Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs AS Roma, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
AC Milan
1 – 1
Full Time
AS Roma
Sun 29 Dec 2024 · 19:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza 74,283 HT 45' · FT 45'
Tijjani Reijnders 16' 1–0
1–1 23' Paulo Dybala
Y 4' Manu Kone
Y 13' Mats Hummels
Theo Hernandez 43' Y
Alvaro Morata 44' Y
Y 67' Leandro Paredes
Y 71' Zeki Celik
Tijjani Reijnders 82' Y
Matteo Gabbia 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs AS Roma — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

  • AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
  • AS Roma 38 games · 73 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Fabbri
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Costanzo
  • Assistant 2 Valerio Vecchi
4 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Internazionale Milano 38 87
2 SSC Napoli 38 76
3 AS Roma 38 73
4 Como 1907 38 71
5 AC Milan 38 70
6 Juventus FC 38 69
7 Atalanta BC 38 59
8 Bologna FC 1909 38 56
9 SS Lazio 38 54
10 Udinese Calcio 38 50
11 US Sassuolo Calcio 38 49
12 Parma Calcio 1913 38 45
13 Torino FC 38 45
14 Cagliari Calcio 38 43
15 ACF Fiorentina 38 42
16 Genoa CFC 38 41
17 US Lecce 38 38
18 US Cremonese 38 34
19 Hellas Verona FC 38 21
20 AC Pisa 1909 38 18

Head-to-Head

8
6
4
AC Milan 18 games · Avg 2.9 goals AS Roma
Last 5 meetings
2024-12-29 AC Milan 1–1 AS Roma 2024-04-18 AS Roma 2–1 AC Milan 2024-04-11 AC Milan 0–1 AS Roma 2024-01-14 AC Milan 3–1 AS Roma 2023-09-01 AS Roma 1–2 AC Milan

Recent Form

AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec AS Roma H 1–1 D
20 Dec Hellas Verona FC A 1–0 W
15 Dec Genoa CFC H 0–0 D
11 Dec FK Crvena Zvezda H 2–1 W
06 Dec Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
30 Nov Empoli FC H 3–0 W
AS Roma
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec AC Milan A 1–1 D
22 Dec Parma Calcio 1913 H 5–0 W
15 Dec Como 1907 A 0–2 L
12 Dec Sporting Clube de Braga H 3–0 W
07 Dec US Lecce H 4–1 W
02 Dec Atalanta BC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

AC Milan AS Roma
#5 Position #3
70 Points 73
38 Played 38
20 / 10 / 8 W / D / L 23 / 4 / 11
53 Scored 59
35 Conceded 31
+18 GD +28
1.84 PPG 1.92
53% Win % 61%

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). AS Roma are 3rd (73 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. AC Milan host AS Roma — let the battle begin!
  • 4' A moment of madness from Kouadio Kone on 4 minutes earns him a card. AS Roma will be frustrated.
  • 9' Mats Hummels has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 13' The referee has no hesitation. Mats Hummels is booked for AS Roma — card on 13.
  • 16' Tijjani Reijnders doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 21' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 23' Against the run of play, Paulo Dybala has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 28' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AS Roma backline.
  • 33' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 38' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 43' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Theo Hernandez on 43 minutes.
  • 44' Alvaro Morata is having his name booked by the referee on 44.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Mats Hummels as he leaves the pitch. Zeki Celik steps in for AS Roma.
  • 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Leandro Paredes is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Milan.
  • 56' AS Roma are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 61' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Lorenzo Pellegrini has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 62' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Samuel Chukwueze by Tammy Abraham on 62 minute.
  • 67' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Leandro Paredes.
  • 71' Zeki Celik has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 71.
  • 76' Matteo Gabbia is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AC Milan so far.
  • 79' Another change for AS Roma made on 79 minute. Alexis Saelemaekers leaves to be changed by Stephan El Shaarawy.
  • 82' It’s gonna be a card for Tijjani Reijnders.
  • 86' Time for substitution for AS Roma. Artem Dovbyk is replaced by Eldor Shomurodov.
  • 90' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Matteo Gabbia gets a card.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Paulo Fonseca

AS Roma Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Claudio Ranieri

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Zlatan Ibrahimovic 5
Franck Kessie 3
Tammy Abraham 3
Olivier Giroud 3
Gianluca Mancini 3
Jordan Veretout 2
Leandro Paredes 2
Alexis Saelemaekers 2

Head to Head

2024-12-29 AC Milan 1–1 AS Roma 2024-04-18 AS Roma 2–1 AC Milan 2024-04-11 AC Milan 0–1 AS Roma 2024-01-14 AC Milan 3–1 AS Roma 2023-09-01 AS Roma 1–2 AC Milan

AC Milan Form

2024-12-29 AC Milan 1–1 AS Roma D 2024-12-20 Hellas Verona FC 0–1 AC Milan W 2024-12-15 AC Milan 0–0 Genoa CFC D 2024-12-11 AC Milan 2–1 FK Crvena Zvezda W 2024-12-06 Atalanta BC 2–1 AC Milan L 2024-11-30 AC Milan 3–0 Empoli FC W

AS Roma Form

2024-12-29 AC Milan 1–1 AS Roma D 2024-12-22 AS Roma 5–0 Parma Calcio 1913 W 2024-12-15 Como 1907 2–0 AS Roma L 2024-12-12 AS Roma 3–0 Sporting Clube de Braga W 2024-12-07 AS Roma 4–1 US Lecce W 2024-12-02 AS Roma 0–2 Atalanta BC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.26 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 AS Roma xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan42% Draw30% AS Roma28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
72%
Draw or AS Roma
58%
AC Milan or AS Roma
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan28% Draw51% AS Roma21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.9%
1 – 0
12.1%
0 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push AS Roma covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.