Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs AS Roma, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
1 1
Full Time
Sun 29 Dec 2024 · 19:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza 74,283 HT 45' · FT 45'
Tijjani Reijnders 16' 1–0
1–1 23' Paulo Dybala

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs AS RomaSerie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Fabbri
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Costanzo
  • Assistant 2 Valerio Vecchi

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec AS Roma H 1–1 D
20 Dec Hellas Verona FC A 1–0 W
15 Dec Genoa CFC H 0–0 D
11 Dec FK Crvena Zvezda H 2–1 W
06 Dec Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
30 Nov Empoli FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec AC Milan A 1–1 D
22 Dec Parma Calcio 1913 H 5–0 W
15 Dec Como 1907 A 0–2 L
12 Dec Sporting Clube de Braga H 3–0 W
07 Dec US Lecce H 4–1 W
02 Dec Atalanta BC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

AC Milan AS Roma
#8 Position #6
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 8th (0 pts). AS Roma are 6th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and AC Milan launch into their encounter with AS Roma.
  • 4' A moment of madness from Kouadio Kone on 4 minutes earns him a card. AS Roma will be frustrated.
  • 9' Supporters expect more eagerness from Malick Thiaw, as he is very good at scoring at Giuseppe Meazza with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 13' Mats Hummels is having his name booked by the referee on 13.
  • 16' A stunning finish from Tijjani Reijnders — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 21' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 23' Against the run of play, Paulo Dybala has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 28' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 28 minutes.
  • 33' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Alex Jimenez has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 38' Youssouf Fofana has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 4 cards already picked up this season.
  • 43' The referee has no hesitation. Theo Hernandez is booked for AC Milan — card on 43.
  • 44' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alvaro Morata on 44 minutes.
  • 46' Zeki Celik is replacing Mats Hummels for the AS Roma side.
  • 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Emerson Royal made 475 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 61' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alvaro Morata is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Milan.
  • 62' Tammy Abraham has so much to prove this time. He replaces Samuel Chukwueze on 62 minute.
  • 67' That is a card for AS Roma. Leandro Paredes will be fuming at that decision.
  • 71' Zeki Celik has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 71.
  • 76' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paulo Fonseca will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 79' Fresh legs for AS Roma! Stephan El Shaarawy comes on to replace Alexis Saelemaekers.
  • 82' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Tijjani Reijnders gets a card.
  • 86' Eldor Shomurodov has so much to prove this time. He replaces Artem Dovbyk on 86 minute.
  • 90' The referee shows AC Milan player a card on 90.
  • 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.72 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.42 AS Roma xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 88% + Under — clean sheet likely 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan39% Draw40% AS Roma21%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes20% 0% No80%
Avg goals/match: 1.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 65%
35%
± 1.5 32%
68%
± 2.5 12%
88%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
80%
Draw or AS Roma
61%
AC Milan or AS Roma
60%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan20% Draw70% AS Roma10%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
34.8%
1 – 0
21.2%
0 – 1
11.7%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
2.5%
1 – 2
2.1%
3 – 0
1.8%
3 – 1
1%
2 – 2
1%
0 – 3
0.3%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push AS Roma covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 9% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 25% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 14% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
66%
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
49%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.