1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- FC Bayern München 34 games · 89 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Marco Achmuller
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Referee Guido Kleve
- Referee Thomas Gorniak
- Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
- Referee Martin Thomsen
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | FC Bayern München | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Apr | 1. FC Koln | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Apr | SV Werder Bremen | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Apr | RB Leipzig | A | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | SC Freiburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Mar | Hertha BSC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | Manchester City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Apr | Manchester City FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 08 Apr | SC Freiburg | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | SC Freiburg | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #1 |
| 40 | Points | 89 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 28 / 5 / 1 |
| 44 | Scored | 122 |
| 53 | Conceded | 36 |
| -9 | GD | +86 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 2.62 |
| 29% | Win % | 82% |
Key Stats
78%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
35%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. 1. FSV Mainz 05 get us underway at MEWA Arena.
- 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 9' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 9 minute. Alphonso Davies leaves to be changed by Noussair Mazraoui.
- 14' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bo Svensson might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 19' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 24' Mathys Tel, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 29' FC Bayern München looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Harry Kane scoring 1 goals.
- 30' Goal! Sadio Mane scores his 110 goal in 409 matches.
- 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Thomas Tuchel will be considering his options from the bench.
- 40' Netherlands international Ryan Gravenberch has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
- 45' A quiet spell here at MEWA Arena. FC Bayern München seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 46' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Anthony Caci trudges off to be replaced by Aaron Martin on 46 minutes.
- 51' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 56' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 57' Aaron Martin has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 57.
- 60' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Dominik Kohr.
- 64' The supporters are chanting for Anton Stach. He replaces Dominik Kohr on 64 minute.
- 65' Brilliant from the ! Ludovic Ajorque makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 65.
- 70' With 1 assists to his name this season, Leon Goretzka is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Bayern München.
- 73' A stunning finish from Leandro Barreiro Martins — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 75' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Mathys Tel comes on to replace Thomas Muller.
- 77' Aymen Barkok is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lee Jaesung at the 77 minute mark.
- 79' Aaron Martin is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 80' Serge Gnabry has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jamal Musiala on 80 minute.
- 83' Edimilson Fernandes makes way for Alexander Hack at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 88' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FC Bayern München.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Lee Jaesung ↓ Aymen Barkok 77'
- 17
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Aaron Martin 46'
-
31
Dominik Kohr ↓ Anton Stach 64'
- 27
- 16
- 9
- 8
- 20
- 30
- 25
Bench
- 1
-
42
Alexander Hack ↑ 83'
-
3
Aaron Martin ↑ 46'
- 21
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 77'
- 37
-
11
Marcus Ingvartsen ↑ 77'
-
6
Anton Stach ↑ 64'
- 44
Coach
Bo Svensson
FC Bayern München Lineups
Starting XI
-
17
Sadio Mane ↓ Leroy Sane 80'
- 4
- 6
-
25
Thomas Muller ↓ Mathys Tel 75'
- 8
- 2
- 27
- 22
- 19
-
42
Jamal Musiala ↓ Serge Gnabry 80'
- 44
Bench
-
10
Leroy Sane ↑ 80'
-
40
Noussair Mazraoui ↑ 9'
- 23
-
38
Ryan Gravenberch ↑ 75'
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↑ 80'
- 26
- 11
-
39
Mathys Tel ↑ 75'
Coach
Thomas Tuchel
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamal Musiala | 9 |
| Robert Lewandowski | 7 |
| Kingsley Coman | 5 |
| Harry Kane | 5 |
| Leon Goretzka | 5 |
| Leroy Sane | 5 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 3 |
| James Rodriguez | 3 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
FC Bayern München Form
2023-04-22
1. FSV Mainz 05
3–1
FC Bayern München
L
2023-04-19
FC Bayern München
1–1
Manchester City FC
D
2023-04-15
FC Bayern München
1–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2023-04-11
Manchester City FC
3–0
FC Bayern München
L
2023-04-08
SC Freiburg
0–1
FC Bayern München
W
2023-04-04
FC Bayern München
1–2
SC Freiburg
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.56
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.54
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.1
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
53%
Draw or FC Bayern München
68%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–1 not predicted3 – 1Actual
1 – 2
8.1%
1 – 1
7.3%
1 – 3
6.8%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 3
5.3%
2 – 1
5%
0 – 3
4.5%
1 – 4
4.3%
0 – 1
3.9%
2 – 4
3.4%
3 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 6% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 12% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +1 | 42% | 20% | 38% |
| +1.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +2 | 62% | 17% | 21% |
| +2.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

