Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs AS Roma, Europe 2023-24 QUARTER FINALS

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
0 1
Full Time
Thu 11 Apr 2024 · 19:00 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs AS RomaEurope at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
16 games this season 🟨 1.7/game 5.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr AS Roma H 0–1 L
06 Apr US Lecce H 3–0 W
30 Mar ACF Fiorentina A 2–1 W
17 Mar Hellas Verona FC A 3–1 W
14 Mar SK Slavia Praha A 3–1 W
10 Mar Empoli FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr AC Milan A 1–0 W
06 Apr SS Lazio H 1–0 W
01 Apr US Lecce A 0–0 D
17 Mar US Sassuolo Calcio H 1–0 W
14 Mar Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 0–1 L
10 Mar ACF Fiorentina A 2–2 D

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

AS Roma
Donyell Malen 4 G
Lorenzo Pellegrini 3 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — AC Milan and AS Roma get this one started.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Christian Pulisic made 521 appearances and scored 68 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 17' GOAL! Gianluca Mancini scores on 17. Assisted by Paulo Dybala
  • 17' It’s gonna be a card for Stefano Pioli.
  • 22' AC Milan is showing some good football. However, AC Milan are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 27' A quiet spell here at Giuseppe Meazza. AC Milan seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 32' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 33' A meaty challenge results in booking for Christian Pulisic on 33.
  • 38' Bryan Cristante was booked on 38.
  • 43' AS Roma come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 48' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 53' AS Roma is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 58' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 59' The crowd applauds Ismael Bennacer as he leaves the pitch. Yacine Adli steps in for AC Milan.
  • 63' Yacine Adli was booked on 63.
  • 68' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AS Roma backline.
  • 73' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ruben Loftus-Cheek on 73.
  • 78' Samuel Chukwueze is ready to make an impact after coming on for Christian Pulisic at the 78 minute mark.
  • 81' Tammy Abraham gets the nod from AS Roma. He replaces Paulo Dybala and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' Leandro Paredes, a Argentina , has 4 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 89' Another substitution for AS Roma to replace Lorenzo Pellegrini by Houssem Aouar on 89 minute.
  • 90' AS Roma ring the changes. Leandro Paredes has done his job and it is now time for Edoardo Bove to step up.
  • 0-1 the final result. AC Milan will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.26 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 AS Roma xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan43% Draw30% AS Roma27%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
73%
Draw or AS Roma
57%
AC Milan or AS Roma
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan29% Draw52% AS Roma19%
Actual: AS Roma win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.2%
1 – 0
12.6%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push AS Roma covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 23% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
39%
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.