Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Fri 21 Nov 2025 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D
09 Nov Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–1 L
01 Nov SV Werder Bremen H 1–1 D
29 Oct VfB Stuttgart H 0–2 L
26 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L
18 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
08 Nov RB Leipzig H 3–1 W
02 Nov VfL Wolfsburg A 3–2 W
28 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 9–10 L
25 Oct 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 3–1 W
19 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–0 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#6 Position #14
7 Points 3
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 3
10 Scored 7
6 Conceded 10
+4 GD -3
1.75 PPG 0.75
50% Win % 25%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
0% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 14th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/4
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Adam Daghim 2 G 2 A
Adam Hlozek 2 G
Ozan Kabak 1 G
Tim Lemperle 1 G
Leon Avdullahu 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.89 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0553% Draw22% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 66%
34%
± 4.5 48%
52%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
75%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
47%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0547% Draw33% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim20%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.1%
3 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
5.7%
4 – 1
4.8%
2 – 0
4.4%
1 – 2
4.3%
4 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
3.4%
3 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 25% — 75%
-2 25% 17% 58%
-1.5 42% — 58%
-1 42% 19% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 11% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 6% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.