AC Milan vs AS Roma, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Marco Guida
- Assistant 1 Filippo Bercigli
- Assistant 2 Dario Cecconi
13 games this season
🟨 0.9/game
⚽ 3.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan | AS Roma | H | 3–1 | W |
| 07 Jan | Empoli FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Dec | US Sassuolo Calcio | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Dec | US Salernitana 1919 | A | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Dec | AC Monza | H | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Dec | Newcastle United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan | AC Milan | A | 1–3 | L |
| 07 Jan | Atalanta BC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Dec | Juventus FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Dec | SSC Napoli | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Dec | Bologna FC 1909 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Dec | FC Sheriff Tiraspol | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | AS Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #3 |
| 70 | Points | 73 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 23 / 4 / 11 |
| 53 | Scored | 59 |
| 35 | Conceded | 31 |
| +18 | GD | +28 |
| 1.84 | PPG | 1.92 |
| 53% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
83%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). AS Roma are 3rd (73 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between AC Milan and AS Roma is underway.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Milan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 11' Yacine Adli makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and AC Milan are in front.
- 16' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 21' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 26' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 31' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and AS Roma are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 36' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AS Roma backline.
- 41' AS Roma come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 43' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Gianluca Mancini.
- 46' AS Roma manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lorenzo Pellegrini is hanging Gianluca Mancini on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Leandro Paredes made 394 appearances and scored 23 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 56' What composure from Olivier Giroud! The France international strokes it home. 2-0.
- 56' Poor challenge from Bryan Cristante. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 61' It is a substitution in AS Roma team. Stephan El Shaarawy is replaced by Andrea Belotti on 61 minute.
- 66' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 69' Leandro Paredes makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and AS Roma are in front.
- 71' That is a Yellow card for AC Milan. Simon Kjaer will be fuming at that decision.
- 76' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 78' Fresh legs for AS Roma! Nicola Zalewski comes on to replace Zeki Celik.
- 79' The crowd applauds Rafael Leao as he leaves the pitch. Noah Okafor steps in for AC Milan.
- 81' It’s a booking for AS Roma player. Dean Huijsen gets a Yellow card.
- 84' Magnificent from Theo Hernandez! That is 38 goals in 348 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 89' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kevin Zeroli is hanging Yacine Adli on the field on 89 minute.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Matteo Gabbia.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from AC Milan to claim maximum points.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 14
- 9
- 8
-
7
Yacine Adli ↓ Kevin Zeroli 89'
- 16
-
10
Rafael Leao ↓ Noah Okafor 79'
-
11
Christian Pulisic ↓ Yunus Musah 79'
-
19
Theo Hernandez ↓ Alex Jimenez 89'
- 24
- 2
- 46
Bench
- 15
- 83
-
17
Noah Okafor ↑ 79'
- 18
- 38
-
80
Yunus Musah ↑ 79'
- 70
- 69
- 95
-
85
Kevin Zeroli ↑ 89'
-
74
Alex Jimenez ↑ 89'
- 82
AS Roma Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 90
- 43
-
19
Zeki Celik ↓ Nicola Zalewski 78'
-
14
Diego Llorente ↓ Dean Huijsen 78'
- 23
- 37
- 92
- 4
- 16
- 99
- 52
Bench
- 1
- 2
-
7
Lorenzo Pellegrini ↑ 46'
-
11
Andrea Belotti ↑ 61'
- 63
-
59
Nicola Zalewski ↑ 78'
- 61
-
3
Dean Huijsen ↑ 78'
- 67
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 5 |
| Tammy Abraham | 3 |
| Olivier Giroud | 3 |
| Gianluca Mancini | 3 |
| Franck Kessie | 3 |
| Paulo Dybala | 2 |
| Nicolo Zaniolo | 2 |
| Edin Dzeko | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.69
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
AS Roma xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
82%
Draw or AS Roma
43%
AC Milan or AS Roma
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | AS Roma covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 24% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

