Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs AS Roma, Europe 2023-24 QUARTER FINALS

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
0 1
Full Time
Thu 11 Apr 2024 · 19:00 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs AS RomaEurope at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
16 games this season 🟨 1.9/game 7.6 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr AS Roma H 0–1 L
06 Apr US Lecce H 3–0 W
30 Mar ACF Fiorentina A 2–1 W
17 Mar Hellas Verona FC A 3–1 W
14 Mar SK Slavia Praha A 3–1 W
10 Mar Empoli FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr AC Milan A 1–0 W
06 Apr SS Lazio H 1–0 W
01 Apr US Lecce A 0–0 D
17 Mar US Sassuolo Calcio H 1–0 W
14 Mar Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 0–1 L
10 Mar ACF Fiorentina A 2–2 D

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AC Milan to score. At the same time, AS Roma does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' Zeki Celik is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Milan tonight.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 17' GOAL! Gianluca Mancini scores on 17. Assisted by Paulo Dybala
  • 17' The referee has no hesitation. Stefano Pioli is booked for AC Milan — card on 17.
  • 22' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 22 minutes.
  • 27' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 32' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 33' Christian Pulisic has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 33.
  • 38' Bryan Cristante is having his name booked by the referee on 38.
  • 43' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Milan in their trying to find a way past AS Roma's compact .
  • 48' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 53' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mile Svilar made 467 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 58' England international Chris Smalling has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 59' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Ismael Bennacer exits the field as Yacine Adli enters on 59.
  • 63' That is a card for AC Milan. Yacine Adli will be fuming at that decision.
  • 68' AS Roma are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 73' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ruben Loftus-Cheek.
  • 78' AC Milan make a change. Christian Pulisic trudges off to be replaced by Samuel Chukwueze on 78 minutes.
  • 81' AS Roma ring the changes. Paulo Dybala has done his job and it is now time for Tammy Abraham to step up.
  • 86' Diego Llorente needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 89' It is a substitution in AS Roma team. Lorenzo Pellegrini is replaced by Houssem Aouar on 89 minute.
  • 90' AS Roma make a change. Leandro Paredes trudges off to be replaced by Edoardo Bove on 90 minutes.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — AC Milan 0-1 AS Roma.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.26 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 AS Roma xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan43% Draw30% AS Roma27%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
73%
Draw or AS Roma
57%
AC Milan or AS Roma
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan29% Draw52% AS Roma19%
Actual: AS Roma win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.2%
1 – 0
12.6%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push AS Roma covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 23% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
39%
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.