1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
- FC Bayern München 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Marco Achmuller
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Referee Guido Kleve
- Referee Thomas Gorniak
- Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
- Referee Martin Thomsen
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | FC Bayern München | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Apr | 1. FC Köln | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Apr | SV Werder Bremen | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Apr | RB Leipzig | A | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | SC Freiburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Mar | Hertha BSC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | Manchester City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Apr | Manchester City FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 08 Apr | SC Freiburg | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | SC Freiburg | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #2 |
| 7 | Points | 10 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 2 / 1 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 0 |
| 10 | Scored | 14 |
| 6 | Conceded | 2 |
| +4 | GD | +12 |
| 1.75 | PPG | 2.50 |
| 50% | Win % | 75% |
Key Stats
78%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
50%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 4 G | |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 3 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
FC Bayern München
| Michael Olise | 4 G | 1 A |
| Harry Kane | 3 G | |
| Aleksandar Pavlovic | 1 G | 1 A |
| Dayot Upamecano | 1 G | |
| Luis Diaz | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to score. At the same time, FC Bayern München does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' It’s high time Bo Svensson made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 9' A change in the FC Bayern Munchen ranks — Alphonso Davies exits the field as Noussair Mazraoui enters on 9.
- 14' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 19' FC Bayern München fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 24' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 29' The energy levels are beginning to show. Thomas Tuchel might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 30' Sadio Mane is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 35' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 45' Edimilson Fernandes has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 46' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Aaron Martin comes on to replace Anthony Caci.
- 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 56' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern München backline.
- 57' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Aaron Martin.
- 60' A moment of madness from Dominik Kohr on 60 minutes earns him a Yellow card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
- 64' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Anton Stach is hanging Dominik Kohr on the field on 64 minute.
- 65' A goal from the France international Ludovic Ajorque! He fires home on 65 to make it 1-1!
- 70' FC Bayern München started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 70.
- 73' Leandro Barreiro Martins has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 73 minutes.
- 75' Mathys Tel is replacing Thomas Muller for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
- 77' The crowd applauds Lee Jaesung as he leaves the pitch. Aymen Barkok steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 79' What a moment for Aaron Martin! That strike on 79 puts his side firmly in control.
- 80' Jamal Musiala makes way for Serge Gnabry at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Bayern Munchen.
- 83' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Alexander Hack on, Edimilson Fernandes off on 83 minutes.
- 88' Over 88 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- With this win, 1. FSV Mainz 05 is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Lee Jaesung ↓ Aymen Barkok 77'
- 17
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Aaron Martin 46'
-
31
Dominik Kohr ↓ Anton Stach 64'
- 27
- 16
- 9
- 8
- 20
- 30
- 25
Bench
- 1
-
42
Alexander Hack ↑ 83'
-
3
Aaron Martin ↑ 46'
- 21
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 77'
- 37
-
11
Marcus Ingvartsen ↑ 77'
-
6
Anton Stach ↑ 64'
- 44
Coach
Bo Svensson
FC Bayern München Lineups
Starting XI
-
17
Sadio Mane ↓ Leroy Sane 80'
- 4
- 6
-
25
Thomas Muller ↓ Mathys Tel 75'
- 8
- 2
- 27
- 22
- 19
-
42
Jamal Musiala ↓ Serge Gnabry 80'
- 44
Bench
-
10
Leroy Sane ↑ 80'
-
40
Noussair Mazraoui ↑ 9'
- 23
-
38
Ryan Gravenberch ↑ 75'
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↑ 80'
- 26
- 11
-
39
Mathys Tel ↑ 75'
Coach
Thomas Tuchel
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamal Musiala | 9 |
| Robert Lewandowski | 7 |
| Harry Kane | 5 |
| Leon Goretzka | 5 |
| Leroy Sane | 5 |
| Kingsley Coman | 5 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 3 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 3 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
FC Bayern München Form
2023-04-22
1. FSV Mainz 05
3–1
FC Bayern München
L
2023-04-19
FC Bayern München
1–1
Manchester City FC
D
2023-04-15
FC Bayern München
1–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2023-04-11
Manchester City FC
3–0
FC Bayern München
L
2023-04-08
SC Freiburg
0–1
FC Bayern München
W
2023-04-04
FC Bayern München
1–2
SC Freiburg
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.21
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München 78% + Over 2.5 goals 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.66
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
56%
Draw or FC Bayern München
67%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–1 not predicted3 – 1Actual
1 – 1
9.1%
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 3
6.4%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
5.2%
2 – 3
4.7%
0 – 3
4.5%
0 – 0
3.9%
1 – 4
3.6%
1 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 13% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 20% | 33% |
| +1.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +2 | 67% | 16% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

