RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.
- RB Leipzig 4 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Markus Hacker
- Referee Sascha Thielert
- Referee Martin Petersen
- Referee Tobias Reichel
- Referee Markus Schmidt
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 4–1 | W |
| 13 Dec | Rosenborg BK | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Dec | SC Freiburg | A | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Dec | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Nov | FC Red Bull Salzburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Nov | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec | RB Leipzig | A | 1–4 | L |
| 09 Dec | Hannover 96 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Nov | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | A | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Nov | Borussia Dortmund | H | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Nov | SC Freiburg | A | 3–1 | W |
| 04 Nov | SV Werder Bremen | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| RB Leipzig | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #6 |
| 6 | Points | 7 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 2 / 0 / 2 | W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 1 |
| 9 | Scored | 10 |
| 5 | Conceded | 6 |
| +4 | GD | +4 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.75 |
| 50% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
50%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
RB Leipzig
| Antonio Nusa | 2 G | 2 A |
| Ridle Baku | 2 G | |
| Rocco Reitz | 1 G |
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 4 G | |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 3 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. RB Leipzig is hosting 1. FSV Mainz 05 for another epic battle.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Karim Onisiwo, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 10' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Levin Oztunali has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 14' What a strike from Yussuf Poulsen! The score is 1-0.
- 19' Yussuf Poulsen has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 19 minutes.
- 24' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. RB Leipzig needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 27' It’s a booking for RB Leipzig player. Dayot Upamecano gets a Yellow card.
- 32' France international Ibrahima Konate has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 37' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 38' A goal from the Austria international Karim Onisiwo! He fires home on 38 to make it 2-1!
- 42' A moment of madness from Marcel Sabitzer on 42 minutes earns him a Yellow card. RB Leipzig will be frustrated.
- 46' Time for substitution for RB Leipzig. Kevin Kampl is replaced by Konrad Laimer.
- 51' Willi Orban has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 51.
- 52' The referee has no hesitation. Danny Latza is booked for 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Yellow card on 52.
- 54' The referee calls foul for Moussa Niakhate. He receives a Yellow card.
- 59' 1. FSV Mainz 05 come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 64' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both RB Leipzig and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 66' Poor challenge from Robin Zentner. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 67' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Robin Quaison is replaced by Alexandru Maxim.
- 72' RB Leipzig are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 74' What a moment for Timo Werner! That strike on 74 puts his side firmly in control.
- 78' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Anthony Ujah comes on to replace Karim Onisiwo.
- 83' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Levin Oztunali by Jean-Paul Boetius on 83 minute.
- 85' RB Leipzig make a change. Lukas Klostermann trudges off to be replaced by Stefan Ilsanker on 85 minutes.
- 88' A goal from the Germany international Timo Werner! He fires home on 88 to make it 4-1!
- 89' RB Leipzig manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Bruma is hanging Timo Werner on the field on 89 minute.
- Another three points for RB Leipzig.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Timo Werner ↓ Bruma 89'
- 9
- 1
- 16
- 4
- 23
- 5
- 6
- 31
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↓ Konrad Laimer 46'
- 7
Bench
- 28
-
13
Stefan Ilsanker ↑ 85'
-
27
Konrad Laimer ↑ 46'
- 29
-
17
Bruma ↑ 89'
- 3
- 20
Coach
Ralf Rangnick
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 27
- 18
- 16
- 25
- 6
- 8
-
7
Robin Quaison ↓ Alexandru Maxim 67'
-
21
Karim Onisiwo ↓ Anthony Ujah 78'
- 19
- 3
Bench
- 42
- 2
-
10
Alexandru Maxim ↑ 67'
-
20
Anthony Ujah ↑ 78'
-
5
Jean-Paul Boetius ↑ 83'
- 33
- 14
Coach
Sandro Schwarz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Timo Werner | 9 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 5 |
| Moussa Niakhate | 4 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 3 |
| Karim Onisiwo | 2 |
| Xavi Simons | 2 |
| Leandro Barreiro Martins | 2 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.05
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.51
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
73%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
50%
RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–1 not predicted4 – 1Actual
1 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6.3%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 0
5.5%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.4%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
3.7%
0 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 15% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 20% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 14% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.