Sunday , 16 August 2026

AS Roma vs AC Milan, Europe 2023-24 QUARTER FINALS

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
2 1
Full Time
Thu 18 Apr 2024 · 19:00 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Rome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AS Roma vs AC MilanEurope at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

Match Details

  • Referee Szymon Marciniak
14 games this season 🟨 1.5/game 5.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr AC Milan H 2–1 W
11 Apr AC Milan A 1–0 W
06 Apr SS Lazio H 1–0 W
01 Apr US Lecce A 0–0 D
17 Mar US Sassuolo Calcio H 1–0 W
14 Mar Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr AS Roma A 1–2 L
14 Apr US Sassuolo Calcio A 3–3 D
11 Apr AS Roma H 0–1 L
06 Apr US Lecce H 3–0 W
30 Mar ACF Fiorentina A 2–1 W
17 Mar Hellas Verona FC A 3–1 W

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

AS Roma
Donyell Malen 4 G
Lorenzo Pellegrini 3 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. AC Milan get us underway at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.
  • 5' Fikayo Tomori has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' AS Roma seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 12' Gianluca Mancini makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and AS Roma are in front.
  • 17' The energy levels are beginning to show. Stefano Pioli might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 22' Goal! Paulo Dybala scores his 90 goal in 519 matches.
  • 27' AS Roma is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 28' The AS Roma manager makes a substitution. Romelu Lukaku departs to be replaced by Tammy Abraham.
  • 31' The referee shows AS Roma player a card on 31.
  • 36' AS Roma started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 36.
  • 40' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luka Jovic is hanging Ismael Bennacer on the field on 40 minute.
  • 43' AS Roma manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Diego Llorente is hanging Paulo Dybala on the field on 43 minute.
  • 46' That looks like a foul for a card for Matteo Gabbia.
  • 46' The whistle greets Davide Calabria as he departs to be replaced by Tijjani Reijnders.
  • 51' Yacine Adli has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 51.
  • 56' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 61' The 29-year-old Zeki Celik has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 66' Argentina international Leandro Paredes has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 69' Noah Okafor is replacing Christian Pulisic for the AC Milan side.
  • 74' Supporters expect more eagerness from Romelu Lukaku, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Olimpico, Rome with 13 goals in the last 13 games.
  • 77' AC Milan player sees a card in front of him.
  • 82' Another substitution for AS Roma to replace Edoardo Bove by Renato Sanches on 82 minute.
  • 85' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Matteo Gabbia makes it 2-1.
  • 86' That is a card for AC Milan. Davide Calabria will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Fikayo Tomori. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • Full Time. AS Roma beats AC Milan

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.43 AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma46% Draw27% AC Milan27%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

AS Roma or Draw
73%
Draw or AC Milan
54%
AS Roma or AC Milan
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Roma29% Draw47% AC Milan24%
Actual: AS Roma win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
9.1%
0 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
7.1%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — AS Roma

Handicap AS Roma covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

AS Roma keeps clean sheet
30%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.