1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

1. FSV Mainz 05

2 – 2

Full Time

VfB Stuttgart

Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

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1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga .

1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
VfB Stuttgart 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Matthias Jollenbeck

3 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 28.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 24 games · Avg 3.1 goals VfB Stuttgart

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfB Stuttgart 2025-10-29 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 VfB Stuttgart 2025-10-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-01-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfB Stuttgart 2024-08-31 VfB Stuttgart 3–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	VfB Stuttgart	H	2–2	D
28 Feb	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	1–1	D
20 Feb	Hamburger SV	H	1–1	D
13 Feb	Borussia Dortmund	A	0–4	L
07 Feb	FC Augsburg	H	2–0	W
31 Jan	RB Leipzig	A	2–1	W

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	2–2	D
01 Mar	VfL Wolfsburg	H	4–0	W
26 Feb	Celtic FC	H	0–1	L
22 Feb	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	3–3	D
19 Feb	Celtic FC	A	4–1	W
14 Feb	1. FC Köln	H	3–1	W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05		VfB Stuttgart
#6	Position	#15
7	Points	3
4	Played	4
2 / 1 / 1	W / D / L	1 / 0 / 3
10	Scored	6
6	Conceded	9
+4	GD	-3
1.75	PPG	0.75
50%	Win %	25%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

0% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 15th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/–

76+

5/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

VfB Stuttgart

0-15

–/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

3/1

61-75

1/2

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	4 G
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	3 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

VfB Stuttgart

Josha Vagnoman	2 G	1 A
Ermedin Demirovic	1 G
Grischa Promel	1 G
Bilal El Khannouss	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . 1. FSV Mainz 05 are looking to make home advantage count against VfB Stuttgart.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sehrou Guirassy	5
Alexander Hack	2
Marcus Ingvartsen	2
Silas Wamangituka	2
Sasa Kalajdzic	2
Jamie Leweling	2
Borna Sosa	2
Deniz Undav	1

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2026-03-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfB Stuttgart D 2026-02-28 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2026-02-20 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV D 2026-02-13 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-02-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 FC Augsburg W 2026-01-31 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W

VfB Stuttgart Form

2026-03-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfB Stuttgart D 2026-03-01 VfB Stuttgart 4–0 VfL Wolfsburg W 2026-02-26 VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Celtic FC L 2026-02-22 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 3–3 VfB Stuttgart D 2026-02-19 Celtic FC 1–4 VfB Stuttgart W 2026-02-14 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 1. FC Köln W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.62 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.57 VfB Stuttgart xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0554% Draw22% VfB Stuttgart24%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes73% 0% No27%

Avg goals/match: 4.19

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	77%	23%
± 3.5	59%	41%
± 4.5	40%	60%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

75%

Draw or VfB Stuttgart

46%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfB Stuttgart

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0545% Draw35% VfB Stuttgart20%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

1 – 1

3 – 1

6.9%

2 – 2

Actual

2 – 0

5.4%

3 – 2

5.3%

1 – 2

4.9%

3 – 0

4.5%

4 – 1

4.5%

1 – 0

3.7%

4 – 2

3.5%

2 – 3

3.2%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5	22%	—	78%
-2	22%	17%	61%
-1.5	39%	—	61%
-1	39%	19%	41%
-0.5	59%	—	41%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	12%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	6%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.