Saturday , 14 November 2026

AS Roma vs AC Milan, Europe 2023-24 QUARTER FINALS

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
2 – 1
Full Time
Thu 18 Apr 2024 · 19:00 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Rome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AS Roma vs AC Milan — Europe at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

Match Details

  • Referee Szymon Marciniak
10 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 7.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr AC Milan H 2–1 W
11 Apr AC Milan A 1–0 W
06 Apr SS Lazio H 1–0 W
01 Apr US Lecce A 0–0 D
17 Mar US Sassuolo Calcio H 1–0 W
14 Mar Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr AS Roma A 1–2 L
14 Apr US Sassuolo Calcio A 3–3 D
11 Apr AS Roma H 0–1 L
06 Apr US Lecce H 3–0 W
30 Mar ACF Fiorentina A 2–1 W
17 Mar Hellas Verona FC A 3–1 W

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Alphadjo Cisse 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Stadio Olimpico, Rome. Ninety minutes of football awaits between AS Roma and AC Milan.
  • 5' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Christian Pulisic is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Milan tonight.
  • 12' Goal! Gianluca Mancini scores his 31 goal in 536 matches.
  • 17' Both keepers have barely been tested. AS Roma and AC Milan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 22' Paulo Dybala makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and AS Roma are in front.
  • 27' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 28' Romelu Lukaku makes way for Tammy Abraham at the 28 minute mark. A tactical switch from AS Roma.
  • 31' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Zeki Celik.
  • 36' It looks like no one’s ball. AS Roma is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 40' The crowd applauds Ismael Bennacer as he leaves the pitch. Luka Jovic steps in for AC Milan.
  • 43' The AS Roma bench stirs into life. Paulo Dybala is withdrawn and Diego Llorente gets his opportunity.
  • 46' Matteo Gabbia was booked on 46.
  • 46' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Tijjani Reijnders comes on to replace Davide Calabria.
  • 51' A moment of madness from Yacine Adli on 51 minutes earns him a card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
  • 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 61' AC Milan come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 66' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 69' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Christian Pulisic is replaced by Noah Okafor.
  • 74' AS Roma started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 74.
  • 77' That is a card for AC Milan. Luka Jovic will be fuming at that decision.
  • 82' The AS Roma bench stirs into life. Edoardo Bove is withdrawn and Renato Sanches gets his opportunity.
  • 85' Matteo Gabbia adds to his 0 season tally! AC Milan lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 86' The referee has no hesitation. Davide Calabria is booked for AC Milan — card on 86.
  • 90' Fikayo Tomori picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • AC Milan will have plenty to reflect on. AS Roma were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.43 AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma46% Draw27% AC Milan27%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

AS Roma or Draw
73%
Draw or AC Milan
54%
AS Roma or AC Milan
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Roma29% Draw47% AC Milan24%
Actual: AS Roma win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
9.1%
0 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
7.1%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — AS Roma

Handicap AS Roma covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

AS Roma keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.