VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2020-21

VfL Wolfsburg

2 – 3

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sat 22 May 2021 · 13:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 29' Leandro Barreiro Martins

Y 40' Stefan Bell

Y 41' Stefan Bell

Maximilian Arnold 51' Y

Maximilian Arnold 52' Y

Xaver Schlager 56' Y

Y 61' Jean-Paul Boetius

Maximilian Philipp 75' Y

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Bastian Dankert
Referee Markus Hacker
Referee Nicolas Winter
Referee Rene Rohde
Referee Soren Storks
Referee Christian Fischer

16 games this season 🟨 0.4/game ⚽ 4.1 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

VfL Wolfsburg 25 games · Avg 3.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2021-05-22 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2021-01-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg 2020-02-23 VfL Wolfsburg 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2019-09-28 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2019-02-16 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 May	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	2–3	L
16 May	RB Leipzig	A	2–2	D
08 May	1. FC Union Berlin	H	3–0	W
24 Apr	Borussia Dortmund	H	0–2	L
21 Apr	VfB Stuttgart	A	3–1	W
17 Apr	FC Bayern München	H	2–3	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 May	VfL Wolfsburg	A	3–2	W
16 May	Borussia Dortmund	H	1–3	L
09 May	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	1–1	D
03 May	Hertha BSC	H	1–1	D
24 Apr	FC Bayern München	H	2–1	W
21 Apr	SV Werder Bremen	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

VfL Wolfsburg		1. FSV Mainz 05
#16	Position	#10
29	Points	40
34	Played	34
7 / 8 / 19	W / D / L	10 / 10 / 14
45	Scored	44
69	Conceded	53
-24	GD	-9
0.85	PPG	1.18
21%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

6% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season

12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfL Wolfsburg

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/2

46-60

2/3

61-75

–/3

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/1

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. 1. FSV Mainz 05 get us underway at Volkswagen Arena.
5' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Adam Szalai has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Paulo Otavio made 169 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
25' Stefan Bell is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FSV Mainz 05 so far.
29' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Leandro Barreiro Martins.
32' Danny Latza has so much to prove this time. He replaces Leandro Barreiro Martins on 32 minute.
37' The travelling 1. FSV Mainz 05 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
40' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 40.
41' Controversy at the stadium! Stefan Bell argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
44' What composure from Jean-Paul Boetius! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 0-1.
47' What a strike from Maximilian Philipp! The score is 1-1.
48' What composure from Maximilian Philipp! The Germany international strokes it home. 2-1.
51' Maximilian Arnold is having his name booked by the referee on 51.
52' VfL Wolfsburg receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 52.
54' The Sweden Robin Quaison breaks the deadlock on 54 minutes. 2-2!
55' What a moment for Robin Quaison! That strike on 55 puts his side firmly in control.
56' VfL Wolfsburg player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
57' Kevin Mbabu makes way for Joao Victor at the 57 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfL Wolfsburg.
58' VfL Wolfsburg ring the changes. John Brooks has done his job and it is now time for Tim Siersleben to step up.
61' That is a Yellow card for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Jean-Paul Boetius will be fuming at that decision.
66' Joao Victor doubles the advantage! 3-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
69' Daniel Ginczek is replacing Josip Brekalo for the VfL Wolfsburg side.
70' Another change for VfL Wolfsburg made on 70 minute. Josip Brekalo leaves to be changed by Daniel Ginczek.
71' Daniel Brosinski makes way for Edimilson Fernandes at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
75' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Maximilian Philipp on 75 minutes.
77' GOAL! Stefan Bell fires home to make it 3-4!
78' Stefan Bell is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
81' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Danny da Costa departs to be replaced by Philipp Mwene.
83' Another change for VfL Wolfsburg made on 83 minute. Paulo Otavio leaves to be changed by Jerome Roussillon.
84' Jerome Roussillon is replacing Paulo Otavio for the VfL Wolfsburg side.
89' VfL Wolfsburg currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — VfL Wolfsburg 2-3 1. FSV Mainz 05.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

Starting XI

4
Maxence Lacroix
9
Wout Weghorst
25
John Brooks ↓ Tim Siersleben 57'
27
Maximilian Arnold
7
Josip Brekalo ↓ Daniel Ginczek 69'
12
Pavao Pervan
17
Maximilian Philipp
20
Ridle Baku
6
Paulo Otavio ↓ Jerome Roussillon 83'
19
Kevin Mbabu ↓ Joao Victor 57'
24
Xaver Schlager ↓ Yannick Gerhardt 83'

Bench

Coach Oliver Glasner

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Starting XI

4
Jerry St. Juste
31
Dominik Kohr
37
Finn Dahmen
18
Daniel Brosinski ↓ Edimilson Fernandes 71'
16
Stefan Bell
7
Robin Quaison ↓ Adam Szalai 71'
21
Karim Onisiwo
5
Jean-Paul Boetius ↓ Levin Oztunali 81'
19
Moussa Niakhate
35
Leandro Barreiro Martins ↓ Danny Latza 32'
22
Danny da Costa ↓ Philipp Mwene 81'

Bench

23
Philipp Mwene ↑ 81'
42
Alexander Hack
6
Danny Latza ↑ 32'
8
Levin Oztunali ↑ 81'
28
Adam Szalai ↑ 71'
9
Robert Glatzel
20
Edimilson Fernandes ↑ 71'
33
Omer Hanin

Coach Bo Svensson

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jonas Wind	7
Maximilian Arnold	3
Jonathan Burkardt	3
Max Kruse	3
Maximilian Philipp	2
Sebastiaan Bornauw	2
Stefan Bell	2
Wout Weghorst	2

Head to Head

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2021-05-22 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2021-05-16 RB Leipzig 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg D 2021-05-08 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FC Union Berlin W 2021-04-24 VfL Wolfsburg 0–2 Borussia Dortmund L 2021-04-21 VfB Stuttgart 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg W 2021-04-17 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 FC Bayern München L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2021-05-22 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2021-05-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 Borussia Dortmund L 2021-05-09 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2021-05-03 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hertha BSC D 2021-04-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern München W 2021-04-21 SV Werder Bremen 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.7 VfL Wolfsburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.52 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

VfL Wolfsburg41% Draw26% 1. FSV Mainz 0533%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.22

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw

67%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

59%

VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

VfL Wolfsburg31% Draw43% 1. FSV Mainz 0526%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted

2 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

11.2%

2 – 1

8.4%

1 – 2

7.6%

2 – 2

6.4%

1 – 0

2 – 0

5.7%

0 – 0

5.6%

0 – 1

5.3%

3 – 1

4.8%

0 – 2

4.6%

1 – 3

3.8%

3 – 2

3.7%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap	VfL Wolfsburg covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	13%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	19%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	66%	—	34%
+1	66%	17%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.