Saturday , 14 November 2026

AC Milan vs AS Roma, Europe 2023-24 QUARTER FINALS

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
0 – 1
Full Time
Thu 11 Apr 2024 · 19:00 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs AS Roma — Europe at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
16 games this season 🟨 3.1/game ⚽ 10.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr AS Roma H 0–1 L
06 Apr US Lecce H 3–0 W
30 Mar ACF Fiorentina A 2–1 W
17 Mar Hellas Verona FC A 3–1 W
14 Mar SK Slavia Praha A 3–1 W
10 Mar Empoli FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr AC Milan A 1–0 W
06 Apr SS Lazio H 1–0 W
01 Apr US Lecce A 0–0 D
17 Mar US Sassuolo Calcio H 1–0 W
14 Mar Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 0–1 L
10 Mar ACF Fiorentina A 2–2 D

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Alphadjo Cisse 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Giuseppe Meazza will turn into a battlefield for AC Milan and AS Roma.
  • 5' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' Bryan Cristante needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Milan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 17' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Gianluca Mancini makes it 0-1.
  • 17' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Stefano Pioli on 17 minutes.
  • 22' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 27' It’s high time Daniele De Rossi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 32' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 33' The referee shows AC Milan player a card on 33.
  • 38' Bryan Cristante is having his name booked by the referee on 38.
  • 43' Supporters expect more eagerness from Leandro Paredes, as he is very good at scoring at Giuseppe Meazza with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 48' AS Roma come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 53' Romelu Lukaku has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
  • 58' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Daniele De Rossi will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 59' Yacine Adli gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Ismael Bennacer and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 63' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Yacine Adli on 63 minutes.
  • 68' With 0 assists to his name this season, Edoardo Bove is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Milan.
  • 73' That looks like a foul for a card for Ruben Loftus-Cheek.
  • 78' Samuel Chukwueze has so much to prove this time. He replaces Christian Pulisic on 78 minute.
  • 81' Tammy Abraham gets the nod from AS Roma. He replaces Paulo Dybala and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 89' Fresh legs for AS Roma! Houssem Aouar comes on to replace Lorenzo Pellegrini.
  • 90' The AS Roma bench stirs into life. Leandro Paredes is withdrawn and Edoardo Bove gets his opportunity.
  • Full Time. AS Roma beats AC Milan

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.26 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 AS Roma xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan43% Draw30% AS Roma27%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
73%
Draw or AS Roma
57%
AC Milan or AS Roma
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan29% Draw52% AS Roma19%
Actual: AS Roma win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.2%
1 – 0
12.6%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push AS Roma covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 23% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
29% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.