • 82' AC Milan receives a card for a hard tackle on 82.
  • 86' AS Roma manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Eldor Shomurodov is hanging Artem Dovbyk on the field on 86 minute.
  • 90' The referee shows AC Milan player a card on 90.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.19 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 AS Roma xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or AS Roma 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan38% Draw30% AS Roma32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
68%
Draw or AS Roma
62%
AC Milan or AS Roma
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan25% Draw50% AS Roma25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.7%
1 – 0
10.1%
0 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3%
1 – 3
2.9%
3 – 0
2.5%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push AS Roma covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.