AC Milan vs Genoa CFC, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Marco Guida
- Assistant 1 Marcello Rossi
- Assistant 2 Davide Moro (Italy)
9 games this season
🟨 3.8/game
⚽ 12.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec | Genoa CFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Dec | FK Crvena Zvezda | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Dec | Atalanta BC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Nov | Empoli FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | SK Slovan Bratislava | A | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Nov | Juventus FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec | AC Milan | A | 0–0 | D |
| 07 Dec | Torino FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Dec | Udinese Calcio | A | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Nov | Cagliari Calcio | H | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Nov | Como 1907 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Nov | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | Genoa CFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #13 |
| 24 | Points | 13 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 7 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 6 |
| 23 | Scored | 11 |
| 13 | Conceded | 16 |
| +10 | GD | -5 |
| 2.18 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 64% | Win % | 36% |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Genoa CFC this season
Genoa CFC this season
AC Milan are 4th (24 pts). Genoa CFC are 13th (13 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Genoa CFC
0-15
4/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
Genoa CFC
| Milutin Osmajic | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. AC Milan host Genoa CFC — let the battle begin!
- 5' A quiet spell here at Giuseppe Meazza. AC Milan seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' Italy international Fabio Miretti has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and Genoa CFC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Genoa CFC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 21' Genoa CFC player sees a card in front of him.
- 26' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 31' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 36' The travelling Genoa CFC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 41' Morten Frendrup is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AC Milan so far.
- 42' That looks like a foul for a card for Alessandro Zanoli.
- 46' Another change for AC Milan made on 46 minute. Tammy Abraham leaves to be changed by Alvaro Morata.
- 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with AC Milan winning 100% of all matches.
- 61' Morten Thorsby, a Norway , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 62' Mattia Liberali makes way for Francesco Camarda at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
- 67' Samuel Chukwueze has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 72' Genoa CFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 77' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Samuel Chukwueze is replaced by Noah Okafor on 77 minute.
- 80' Vitinha is replacing Fabio Miretti for the Genoa CFC side.
- 85' Nicola Leali has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 90' The crowd applauds Alessandro Zanoli as he leaves the pitch. Brooke Norton-Cuffy steps in for Genoa CFC.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 22
-
90
Tammy Abraham ↓ Alvaro Morata 46'
- 29
- 16
- 10
-
21
Samuel Chukwueze ↓ Noah Okafor 77'
- 46
- 28
- 20
- 30
Bench
-
7
Alvaro Morata ↑ 46'
- 23
- 19
- 2
- 57
-
17
Noah Okafor ↑ 77'
- 31
- 42
- 33
-
73
Francesco Camarda ↑ 62'
- 96
Coach
Paulo Fonseca
Genoa CFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 2
- 3
- 47
- 13
- 19
- 14
- 32
- 22
- 59
-
23
Fabio Miretti ↓ Vitinha 80'
Bench
- 11
- 45
- 95
-
20
Stefano Sabelli ↑ 46'
- 72
- 8
-
15
Brooke Norton-Cuffy ↑ 90'
-
9
Vitinha ↑ 80'
- 33
- 55
- 39
- 30
- 27
- 73
Coach
Patrick Vieira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Junior Messias | 3 |
| Mattia Destro | 3 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Christian Pulisic | 2 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 2 |
| Alessio Romagnoli | 2 |
| Suso | 2 |
| Gianluca Scamacca | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.68
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67
Genoa CFC xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 59% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
83%
Draw or Genoa CFC
42%
AC Milan or Genoa CFC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.1%
2 – 0
13%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
8.8%
3 – 0
7.2%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
3.4%
4 – 0
3%
2 – 2
3%
4 – 1
2.2%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | Genoa CFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 19% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 26% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
51%
✓
Genoa CFC keeps clean sheet
19%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

