Saturday , 14 November 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2018-19
Fri 3 May 2019 · 18:30 UTC Opel Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Opel Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Aarne Aarnink
  • Referee Lasse Koslowski
  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Referee Thomas Stein
  • Referee Bibiana Steinhaus

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May RB Leipzig H 3–3 D
27 Apr Hannover 96 A 0–1 L
20 Apr TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf H 3–1 W
13 Apr Borussia Dortmund A 1–2 L
05 Apr SC Freiburg H 5–0 W
30 Mar SV Werder Bremen A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–3 D
27 Apr SC Freiburg H 2–1 W
23 Apr Hamburger SV A 3–1 W
20 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–1 W
13 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 2–0 W
06 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 4–2 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 RB Leipzig
#12 Position #4
10 Points 18
9 Played 9
3 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 0 / 3
18 Scored 27
19 Conceded 13
-1 GD +14
1.11 PPG 2.00
33% Win % 67%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
56% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 6 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
RB Leipzig
Christopher Nkunku 5 G 2 A
Romulo Cruz 5 G
Antonio Nusa 4 G 7 A
Tidiam Gomis 3 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — 1. FSV Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig get this one started.
  • 5' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Timo Werner has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Willi Orban suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' The Germany Lukas Klostermann breaks the deadlock on 20 minutes. 0-1!
  • 25' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined RB Leipzig backline.
  • 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 32' A stunning finish from Lukas Klostermann — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 37' Nordi Mukiele is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FSV Mainz 05 so far.
  • 42' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 43' What composure from Karim Onisiwo! The Austria international strokes it home. 1-2.
  • 46' Karim Onisiwo makes way for Jean-Philippe Mateta at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 49' Timo Werner doubles the advantage! 1-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 52' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Kevin Kampl on 52 minutes.
  • 55' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 55.
  • 60' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 65' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 67' Moussa Niakhate makes no mistake. The score reads 2-3 and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are in front.
  • 67' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Pierre Kunde Malong on, Bote Baku off on 67 minutes.
  • 70' RB Leipzig make a change. Konrad Laimer trudges off to be replaced by Amadou Haidara on 70 minutes.
  • 75' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 79' Alexandru Maxim is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jean-Philippe Gbamin at the 79 minute mark.
  • 83' A goal from the France international Jean-Philippe Mateta! He fires home on 83 to make it 3-3!
  • 88' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FSV Mainz 05 in their trying to find a way past RB Leipzig's compact .
  • 90' A change in the RB Leipzig ranks — Yussuf Poulsen exits the field as Matheus Cunha enters on 90.
  • 3-3 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.21 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.88 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 83%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0532% Draw22% RB Leipzig46%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes83% 0% No17%
Avg goals/match: 5.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 96%
4%
± 2.5 87%
13%
± 3.5 73%
27%
± 4.5 56%
44%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
54%
Draw or RB Leipzig
68%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0526% Draw33% RB Leipzig41%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 3
5.7%
1 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
5.3%
1 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
4.4%
2 – 1
4.4%
3 – 3
Actual
2 – 4
4.1%
1 – 4
3.8%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 4
3.1%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 9% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 13% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 48% — 52%
+1 48% 17% 34%
+1.5 66% — 34%
+2 66% 15% 19%
+2.5 81% — 19%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
6% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.