AC Milan vs AS Roma, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Michael Fabbri
- Assistant 1 Alessandro Costanzo
- Assistant 2 Valerio Vecchi
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec | AS Roma | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Dec | Hellas Verona FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Dec | Genoa CFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Dec | FK Crvena Zvezda | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Dec | Atalanta BC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Nov | Empoli FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec | AC Milan | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Dec | Parma Calcio 1913 | H | 5–0 | W |
| 15 Dec | Como 1907 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Dec | Sporting Clube de Braga | H | 3–0 | W |
| 07 Dec | US Lecce | H | 4–1 | W |
| 02 Dec | Atalanta BC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | AS Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #1 |
| 11 | Points | 13 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 3 / 2 / 0 | W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 0 |
| 10 | Scored | 14 |
| 4 | Conceded | 3 |
| +6 | GD | +11 |
| 2.20 | PPG | 2.60 |
| 60% | Win % | 80% |
Key Stats
83%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
60%
Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season
AS Roma this season
AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). AS Roma are 1st (13 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AS Roma
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Diego Moreira | 3 G | |
| Adrien Rabiot | 2 G | 2 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 G | |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 G | 1 A |
AS Roma
| Donyell Malen | 6 G | |
| Matias Soule | 2 G | 1 A |
| Manu Kone | 2 G | |
| Niccolo Pisilli | 2 G | |
| Mario Hermoso | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and AC Milan launch into their encounter with AS Roma.
- 4' Kouadio Kone has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 4.
- 9' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 13' It’s gonna be a card for Mats Hummels.
- 16' Against the run of play, Tijjani Reijnders has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 21' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 23' The deadlock is broken! Paulo Dybala gets on the scoresheet on 23 minutes.
- 28' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 33' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 38' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 43' Theo Hernandez picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 44' A moment of madness from Alvaro Morata on 44 minutes earns him a card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
- 46' Another change for AS Roma made on 46 minute. Mats Hummels leaves to be changed by Zeki Celik.
- 51' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Milan in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past AS Roma's compact 3-4-2-1.
- 56' AC Milan is showing some good football. However, AC Milan are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 61' AC Milan are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against AS Roma's 3-4-2-1 shape.
- 62' Tammy Abraham has so much to prove this time. He replaces Samuel Chukwueze on 62 minute.
- 67' It’s gonna be a card for Leandro Paredes.
- 71' It’s a booking for AS Roma player. Zeki Celik gets a card.
- 76' With 0 assists to his name this season, Stephan El Shaarawy is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Milan.
- 79' Another change for AS Roma made on 79 minute. Alexis Saelemaekers leaves to be changed by Stephan El Shaarawy.
- 82' AC Milan receives a card for a hard tackle on 82.
- 86' AS Roma manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Eldor Shomurodov is hanging Artem Dovbyk on the field on 86 minute.
- 90' The referee shows AC Milan player a card on 90.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 22
- 7
- 29
- 16
- 19
- 21
- 46
- 28
- 42
- 20
Bench
-
90
Tammy Abraham ↑ 62'
- 23
- 2
- 57
-
4
Ismael Bennacer ↑ 46'
- 31
- 33
- 18
-
73
Francesco Camarda ↑ 86'
- 96
- 30
Coach
Paulo Fonseca
AS Roma Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3
-
15
Mats Hummels ↓ Zeki Celik 46'
- 5
- 21
- 23
- 16
- 99
- 56
-
11
Artem Dovbyk ↓ Eldor Shomurodov 86'
-
17
Manu Kone ↓ Lorenzo Pellegrini 46'
- 61
Bench
-
19
Zeki Celik ↑ 46'
- 22
-
7
Lorenzo Pellegrini ↑ 46'
-
92
Stephan El Shaarawy ↑ 79'
-
14
Eldor Shomurodov ↑ 86'
- 28
- 12
- 59
- 35
- 18
- 26
- 66
- 89
- 70
Coach
Claudio Ranieri
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 5 |
| Franck Kessie | 3 |
| Tammy Abraham | 3 |
| Olivier Giroud | 3 |
| Gianluca Mancini | 3 |
| Leandro Paredes | 2 |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | 2 |
| Paulo Dybala | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.19
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
AS Roma xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan or AS Roma 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
68%
Draw or AS Roma
62%
AC Milan or AS Roma
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.7%
1 – 0
10.1%
0 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3%
1 – 3
2.9%
3 – 0
2.5%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | AS Roma covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 20% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 19% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

