Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2018-19
RB Leipzig
4 – 1
Full Time
1. FSV Mainz 05
Sun 16 Dec 2018 · 14:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Dayot Upamecano 27' Y
Marcel Sabitzer 42' Y
Willi Orban 51' Y
Y 52' Danny Latza
Y 54' Moussa Niakhate
Y 66' Robin Zentner

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Markus Hacker
  • Referee Sascha Thielert
  • Referee Martin Petersen
  • Referee Tobias Reichel
  • Referee Markus Schmidt

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

8
4
8
RB Leipzig 20 games · Avg 3.3 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05
Last 5 meetings
2018-12-16 RB Leipzig 4–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2017-04-16 RB Leipzig 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2016-11-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 RB Leipzig 2016-01-30 RB Leipzig 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2015-08-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–1 W
13 Dec Rosenborg BK H 1–1 D
08 Dec SC Freiburg A 0–3 L
02 Dec Borussia Monchengladbach H 2–0 W
29 Nov FC Red Bull Salzburg A 0–1 L
24 Nov VfL Wolfsburg A 0–1 L
1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Dec RB Leipzig A 1–4 L
09 Dec Hannover 96 H 1–1 D
30 Nov TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf A 1–0 W
24 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
10 Nov SC Freiburg A 3–1 W
04 Nov SV Werder Bremen H 2–1 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig 1. FSV Mainz 05
#3 Position #10
65 Points 40
34 Played 34
20 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14
66 Scored 44
47 Conceded 53
+19 GD -9
1.91 PPG 1.18
59% Win % 29%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for RB Leipzig to score. At the same time, 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FSV Mainz 05 that had 436 games and scored 398 goals.
  • 10' 1. FSV Mainz 05 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 14' What a strike from Yussuf Poulsen! The score is 1-0.
  • 19' Yussuf Poulsen does the damage! The net is bulging and RB Leipzig surge ahead!
  • 24' Germany international Marcel Halstenberg has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 27' Dayot Upamecano catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 27.
  • 32' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 37' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 38' Karim Onisiwo is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
  • 42' RB Leipzig player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 46' Time for substitution for RB Leipzig. Kevin Kampl is replaced by Konrad Laimer.
  • 51' Controversy at the stadium! Willi Orban argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 52' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Danny Latza.
  • 54' Moussa Niakhate picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 59' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have won 398 goals from 436 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 64' The home supporters are growing impatient. RB Leipzig must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 66' Robin Zentner picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 67' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Robin Quaison is replaced by Alexandru Maxim on 67 minute.
  • 72' 1. FSV Mainz 05 come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 74' Timo Werner has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 74 minutes.
  • 78' Anthony Ujah gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Karim Onisiwo and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 83' Jean-Paul Boetius is replacing Levin Oztunali for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
  • 85' A tactical swap from RB Leipzig — Stefan Ilsanker on, Lukas Klostermann off on 85 minutes.
  • 88' Timo Werner with the second goal in the match!
  • 89' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Timo Werner is replaced by Bruma on 89 minute.
  • 4-1 the final result. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ralf Rangnick

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sandro Schwarz

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Timo Werner 9
Yussuf Poulsen 5
Moussa Niakhate 4
Christopher Nkunku 3
Marcus Ingvartsen 3
Andre Silva 2
Lukas Klostermann 2
Dominik Szoboszlai 2

Head to Head

2018-12-16 RB Leipzig 4–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2017-04-16 RB Leipzig 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2016-11-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 RB Leipzig 2016-01-30 RB Leipzig 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2015-08-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig Form

2018-12-16 RB Leipzig 4–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2018-12-13 RB Leipzig 1–1 Rosenborg BK D 2018-12-08 SC Freiburg 3–0 RB Leipzig L 2018-12-02 RB Leipzig 2–0 Borussia Monchengladbach W 2018-11-29 FC Red Bull Salzburg 1–0 RB Leipzig L 2018-11-24 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 RB Leipzig L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2018-12-16 RB Leipzig 4–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2018-12-09 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hannover 96 D 2018-11-30 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2018-11-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–2 Borussia Dortmund L 2018-11-10 SC Freiburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2018-11-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 SV Werder Bremen W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.11 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig54% Draw23% 1. FSV Mainz 0523%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.32
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
78%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
46%
RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig42% Draw41% 1. FSV Mainz 0517%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 17% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 22% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 12% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.