AC Milan vs AS Roma, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2023-24

AC Milan

3 – 1

Full Time

AS Roma

Sun 14 Jan 2024 · 19:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'

Yacine Adli 11' 1–0

Olivier Giroud 56' 2–0

2–1 69' Leandro Paredes pen

Theo Hernandez 84' 3–1

Y 43' Gianluca Mancini

Y 56' Bryan Cristante

Simon Kjaer 71' Y

Y 81' Dean Huijsen

Matteo Gabbia 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs AS Roma — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

AC Milan 5 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
AS Roma 5 games · 13 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Marco Guida
Assistant 1 Filippo Bercigli
Assistant 2 Dario Cecconi

5 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 11.2 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	13
2	FC Internazionale Milano	5	13
3	SS Lazio	5	13
4	Cagliari Calcio	5	12
5	AC Milan	5	11
6	Frosinone Calcio	5	10
7	Juventus FC	5	10
8	Como 1907	5	10
9	SSC Napoli	5	7
10	US Sassuolo Calcio	5	7
11	Atalanta BC	5	6
12	US Lecce	5	6
13	Udinese Calcio	5	4
14	Torino FC	5	4
15	Parma Calcio 1913	5	4
16	AC Monza	5	4
17	ACF Fiorentina	5	4
18	Bologna FC 1909	5	2
19	Genoa CFC	5	1
20	Venezia FC	5	0

Head-to-Head

AC Milan 18 games · Avg 2.9 goals AS Roma

Last 5 meetings

2024-01-14 AC Milan 3–1 AS Roma 2023-09-01 AS Roma 1–2 AC Milan 2023-04-29 AS Roma 1–1 AC Milan 2023-01-08 AC Milan 2–2 AS Roma 2022-01-06 AC Milan 3–1 AS Roma

Recent Form

AC Milan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Jan	AS Roma	H	3–1	W
07 Jan	Empoli FC	A	3–0	W
30 Dec	US Sassuolo Calcio	H	1–0	W
22 Dec	US Salernitana 1919	A	2–2	D
17 Dec	AC Monza	H	3–0	W
13 Dec	Newcastle United FC	A	2–1	W

AS Roma

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Jan	AC Milan	A	1–3	L
07 Jan	Atalanta BC	H	1–1	D
30 Dec	Juventus FC	A	0–1	L
23 Dec	SSC Napoli	H	2–0	W
17 Dec	Bologna FC 1909	A	0–2	L
14 Dec	FC Sheriff Tiraspol	H	3–0	W

Season Stats

AC Milan		AS Roma
#5	Position	#1
11	Points	13
5	Played	5
3 / 2 / 0	W / D / L	4 / 1 / 0
10	Scored	14
4	Conceded	3
+6	GD	+11
2.20	PPG	2.60
60%	Win %	80%

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

60% Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season

AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). AS Roma are 1st (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/–

61-75

8/–

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

AS Roma

0-15

2/–

16-30

3/–

31-45

2/–

46-60

2/2

61-75

1/–

76+

4/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan

Diego Moreira	3 G
Adrien Rabiot	2 G	2 A
Alphadjo Cisse	2 G
Goncalo Ramos	1 G	1 A

AS Roma

Donyell Malen	6 G
Matias Soule	2 G	1 A
Manu Kone	2 G
Niccolo Pisilli	2 G
Mario Hermoso	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! AC Milan vs AS Roma — let the football do the talking.
5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
10' The travelling AS Roma supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
11' A stunning finish from Yacine Adli — that came from absolutely nowhere!
16' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
21' Andrea Belotti is a natural centre-forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for AS Roma tonight.
26' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
31' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
36' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 36 minutes.
41' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
43' The referee has no hesitation. Gianluca Mancini is booked for AS Roma — Yellow card on 43.
46' The AS Roma bench stirs into life. Gianluca Mancini is withdrawn and Lorenzo Pellegrini gets his opportunity.
51' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Milan must find a spark to ignite this game.
56' What a strike from Olivier Giroud! The score is 2-0.
56' A moment of madness from Bryan Cristante on 56 minutes earns him a Yellow card. AS Roma will be frustrated.
61' AS Roma make a change. Stephan El Shaarawy trudges off to be replaced by Andrea Belotti on 61 minutes.
66' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
69' Against the run of play, Leandro Paredes has scored! This game has turned on its head.
71' A meaty challenge results in booking for Simon Kjaer on 71.
76' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
78' Another substitution for AS Roma to replace Zeki Celik by Nicola Zalewski on 78 minute.
79' Noah Okafor is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rafael Leao at the 79 minute mark.
81' The referee calls foul for Dean Huijsen. He receives a Yellow card.
84' The France Theo Hernandez breaks the deadlock on 84 minutes. 3-1!
89' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Yacine Adli is replaced by Kevin Zeroli.
90' The referee shows AC Milan player a Yellow card on 90.
AC Milan celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

AS Roma Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

90
Romelu Lukaku
43
Rasmus Kristensen
19
Zeki Celik ↓ Nicola Zalewski 78'
14
Diego Llorente ↓ Dean Huijsen 78'
23
Gianluca Mancini ↓ Lorenzo Pellegrini 46'
37
Leonardo Spinazzola
92
Stephan El Shaarawy ↓ Andrea Belotti 61'
4
Bryan Cristante
16
Leandro Paredes
99
Mile Svilar
52
Edoardo Bove

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Zlatan Ibrahimovic	5
Tammy Abraham	3
Olivier Giroud	3
Gianluca Mancini	3
Franck Kessie	3
Alexis Saelemaekers	2
Paulo Dybala	2
Nicolo Zaniolo	2

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.63 AC Milan xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.12 AS Roma xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

AC Milan53% Draw25% AS Roma22%

Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.75

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw

78%

Draw or AS Roma

47%

AC Milan or AS Roma

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

AC Milan34% Draw46% AS Roma20%

Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.6%

1 – 0

9.5%

2 – 1

9.2%

2 – 0

8.3%

0 – 0

8.3%

1 – 2

6.3%

0 – 1

6.2%

2 – 2

5.2%

3 – 1

Actual

3 – 0

4.4%

0 – 2

3.9%

3 – 2

2.9%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap	AC Milan covers	Push	AS Roma covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	15%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	22%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	15%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

AS Roma keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

AC Milan vs AS Roma, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

AS Roma Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

AC Milan Form

AS Roma Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Clean Sheet