Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 22 Apr 2023 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Achmuller
  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Referee Guido Kleve
  • Referee Thomas Gorniak
  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Referee Martin Thomsen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr FC Bayern München H 3–1 W
15 Apr 1. FC Koln A 1–1 D
08 Apr SV Werder Bremen H 2–2 D
01 Apr RB Leipzig A 3–0 W
19 Mar SC Freiburg H 1–1 D
11 Mar Hertha BSC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–3 L
19 Apr Manchester City FC H 1–1 D
15 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D
11 Apr Manchester City FC A 0–3 L
08 Apr SC Freiburg A 1–0 W
04 Apr SC Freiburg H 1–2 L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 FC Bayern München
#10 Position #1
40 Points 89
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 28 / 5 / 1
44 Scored 122
53 Conceded 36
-9 GD +86
1.18 PPG 2.62
29% Win % 82%

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. 1. FSV Mainz 05 get us underway at MEWA Arena.
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 9' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 9 minute. Alphonso Davies leaves to be changed by Noussair Mazraoui.
  • 14' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bo Svensson might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 19' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 24' Mathys Tel, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 29' FC Bayern München looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Harry Kane scoring 1 goals.
  • 30' Goal! Sadio Mane scores his 110 goal in 409 matches.
  • 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Thomas Tuchel will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 40' Netherlands international Ryan Gravenberch has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
  • 45' A quiet spell here at MEWA Arena. FC Bayern München seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 46' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Anthony Caci trudges off to be replaced by Aaron Martin on 46 minutes.
  • 51' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 56' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 57' Aaron Martin has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 57.
  • 60' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Dominik Kohr.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Anton Stach. He replaces Dominik Kohr on 64 minute.
  • 65' Brilliant from the ! Ludovic Ajorque makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 65.
  • 70' With 1 assists to his name this season, Leon Goretzka is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Bayern München.
  • 73' A stunning finish from Leandro Barreiro Martins — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 75' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Mathys Tel comes on to replace Thomas Muller.
  • 77' Aymen Barkok is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lee Jaesung at the 77 minute mark.
  • 79' Aaron Martin is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 80' Serge Gnabry has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jamal Musiala on 80 minute.
  • 83' Edimilson Fernandes makes way for Alexander Hack at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 88' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FC Bayern München.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.56 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.54 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0532% Draw21% FC Bayern München47%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 4.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 39%
61%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
53%
Draw or FC Bayern München
68%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0520% Draw36% FC Bayern München44%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–1 not predicted
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.1%
1 – 1
7.3%
1 – 3
6.8%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 3
5.3%
2 – 1
5%
0 – 3
4.5%
1 – 4
4.3%
0 – 1
3.9%
2 – 4
3.4%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 6% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 12% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 42% 58%
+1 42% 20% 38%
+1.5 62% 38%
+2 62% 17% 21%
+2.5 79% 21%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
9%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.