AS Roma vs AC Milan, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Antonio Rapuano
- Assistant 1 Filippo Meli
- Assistant 2 Stefano Alassio
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep | AC Milan | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Aug | Hellas Verona FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Aug | US Salernitana 1919 | H | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Jun | Spezia Calcio | H | 2–1 | W |
| 31 May | Sevilla FC | A | 2–5 | L |
| 27 May | ACF Fiorentina | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep | AS Roma | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Aug | Torino FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 21 Aug | Bologna FC 1909 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Jun | Hellas Verona FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 28 May | Juventus FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 May | UC Sampdoria | H | 5–1 | W |
Season Stats
| AS Roma | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #4 |
| 27 | Points | 24 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 8 / 3 / 0 | W / D / L | 7 / 3 / 1 |
| 31 | Scored | 23 |
| 10 | Conceded | 13 |
| +21 | GD | +10 |
| 2.45 | PPG | 2.18 |
| 73% | Win % | 64% |
Key Stats
83%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
55%
Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season
AS Roma this season
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
AS Roma are 3rd (27 pts). AC Milan are 4th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AS Roma
0-15
4/1
16-30
5/1
31-45
5/–
46-60
4/4
61-75
4/–
76+
8/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AS Roma
| Donyell Malen | 8 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Mora | 4 G | |
| Matias Soule | 3 G | 3 A |
| Niccolo Pisilli | 3 G | |
| Mario Hermoso | 2 G |
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between AS Roma and AC Milan is underway.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 9' What a moment for Olivier Giroud! That strike on 9 puts his side firmly in control.
- 14' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 19' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Fikayo Tomori gets a Yellow card.
- 24' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AS Roma side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 29' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 31' AS Roma ring the changes. Houssem Aouar has done his job and it is now time for Lorenzo Pellegrini to step up.
- 34' A moment of madness from Ruben Loftus-Cheek on 34 minutes earns him a Yellow card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
- 35' AC Milan player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 40' AS Roma are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AC Milan backline.
- 45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AS Roma needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 48' Rafael Leao adds to his 1 season tally! AC Milan lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
- 53' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 58' AS Roma currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 61' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Fikayo Tomori gets a Red card.
- 65' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Pierre Kalulu is hanging Ruben Loftus-Cheek on the field on 65 minute.
- 70' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Leandro Paredes.
- 70' Another change for AS Roma made on 70 minute. Zeki Celik leaves to be changed by Leonardo Spinazzola.
- 71' Edoardo Bove has so much to prove this time. He replaces Leandro Paredes on 71 minute.
- 76' Christian Pulisic makes way for Samuel Chukwueze at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
- 77' The whistle greets Christian Pulisic as he departs to be replaced by Samuel Chukwueze.
- 79' Another substitution for AS Roma to replace Gianluca Mancini by Riccardo Pagano on 79 minute.
- 84' AC Milan are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 85' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Romelu Lukaku on 85 minutes.
- 90' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Noah Okafor gets a Yellow card.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from AC Milan to claim maximum points.
Lineups
AS Roma Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 6
- 1
- 22
- 19
- 14
- 23
- 92
- 4
- 11
-
16
Leandro Paredes ↓ Edoardo Bove 71'
- 59
Bench
-
90
Romelu Lukaku ↑ 70'
- 43
- 5
-
37
Leonardo Spinazzola ↑ 70'
- 2
-
7
Lorenzo Pellegrini ↑ 31'
- 99
- 63
-
52
Edoardo Bove ↑ 71'
- 61
-
60
Riccardo Pagano ↑ 79'
Coach
José Mourinho
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
-
9
Olivier Giroud ↓ Tommaso Pobega 70'
- 8
- 23
- 16
-
10
Rafael Leao ↓ Noah Okafor 76'
- 11
- 19
- 2
- 33
- 28
Bench
- 7
- 24
-
21
Samuel Chukwueze ↑ 76'
- 42
- 83
- 57
-
17
Noah Okafor ↑ 76'
-
20
Pierre Kalulu ↑ 65'
- 18
-
32
Tommaso Pobega ↑ 70'
- 80
- 31
Coach
Stefano Pioli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 5 |
| Tammy Abraham | 3 |
| Olivier Giroud | 3 |
| Gianluca Mancini | 3 |
| Franck Kessie | 3 |
| Edin Dzeko | 2 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
Head to Head
AS Roma Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.8
AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
AS Roma or AC Milan 75% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
AS Roma or Draw
62%
Draw or AC Milan
62%
AS Roma or AC Milan
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3.8%
Asian Handicap — AS Roma
| Handicap | AS Roma covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 19% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 16% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

