Saturday , 14 November 2026

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2018-19
Sun 16 Dec 2018 · 14:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Markus Hacker
  • Referee Sascha Thielert
  • Referee Martin Petersen
  • Referee Tobias Reichel
  • Referee Markus Schmidt

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–1 W
13 Dec Rosenborg BK H 1–1 D
08 Dec SC Freiburg A 0–3 L
02 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach H 2–0 W
29 Nov FC Red Bull Salzburg A 0–1 L
24 Nov VfL Wolfsburg A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Dec RB Leipzig A 1–4 L
09 Dec Hannover 96 H 1–1 D
30 Nov TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 1–0 W
24 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
10 Nov SC Freiburg A 3–1 W
04 Nov SV Werder Bremen H 2–1 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig 1. FSV Mainz 05
#4 Position #12
18 Points 10
9 Played 9
6 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 5
27 Scored 18
13 Conceded 19
+14 GD -1
2.00 PPG 1.11
67% Win % 33%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
56% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Christopher Nkunku 5 G 2 A
Romulo Cruz 5 G
Antonio Nusa 4 G 7 A
Tidiam Gomis 3 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 6 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Red Bull Arena!
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Robin Zentner is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 14' Brilliant from the ! Yussuf Poulsen makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 14.
  • 19' Against the run of play, Yussuf Poulsen has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 24' RB Leipzig are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FSV Mainz 05 backline.
  • 27' A moment of madness from Dayot Upamecano on 27 minutes earns him a Yellow card. RB Leipzig will be frustrated.
  • 32' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 37' Peter Gulacsi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 38' Brilliant from the ! Karim Onisiwo makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 38.
  • 42' RB Leipzig player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Kevin Kampl as he leaves the pitch. Konrad Laimer steps in for RB Leipzig.
  • 51' RB Leipzig receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 51.
  • 52' Danny Latza was booked on 52.
  • 54' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a Yellow card on 54.
  • 59' RB Leipzig are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 64' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both RB Leipzig and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 66' The referee calls foul for Robin Zentner. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 67' The crowd applauds Robin Quaison as he leaves the pitch. Alexandru Maxim steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 72' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 74' Magnificent from Timo Werner! That is 116 goals in 166 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 78' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 78 minute. Karim Onisiwo leaves to be changed by Anthony Ujah.
  • 83' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Levin Oztunali exits the field as Jean-Paul Boetius enters on 83.
  • 85' Another change for RB Leipzig made on 85 minute. Lukas Klostermann leaves to be changed by Stefan Ilsanker.
  • 88' Brilliant from the ! Timo Werner makes it 4-1 with a superb finish on 88.
  • 89' RB Leipzig manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Bruma is hanging Timo Werner on the field on 89 minute.
  • The final score is 4-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.13 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig63% Draw19% 1. FSV Mainz 0518%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 4.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 66%
34%
± 4.5 47%
53%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
81%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
37%
RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig53% Draw32% 1. FSV Mainz 0515%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 1
7.3%
2 – 1
7.2%
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
5.2%
2 – 0
5.2%
4 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
4%
5 – 1
3.6%
1 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 32% — 68%
-2 32% 18% 50%
-1.5 50% — 50%
-1 50% 18% 31%
-0.5 69% — 31%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 9% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.