AS Roma vs AC Milan, Europe 2023-24 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Szymon Marciniak
9 games this season
🟨 2.9/game
⚽ 7.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympique Lyonnais | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa FC | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | FC Midtjylland | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Betis Balompié | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | KRC Genk | 8 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna FC 1909 | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvárosi TC | 8 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest FC | 8 | 14 |
| 14 | FC Viktoria Plzen | 8 | 14 |
| 15 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 14 |
| 16 | RC Celta de Vigo | 8 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK Thessaloniki FC | 8 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille OSC | 8 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahçe SK | 8 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos AO | 8 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic FC | 8 | 11 |
| 22 | PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 10 |
| 24 | SK Brann | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | BSC Young Boys | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | SK Sturm Graz | 8 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB Bukarest | 8 | 7 |
| 28 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 8 | 6 |
| 30 | FC Basel 1893 | 8 | 6 |
| 31 | FC Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers FC | 8 | 4 |
| 33 | OGC Nice | 8 | 3 |
| 34 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv FC | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | AC Milan | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Apr | AC Milan | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | SS Lazio | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Apr | US Lecce | A | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Mar | US Sassuolo Calcio | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | AS Roma | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Apr | US Sassuolo Calcio | A | 3–3 | D |
| 11 Apr | AS Roma | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | US Lecce | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | ACF Fiorentina | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Mar | Hellas Verona FC | A | 3–1 | W |
Key Stats
83%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Events
Match Events
- 0' AS Roma have kicked off against AC Milan. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Daniele De Rossi might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' It looks surprising AS Roma does not make any changes. Lorenzo Pellegrini has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 12' What a strike from Gianluca Mancini! The score is 1-0.
- 17' Over 17 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 22' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Paulo Dybala makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 27' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 28' The AS Roma bench stirs into life. Romelu Lukaku is withdrawn and Tammy Abraham gets his opportunity.
- 31' A meaty challenge results in booking for Zeki Celik on 31.
- 36' Rafael Leao, a Portugal , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 40' AC Milan ring the changes. Ismael Bennacer has done his job and it is now time for Luka Jovic to step up.
- 43' Time for substitution for AS Roma. Paulo Dybala is replaced by Diego Llorente.
- 46' It’s gonna be a card for Matteo Gabbia.
- 46' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tijjani Reijnders is hanging Davide Calabria on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Yacine Adli gets a card.
- 56' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AS Roma needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 61' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 66' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 69' Noah Okafor is ready to make an impact after coming on for Christian Pulisic at the 69 minute mark.
- 74' AS Roma are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 77' Luka Jovic was booked on 77.
- 82' AS Roma ring the changes. Edoardo Bove has done his job and it is now time for Renato Sanches to step up.
- 85' GOAL! Matteo Gabbia scores on 85. Assisted by Rafael Leao
- 86' Poor challenge from Davide Calabria. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Fikayo Tomori.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for AC Milan.
Lineups
AS Roma Lineups
Starting XI
-
90
Romelu Lukaku ↓ Tammy Abraham 28'
- 6
- 19
-
21
Paulo Dybala ↓ Diego Llorente 43'
- 23
- 37
-
7
Lorenzo Pellegrini ↓ Angelino 82'
- 92
- 16
- 99
-
52
Edoardo Bove ↓ Renato Sanches 82'
Bench
-
69
Angelino ↑ 82'
-
9
Tammy Abraham ↑ 28'
- 1
- 22
-
20
Renato Sanches ↑ 82'
-
14
Diego Llorente ↑ 43'
- 2
- 17
- 63
- 59
- 35
- 67
Coach
Daniele De Rossi
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 8
- 23
- 16
- 10
-
11
Christian Pulisic ↓ Noah Okafor 69'
- 19
- 2
-
4
Ismael Bennacer ↓ Luka Jovic 40'
- 46
- 80
Bench
-
14
Tijjani Reijnders ↑ 46'
- 7
-
15
Luka Jovic ↑ 40'
-
21
Samuel Chukwueze ↑ 46'
-
42
Alessandro Florenzi ↑ 69'
- 57
-
17
Noah Okafor ↑ 69'
- 28
- 38
- 69
- 95
- 85
Coach
Stefano Pioli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 5 |
| Franck Kessie | 3 |
| Tammy Abraham | 3 |
| Olivier Giroud | 3 |
| Gianluca Mancini | 3 |
| Ante Rebic | 2 |
| Jordan Veretout | 2 |
| Leandro Paredes | 2 |
Head to Head
AS Roma Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.43
AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AS Roma win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
AS Roma or Draw
73%
Draw or AC Milan
54%
AS Roma or AC Milan
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AS Roma win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
9.1%
0 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
7.1%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — AS Roma
| Handicap | AS Roma covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 21% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 17% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

