Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2018-19
Fri 3 May 2019 · 18:30 UTC Opel Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB LeipzigBundesliga at Opel Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Aarne Aarnink
  • Referee Lasse Koslowski
  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Referee Thomas Stein
  • Referee Bibiana Steinhaus

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May RB Leipzig H 3–3 D
27 Apr Hannover 96 A 0–1 L
20 Apr TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf H 3–1 W
13 Apr Borussia Dortmund A 1–2 L
05 Apr SC Freiburg H 5–0 W
30 Mar SV Werder Bremen A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–3 D
27 Apr SC Freiburg H 2–1 W
23 Apr Hamburger SV A 3–1 W
20 Apr Borussia Monchengladbach A 2–1 W
13 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 2–0 W
06 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 4–2 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 RB Leipzig
#10 Position #3
40 Points 65
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 20 / 5 / 9
44 Scored 66
53 Conceded 47
-9 GD +19
1.18 PPG 1.91
29% Win % 59%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: 1. FSV Mainz 05 gets underway.
  • 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His 1. FSV Mainz 05 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 20' Lukas Klostermann is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sandro Schwarz might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 32' Lukas Klostermann has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 32 minutes.
  • 37' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 42' Emil Forsberg has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 43' GOAL! Karim Onisiwo scores on 43. Assisted by Danny Latza
  • 46' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05Jean-Philippe Mateta on, Karim Onisiwo off on 46 minutes.
  • 49' Against the run of play, Timo Werner has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 52' Kevin Kampl is having his name booked by the referee on 52.
  • 55' Daniel Brosinski has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 55.
  • 60' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 65' Over 65 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 67' Moussa Niakhate is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 67' Bote Baku makes way for Pierre Kunde Malong at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 70' A tactical swap from RB LeipzigAmadou Haidara on, Konrad Laimer off on 70 minutes.
  • 75' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 79' Alexandru Maxim gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Jean-Philippe Gbamin and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 83' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jean-Philippe Mateta makes it 3-3.
  • 88' Daniel Brosinski is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for RB Leipzig so far.
  • 90' Matheus Cunha gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Yussuf Poulsen and will look to change the dynamic.
  • The points are shared — 1. FSV Mainz 05 3-3 RB Leipzig. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.89 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.03 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig 75% + Over 2.5 goals 74%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0536% Draw25% RB Leipzig39%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 3.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
61%
Draw or RB Leipzig
64%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0529% Draw38% RB Leipzig33%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 3
4.7%
3 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
4.4%
0 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3.6%
0 – 1
3.6%
1 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 11% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 17% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 18% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 12% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
14%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.