AC Milan vs Genoa CFC, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Marco Guida
- Assistant 1 Marcello Rossi
- Assistant 2 Davide Moro (Italy)
13 games this season
🟨 0.9/game
⚽ 3.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec | Genoa CFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Dec | FK Crvena Zvezda | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Dec | Atalanta BC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Nov | Empoli FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | SK Slovan Bratislava | A | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Nov | Juventus FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec | AC Milan | A | 0–0 | D |
| 07 Dec | Torino FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Dec | Udinese Calcio | A | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Nov | Cagliari Calcio | H | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Nov | Como 1907 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Nov | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | Genoa CFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #16 |
| 70 | Points | 41 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 11 / 17 |
| 53 | Scored | 41 |
| 35 | Conceded | 51 |
| +18 | GD | -10 |
| 1.84 | PPG | 1.08 |
| 53% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). Genoa CFC are 16th (41 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Giuseppe Meazza!
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Fabio Miretti, as he is very good at scoring at Giuseppe Meazza with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paulo Fonseca will be considering his options from the bench.
- 20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AC Milan and Genoa CFC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 21' A moment of madness from Alessandro Vogliacco on 21 minutes earns him a card. Genoa CFC will be frustrated.
- 26' A quiet spell here at Giuseppe Meazza. Genoa CFC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 31' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Genoa CFC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 36' Rafael Leao, a Portugal , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 41' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Milan in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Genoa CFC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 42' That looks like a foul for a card for Alessandro Zanoli.
- 46' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Tammy Abraham is withdrawn and Alvaro Morata gets his opportunity.
- 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 61' Genoa CFC come into this ranked 14 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 62' Mattia Liberali makes way for Francesco Camarda at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
- 67' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 67 minutes.
- 72' The travelling Genoa CFC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 77' The whistle greets Samuel Chukwueze as he departs to be replaced by Noah Okafor.
- 80' Genoa CFC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Vitinha is hanging Fabio Miretti on the field on 80 minute.
- 85' It looks surprising Genoa CFC does not make any changes. Tammy Abraham has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 90' Another substitution for Genoa CFC to replace Alessandro Zanoli by Brooke Norton-Cuffy on 90 minute.
- 0-0 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 22
-
90
Tammy Abraham ↓ Alvaro Morata 46'
- 29
- 16
- 10
-
21
Samuel Chukwueze ↓ Noah Okafor 77'
- 46
- 28
- 20
- 30
Bench
-
7
Alvaro Morata ↑ 46'
- 23
- 19
- 2
- 57
-
17
Noah Okafor ↑ 77'
- 31
- 42
- 33
-
73
Francesco Camarda ↑ 62'
- 96
Coach
Paulo Fonseca
Genoa CFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 2
- 3
- 47
- 13
- 19
- 14
- 32
- 22
- 59
-
23
Fabio Miretti ↓ Vitinha 80'
Bench
- 11
- 45
- 95
-
20
Stefano Sabelli ↑ 46'
- 72
- 8
-
15
Brooke Norton-Cuffy ↑ 90'
-
9
Vitinha ↑ 80'
- 33
- 55
- 39
- 30
- 27
- 73
Coach
Patrick Vieira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mattia Destro | 3 |
| Junior Messias | 3 |
| Suso | 2 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 2 |
| Alessio Romagnoli | 2 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 1 |
| Ante Rebic | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.44
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7
Genoa CFC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
81%
Draw or Genoa CFC
47%
AC Milan or Genoa CFC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.9%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 0
11.8%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
7%
3 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
2%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | Genoa CFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 17% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 26% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 12% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
50%
✗
Genoa CFC keeps clean sheet
24%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.