Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs AS Roma, Europe 2023-24 QUARTER FINALS

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
0 – 1
Full Time
Thu 11 Apr 2024 · 19:00 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs AS Roma — Europe at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
11 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 7.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr AS Roma H 0–1 L
06 Apr US Lecce H 3–0 W
30 Mar ACF Fiorentina A 2–1 W
17 Mar Hellas Verona FC A 3–1 W
14 Mar SK Slavia Praha A 3–1 W
10 Mar Empoli FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr AC Milan A 1–0 W
06 Apr SS Lazio H 1–0 W
01 Apr US Lecce A 0–0 D
17 Mar US Sassuolo Calcio H 1–0 W
14 Mar Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 0–1 L
10 Mar ACF Fiorentina A 2–2 D

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! AC Milan welcome AS Roma for this crunch clash at Giuseppe Meazza.
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Milan must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' AS Roma fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 17' Gianluca Mancini has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 17 minutes.
  • 17' Controversy at the stadium! Stefano Pioli argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 22' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 27' Houssem Aouar, a Algeria , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 32' Bryan Cristante has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 33' The referee shows AC Milan player a card on 33.
  • 38' The referee has no hesitation. Bryan Cristante is booked for AS Roma — card on 38.
  • 43' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Milan in their trying to find a way past AS Roma's compact .
  • 48' The travelling AS Roma supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 53' AS Roma seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 58' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 59' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Ismael Bennacer is replaced by Yacine Adli.
  • 63' AC Milan player sees a card in front of him.
  • 68' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 73' That looks like a foul for a card for Ruben Loftus-Cheek.
  • 78' AC Milan make a change. Christian Pulisic trudges off to be replaced by Samuel Chukwueze on 78 minutes.
  • 81' The AS Roma bench stirs into life. Paulo Dybala is withdrawn and Tammy Abraham gets his opportunity.
  • 86' AS Roma have won 617 goals from 530 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 89' AS Roma manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Houssem Aouar is hanging Lorenzo Pellegrini on the field on 89 minute.
  • 90' The AS Roma bench stirs into life. Leandro Paredes is withdrawn and Edoardo Bove gets his opportunity.
  • The points are shared — AC Milan 0-1 AS Roma. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.26 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 AS Roma xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan43% Draw30% AS Roma27%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
73%
Draw or AS Roma
57%
AC Milan or AS Roma
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan29% Draw52% AS Roma19%
Actual: AS Roma win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.2%
1 – 0
12.6%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push AS Roma covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 23% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
29% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.