AC Milan vs AS Roma, Europe 2023-24 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Clement Turpin
16 games this season
🟨 1.9/game
⚽ 7.6 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympique Lyonnais | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa FC | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | FC Midtjylland | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Betis Balompie | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | KRC Genk | 8 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna FC 1909 | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvarosi TC | 8 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest FC | 8 | 14 |
| 14 | FC Viktoria Plzen | 8 | 14 |
| 15 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 14 |
| 16 | RC Celta de Vigo | 8 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK Thessaloniki FC | 8 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille OSC | 8 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahce SK | 8 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos AO | 8 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic FC | 8 | 11 |
| 22 | PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 10 |
| 24 | SK Brann | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | BSC Young Boys | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | SK Sturm Graz | 8 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB Bukarest | 8 | 7 |
| 28 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 8 | 6 |
| 30 | FC Basel 1893 | 8 | 6 |
| 31 | FC Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers FC | 8 | 4 |
| 33 | OGC Nice | 8 | 3 |
| 34 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv FC | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | AS Roma | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | US Lecce | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | ACF Fiorentina | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Mar | Hellas Verona FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | SK Slavia Praha | A | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Mar | Empoli FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | AC Milan | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | SS Lazio | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Apr | US Lecce | A | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Mar | US Sassuolo Calcio | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Mar | ACF Fiorentina | A | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
83%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
30%
Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season
AS Roma this season
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AC Milan to score. At the same time, AS Roma does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' Zeki Celik is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Milan tonight.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 17' GOAL! Gianluca Mancini scores on 17. Assisted by Paulo Dybala
- 17' The referee has no hesitation. Stefano Pioli is booked for AC Milan — card on 17.
- 22' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 22 minutes.
- 27' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 32' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 33' Christian Pulisic has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 33.
- 38' Bryan Cristante is having his name booked by the referee on 38.
- 43' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Milan in their trying to find a way past AS Roma's compact .
- 48' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 53' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mile Svilar made 467 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 58' England international Chris Smalling has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 59' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Ismael Bennacer exits the field as Yacine Adli enters on 59.
- 63' That is a card for AC Milan. Yacine Adli will be fuming at that decision.
- 68' AS Roma are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 73' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ruben Loftus-Cheek.
- 78' AC Milan make a change. Christian Pulisic trudges off to be replaced by Samuel Chukwueze on 78 minutes.
- 81' AS Roma ring the changes. Paulo Dybala has done his job and it is now time for Tammy Abraham to step up.
- 86' Diego Llorente needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 89' It is a substitution in AS Roma team. Lorenzo Pellegrini is replaced by Houssem Aouar on 89 minute.
- 90' AS Roma make a change. Leandro Paredes trudges off to be replaced by Edoardo Bove on 90 minutes.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — AC Milan 0-1 AS Roma.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
- 14
- 9
- 8
- 16
-
10
Rafael Leao ↓ Noah Okafor 78'
- 11
- 19
- 2
-
4
Ismael Bennacer ↓ Yacine Adli 59'
- 46
- 28
Bench
-
7
Yacine Adli ↑ 59'
- 15
- 24
-
21
Samuel Chukwueze ↑ 78'
- 42
- 57
-
17
Noah Okafor ↑ 78'
- 38
- 80
- 69
- 95
- 85
Coach
Stefano Pioli
AS Roma Lineups
Starting XI
-
90
Romelu Lukaku ↓ Diego Llorente 90'
- 6
- 19
-
21
Paulo Dybala ↓ Tammy Abraham 81'
- 23
- 37
- 7
- 92
- 4
-
16
Leandro Paredes ↓ Edoardo Bove 90'
- 99
Bench
- 69
-
9
Tammy Abraham ↑ 81'
- 1
-
22
Houssem Aouar ↑ 89'
- 20
-
14
Diego Llorente ↑ 90'
- 2
- 63
- 59
- 35
-
52
Edoardo Bove ↑ 90'
- 67
Coach
Daniele De Rossi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 5 |
| Franck Kessie | 3 |
| Tammy Abraham | 3 |
| Olivier Giroud | 3 |
| Gianluca Mancini | 3 |
| Jordan Veretout | 2 |
| Leandro Paredes | 2 |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.26
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
AS Roma xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: AS Roma win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
73%
Draw or AS Roma
57%
AC Milan or AS Roma
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AS Roma win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.2%
1 – 0
12.6%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
1.9%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | AS Roma covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 23% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 17% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

