AC Milan vs AS Roma, Europe 2023-24 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Clement Turpin
16 games this season
🟨 1.7/game
⚽ 5.4 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympique Lyonnais | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa FC | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | FC Midtjylland | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Betis Balompié | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | KRC Genk | 8 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna FC 1909 | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvárosi TC | 8 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest FC | 8 | 14 |
| 14 | FC Viktoria Plzeň | 8 | 14 |
| 15 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 14 |
| 16 | RC Celta de Vigo | 8 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK Thessaloniki FC | 8 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille OSC | 8 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahçe SK | 8 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos AO | 8 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic FC | 8 | 11 |
| 22 | PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 10 |
| 24 | SK Brann | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | BSC Young Boys | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | SK Sturm Graz | 8 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB Bukarest | 8 | 7 |
| 28 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 8 | 6 |
| 30 | FC Basel 1893 | 8 | 6 |
| 31 | FC Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers FC | 8 | 4 |
| 33 | OGC Nice | 8 | 3 |
| 34 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv FC | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | AS Roma | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | US Lecce | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | ACF Fiorentina | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Mar | Hellas Verona FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | SK Slavia Praha | A | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Mar | Empoli FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | AC Milan | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | SS Lazio | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Apr | US Lecce | A | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Mar | US Sassuolo Calcio | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Mar | ACF Fiorentina | A | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
83%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
30%
Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season
AS Roma this season
Top Scorers (This Season)
AS Roma
| Donyell Malen | 4 G | |
| Lorenzo Pellegrini | 3 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — AC Milan and AS Roma get this one started.
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Christian Pulisic made 521 appearances and scored 68 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 17' GOAL! Gianluca Mancini scores on 17. Assisted by Paulo Dybala
- 17' It’s gonna be a card for Stefano Pioli.
- 22' AC Milan is showing some good football. However, AC Milan are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 27' A quiet spell here at Giuseppe Meazza. AC Milan seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 32' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 33' A meaty challenge results in booking for Christian Pulisic on 33.
- 38' Bryan Cristante was booked on 38.
- 43' AS Roma come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 48' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 53' AS Roma is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 58' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 59' The crowd applauds Ismael Bennacer as he leaves the pitch. Yacine Adli steps in for AC Milan.
- 63' Yacine Adli was booked on 63.
- 68' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AS Roma backline.
- 73' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ruben Loftus-Cheek on 73.
- 78' Samuel Chukwueze is ready to make an impact after coming on for Christian Pulisic at the 78 minute mark.
- 81' Tammy Abraham gets the nod from AS Roma. He replaces Paulo Dybala and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' Leandro Paredes, a Argentina , has 4 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 89' Another substitution for AS Roma to replace Lorenzo Pellegrini by Houssem Aouar on 89 minute.
- 90' AS Roma ring the changes. Leandro Paredes has done his job and it is now time for Edoardo Bove to step up.
- 0-1 the final result. AC Milan will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
- 14
- 9
- 8
- 16
-
10
Rafael Leao ↓ Noah Okafor 78'
- 11
- 19
- 2
-
4
Ismael Bennacer ↓ Yacine Adli 59'
- 46
- 28
Bench
-
7
Yacine Adli ↑ 59'
- 15
- 24
-
21
Samuel Chukwueze ↑ 78'
- 42
- 57
-
17
Noah Okafor ↑ 78'
- 38
- 80
- 69
- 95
- 85
Coach
Stefano Pioli
AS Roma Lineups
Starting XI
-
90
Romelu Lukaku ↓ Diego Llorente 90'
- 6
- 19
-
21
Paulo Dybala ↓ Tammy Abraham 81'
- 23
- 37
- 7
- 92
- 4
-
16
Leandro Paredes ↓ Edoardo Bove 90'
- 99
Bench
- 69
-
9
Tammy Abraham ↑ 81'
- 1
-
22
Houssem Aouar ↑ 89'
- 20
-
14
Diego Llorente ↑ 90'
- 2
- 63
- 59
- 35
-
52
Edoardo Bove ↑ 90'
- 67
Coach
Daniele De Rossi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 5 |
| Franck Kessie | 3 |
| Tammy Abraham | 3 |
| Olivier Giroud | 3 |
| Gianluca Mancini | 3 |
| Leandro Paredes | 2 |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | 2 |
| Paulo Dybala | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.26
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
AS Roma xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: AS Roma win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
73%
Draw or AS Roma
57%
AC Milan or AS Roma
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AS Roma win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.2%
1 – 0
12.6%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
1.9%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | AS Roma covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 23% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 17% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

