RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.
- RB Leipzig 9 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Markus Hacker
- Referee Sascha Thielert
- Referee Martin Petersen
- Referee Tobias Reichel
- Referee Markus Schmidt
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 4–1 | W |
| 13 Dec | Rosenborg BK | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Dec | SC Freiburg | A | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Dec | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Nov | FC Red Bull Salzburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Nov | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec | RB Leipzig | A | 1–4 | L |
| 09 Dec | Hannover 96 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Nov | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | A | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Nov | Borussia Dortmund | H | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Nov | SC Freiburg | A | 3–1 | W |
| 04 Nov | SV Werder Bremen | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| RB Leipzig | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #12 |
| 18 | Points | 10 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 6 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 5 |
| 27 | Scored | 18 |
| 13 | Conceded | 19 |
| +14 | GD | -1 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
56%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
RB Leipzig
| Christopher Nkunku | 5 G | 2 A |
| Romulo Cruz | 5 G | |
| Antonio Nusa | 4 G | 7 A |
| Tidiam Gomis | 3 G | 2 A |
| Ridle Baku | 2 G |
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Red Bull Arena!
- 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Robin Zentner is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 14' Brilliant from the ! Yussuf Poulsen makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 14.
- 19' Against the run of play, Yussuf Poulsen has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 24' RB Leipzig are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FSV Mainz 05 backline.
- 27' A moment of madness from Dayot Upamecano on 27 minutes earns him a Yellow card. RB Leipzig will be frustrated.
- 32' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 37' Peter Gulacsi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 38' Brilliant from the ! Karim Onisiwo makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 38.
- 42' RB Leipzig player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 46' The crowd applauds Kevin Kampl as he leaves the pitch. Konrad Laimer steps in for RB Leipzig.
- 51' RB Leipzig receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 51.
- 52' Danny Latza was booked on 52.
- 54' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a Yellow card on 54.
- 59' RB Leipzig are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 64' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both RB Leipzig and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 66' The referee calls foul for Robin Zentner. He receives a Yellow card.
- 67' The crowd applauds Robin Quaison as he leaves the pitch. Alexandru Maxim steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 72' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 74' Magnificent from Timo Werner! That is 116 goals in 166 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 78' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 78 minute. Karim Onisiwo leaves to be changed by Anthony Ujah.
- 83' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Levin Oztunali exits the field as Jean-Paul Boetius enters on 83.
- 85' Another change for RB Leipzig made on 85 minute. Lukas Klostermann leaves to be changed by Stefan Ilsanker.
- 88' Brilliant from the ! Timo Werner makes it 4-1 with a superb finish on 88.
- 89' RB Leipzig manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Bruma is hanging Timo Werner on the field on 89 minute.
- The final score is 4-1.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Timo Werner ↓ Bruma 89'
- 9
- 1
- 16
- 4
- 23
- 5
- 6
- 31
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↓ Konrad Laimer 46'
- 7
Bench
- 28
-
13
Stefan Ilsanker ↑ 85'
-
27
Konrad Laimer ↑ 46'
- 29
-
17
Bruma ↑ 89'
- 3
- 20
Coach
Ralf Rangnick
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 27
- 18
- 16
- 25
- 6
- 8
-
7
Robin Quaison ↓ Alexandru Maxim 67'
-
21
Karim Onisiwo ↓ Anthony Ujah 78'
- 19
- 3
Bench
- 42
- 2
-
10
Alexandru Maxim ↑ 67'
-
20
Anthony Ujah ↑ 78'
-
5
Jean-Paul Boetius ↑ 83'
- 33
- 14
Coach
Sandro Schwarz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Timo Werner | 9 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 5 |
| Moussa Niakhate | 4 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 3 |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 2 |
| Andre Silva | 2 |
| Lukas Klostermann | 2 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.13
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.6
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 4.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
81%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
37%
RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 1
7.3%
2 – 1
7.2%
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
5.2%
2 – 0
5.2%
4 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
4%
5 – 1
3.6%
1 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -2 | 32% | 18% | 50% |
| -1.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| -1 | 50% | 18% | 31% |
| -0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 9% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

