Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Fri 21 Nov 2025 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D
09 Nov Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–1 L
01 Nov SV Werder Bremen H 1–1 D
29 Oct VfB Stuttgart H 0–2 L
26 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L
18 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
08 Nov RB Leipzig H 3–1 W
02 Nov VfL Wolfsburg A 3–2 W
28 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 9–10 L
25 Oct 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 3–1 W
19 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–0 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#16 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.99 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 67% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0533% Draw33% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
65%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
67%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0522% Draw54% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim24%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.3%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
11.4%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 3
2.5%
0 – 3
2.4%
3 – 1
2.2%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 19% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 21% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
35%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
38%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.