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1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2019-20
Sun 24 May 2020 · 13:30 UTC Opel Arena HT 45+3' · FT 45+1'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB LeipzigBundesliga at Opel Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Rafael Foltyn
  • Referee Florian Badstubner
  • Referee Martin Thomsen
  • Referee Gunter Perl
  • Referee Markus Schmidt

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 May RB Leipzig H 0–5 L
17 May 1. FC Köln A 2–2 D
08 Mar TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf H 1–1 D
29 Feb SC Paderborn 07 H 2–0 W
23 Feb VfL Wolfsburg A 0–4 L
16 Feb FC Schalke 04 H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 5–0 W
16 May SC Freiburg H 1–1 D
10 Mar Tottenham Hotspur FC H 3–0 W
07 Mar VfL Wolfsburg A 0–0 D
01 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–1 D
22 Feb FC Schalke 04 A 5–0 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 RB Leipzig
#16 Position #9
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Opel Arena that hosts another battle between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig.
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 11' Timo Werner has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 11 minutes.
  • 13' Controversy at the stadium! Marcel Sabitzer argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 17' That is a Yellow card for RB Leipzig. Dayot Upamecano will be fuming at that decision.
  • 20' Pierre Kunde was booked on 20.
  • 23' What composure from Yussuf Poulsen! The Denmark international strokes it home. 0-2.
  • 28' Dayot Upamecano, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Jeffrey Bruma on 30 minutes.
  • 35' The referee has no hesitation. Timo Werner is booked for RB Leipzig — Yellow card on 35.
  • 36' Marcel Sabitzer doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 41' Netherlands international Jean-Paul Boetius has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 42' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Konrad Laimer is replaced by Nordi Mukiele on 42 minute.
  • 46' Jean-Philippe Mateta is replacing Jeffrey Bruma for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
  • 48' Timo Werner has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 48 minutes.
  • 53' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 58' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 60' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Marcel Sabitzer is replaced by Tyler Adams on 60 minute.
  • 61' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Pierre Kunde is replaced by Leandro Barreiro Martins on 61 minute.
  • 66' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 70' The whistle greets Kevin Kampl as he departs to be replaced by Hannes Wolf.
  • 71' The crowd applauds Christopher Nkunku as he leaves the pitch. Ademola Lookman steps in for RB Leipzig.
  • 74' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Edimilson Fernandes is replaced by Danny Latza.
  • 75' What composure from Timo Werner! The Germany international strokes it home. 0-5.
  • 79' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 84' RB Leipzig is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 89' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Karim Onisiwo suffering a number of foals already.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for RB Leipzig players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.31 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 77% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0512% Draw24% RB Leipzig64%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes23% 0% No77%
Avg goals/match: 2.07
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
36%
Draw or RB Leipzig
88%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 054% Draw48% RB Leipzig48%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
21.7%
0 – 2
18.9%
0 – 0
14.5%
0 – 3
10.8%
1 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 4
4.8%
1 – 3
3.7%
1 – 0
3.1%
1 – 4
1.8%
0 – 5
Actual
2 – 1
1%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 1% 99%
-1.5 1% 99%
-1 1% 4% 95%
-0.5 5% 95%
+0.5 28% 72%
+1 28% 28% 44%
+1.5 56% 44%
+2 56% 23% 21%
+2.5 79% 21%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
18%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
73%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.