VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.
- VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Bastian Dankert
- Referee Markus Hacker
- Referee Nicolas Winter
- Referee Rene Rohde
- Referee Soren Storks
- Referee Christian Fischer
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 3 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SC Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | SV 07 Elversberg | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Bayern München | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | 1. FC Köln | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | SV Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 2–3 | L |
| 16 May | RB Leipzig | A | 2–2 | D |
| 08 May | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Apr | Borussia Dortmund | H | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | VfB Stuttgart | A | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Apr | FC Bayern München | H | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 16 May | Borussia Dortmund | H | 1–3 | L |
| 09 May | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | Hertha BSC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Apr | FC Bayern München | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Apr | SV Werder Bremen | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| VfL Wolfsburg | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #16 |
| 29 | Points | 0 |
| 34 | Played | 0 |
| 7 / 8 / 19 | W / D / L | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| 45 | Scored | 0 |
| 69 | Conceded | 0 |
| -24 | GD | +0 |
| 0.85 | PPG | – |
| 21% | Win % | – |
Key Stats
48%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
VfL Wolfsburg are 1st (29 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Volkswagen Arena!
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. VfL Wolfsburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' Kevin Mbabu has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 20' VfL Wolfsburg is showing some good football. However, VfL Wolfsburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 25' Karim Onisiwo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for VfL Wolfsburg so far.
- 29' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Leandro Barreiro Martins.
- 32' Danny Latza gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Leandro Barreiro Martins and will look to change the dynamic.
- 37' The travelling 1. FSV Mainz 05 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 40' That is a Yellow card for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Stefan Bell will be fuming at that decision.
- 41' The referee calls foul for Stefan Bell. He receives a Yellow card.
- 44' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jean-Paul Boetius makes it 0-1.
- 47' What a strike from Maximilian Philipp! The score is 1-1.
- 48' Maximilian Philipp has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 48 minutes.
- 51' The referee shows VfL Wolfsburg player a Yellow card on 51.
- 52' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Maximilian Arnold.
- 54' Magnificent from Robin Quaison! That is 31 goals in 108 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 55' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is taking the lead after the goal scored by Robin Quaison on 55.
- 56' VfL Wolfsburg receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 56.
- 57' VfL Wolfsburg make a change. Kevin Mbabu trudges off to be replaced by Joao Victor on 57 minutes.
- 58' Tim Siersleben is ready to make an impact after coming on for John Brooks at the 58 minute mark.
- 61' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Jean-Paul Boetius on 61 minutes.
- 66' Brilliant from the ! Joao Victor makes it 3-3 with a superb finish on 66.
- 69' Another substitution for VfL Wolfsburg to replace Josip Brekalo by Daniel Ginczek on 69 minute.
- 70' The supporters are chanting for Daniel Ginczek. He replaces Josip Brekalo on 70 minute.
- 71' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Daniel Brosinski by Edimilson Fernandes on 71 minute.
- 75' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Maximilian Philipp on 75 minutes.
- 77' Brilliant from the ! Stefan Bell makes it 3-4 with a superb finish on 77.
- 78' Magnificent from Stefan Bell! That is 6 goals in 436 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 81' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Danny da Costa is withdrawn and Philipp Mwene gets his opportunity.
- 83' Jerome Roussillon is ready to make an impact after coming on for Paulo Otavio at the 83 minute mark.
- 84' Another change for VfL Wolfsburg made on 84 minute. Paulo Otavio leaves to be changed by Jerome Roussillon.
- 89' Danny da Costa has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 515 appearances.
- 2-3 the final result. VfL Wolfsburg will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 9
-
25
John Brooks ↓ Tim Siersleben 57'
- 27
-
7
Josip Brekalo ↓ Daniel Ginczek 69'
- 12
- 17
- 20
- 6
-
19
Kevin Mbabu ↓ Joao Victor 57'
- 24
Bench
-
15
Jerome Roussillon ↑ 83'
-
33
Daniel Ginczek ↑ 69'
- 23
-
31
Yannick Gerhardt ↑ 83'
- 14
-
40
Joao Victor ↑ 57'
- 35
- 30
-
39
Tim Siersleben ↑ 57'
Coach
Oliver Glasner
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 31
- 37
- 18
- 16
-
7
Robin Quaison ↓ Adam Szalai 71'
- 21
- 5
- 19
- 35
-
22
Danny da Costa ↓ Philipp Mwene 81'
Bench
-
23
Philipp Mwene ↑ 81'
- 42
-
6
Danny Latza ↑ 32'
-
8
Levin Oztunali ↑ 81'
-
28
Adam Szalai ↑ 71'
- 9
-
20
Edimilson Fernandes ↑ 71'
- 33
Coach
Bo Svensson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonas Wind | 7 |
| Maximilian Arnold | 3 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 3 |
| Max Kruse | 3 |
| Renato Steffen | 2 |
| Paul Nebel | 2 |
| Maximilian Philipp | 2 |
| Sebastiaan Bornauw | 2 |
Head to Head
VfL Wolfsburg Form
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.97
VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 75% + VfL Wolfsburg or Draw 73%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 1.71
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 1.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 2.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 3.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
73%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
61%
VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
66%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–3 not predicted2 – 3Actual
0 – 0
20.6%
1 – 0
16%
1 – 1
14%
0 – 1
11.9%
2 – 0
8%
2 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 0
2.5%
2 – 2
2.5%
3 – 1
2.1%
1 – 3
1.2%
Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg
| Handicap | VfL Wolfsburg covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 23% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 17% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
48%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

