Thursday , 2 July 2026

AS Roma vs AC Milan, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
1 2
Full Time
Fri 1 Sep 2023 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Rome 61,690 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 9' Olivier Giroud pen
0–2 48' Rafael Leao
Leonardo Spinazzola 90+2' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

AS Roma vs AC MilanSerie A at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

  • AS Roma 38 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
  • AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Antonio Rapuano
  • Assistant 1 Filippo Meli
  • Assistant 2 Stefano Alassio
11 games this season 🟨 0.5/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Sep AC Milan H 1–2 L
26 Aug Hellas Verona FC A 1–2 L
20 Aug US Salernitana 1919 H 2–2 D
04 Jun Spezia Calcio H 2–1 W
31 May Sevilla FC A 2–5 L
27 May ACF Fiorentina A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Sep AS Roma A 2–1 W
26 Aug Torino FC H 4–1 W
21 Aug Bologna FC 1909 A 2–0 W
04 Jun Hellas Verona FC H 3–1 W
28 May Juventus FC A 1–0 W
20 May UC Sampdoria H 5–1 W

Season Stats

AS Roma AC Milan
#3 Position #5
73 Points 70
38 Played 38
23 / 4 / 11 W / D / L 20 / 10 / 8
59 Scored 53
31 Conceded 35
+28 GD +18
1.92 PPG 1.84
61% Win % 53%

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AS Roma are 3rd (73 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. AS Roma get us underway at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AS Roma and AC Milan are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 9' Olivier Giroud adds to his 0 season tally! AC Milan lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 14' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 19' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Fikayo Tomori.
  • 24' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 24 minutes.
  • 29' AC Milan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 31' Fresh legs for AS Roma! Lorenzo Pellegrini comes on to replace Houssem Aouar.
  • 34' Ruben Loftus-Cheek has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 34.
  • 35' Poor challenge from Ruben Loftus-Cheek. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 45' Italy international Tommaso Pobega has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 48' A goal from the Portugal international Rafael Leao! He fires home on 48 to make it 0-2!
  • 53' The home supporters are growing impatient. AS Roma must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 58' AS Roma seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 61' That looks like a foul for a Red card for Fikayo Tomori.
  • 65' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Ruben Loftus-Cheek is withdrawn and Pierre Kalulu gets his opportunity.
  • 70' A meaty challenge results in booking for Leandro Paredes on 70.
  • 70' The supporters are chanting for Leonardo Spinazzola. He replaces Zeki Celik on 70 minute.
  • 71' A change in the AS Roma ranks — Leandro Paredes exits the field as Edoardo Bove enters on 71.
  • 76' AC Milan make a change. Christian Pulisic trudges off to be replaced by Samuel Chukwueze on 76 minutes.
  • 77' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Christian Pulisic by Samuel Chukwueze on 77 minute.
  • 79' The whistle greets Gianluca Mancini as he departs to be replaced by Riccardo Pagano.
  • 84' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AS Roma that had 527 games and scored 607 goals.
  • 85' The referee shows AS Roma player a Yellow card on 85.
  • 90' AC Milan receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.24 AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: AS Roma or AC Milan 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma30% Draw28% AC Milan42%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

AS Roma or Draw
57%
Draw or AC Milan
70%
AS Roma or AC Milan
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Roma24% Draw47% AC Milan29%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
0 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
4%
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — AS Roma

Handicap AS Roma covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 20% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

AS Roma keeps clean sheet
25%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.