Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, DFB-Pokal 2022-23 LAST 16

DFB-Pokal · 2022-23
Wed 1 Feb 2023 · 19:45 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern MünchenDFB-Pokal at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
  • Referee Eduard Beitinger
  • Referee Johann Pfeifer
  • Referee Martin Petersen
  • Referee Christian Dietz
  • Referee Markus Sinn
16 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 5.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
28 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 H 5–2 W
25 Jan Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
21 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 1–1 D
13 Nov Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
09 Nov FC Schalke 04 A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–0 W
28 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
24 Jan 1. FC Koln H 1–1 D
20 Jan RB Leipzig A 1–1 D
12 Nov FC Schalke 04 A 2–0 W
08 Nov SV Werder Bremen H 6–1 W

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. 1. FSV Mainz 05 kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His 1. FSV Mainz 05 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' FC Bayern München are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 17' GOAL! Maxim Choupo-Moting fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 18' Maxim Choupo-Moting does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Bayern Munchen surge ahead!
  • 23' 1. FSV Mainz 05 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 23.
  • 24' A moment of madness from Silvan Widmer on 24 minutes earns him a Yellow card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
  • 29' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 30' Brilliant from the ! Jamal Musiala makes it 0-3 with a superb finish on 30.
  • 31' Jamal Musiala makes no mistake. The score reads 0-4 and FC Bayern Munchen are in front.
  • 36' It’s high time Bo Svensson made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 38' Controversy at the stadium! Thomas Muller argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 40' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05Danny da Costa on, Silvan Widmer off on 40 minutes.
  • 44' What a strike from Leroy Sane! The score is 0-5.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Aaron Martin as he leaves the pitch. Alexander Hack steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 49' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Alexander Hack.
  • 54' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ryan Gravenberch suffering a number of foals already.
  • 59' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bo Svensson might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 64' Daley Blind gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Dayot Upamecano and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 67' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Ludovic Ajorque is withdrawn and Karim Onisiwo gets his opportunity.
  • 71' FC Bayern Munchen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Leon Goretzka is hanging Leroy Sane on the field on 71 minute.
  • 76' Anton Stach is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FSV Mainz 05 tonight.
  • 79' FC Bayern Munchen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Serge Gnabry is hanging Maxim Choupo-Moting on the field on 79 minute.
  • 82' The referee calls foul for Bo Svensson. He receives a Red card.
  • 83' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Alphonso Davies makes it 0-6.
  • 86' The referee has no hesitation. Alexander Hack is booked for 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Red card on 86.
  • 87' A moment of madness from Alexander Hack on 87 minutes earns him a Red card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
  • 0-4 the final result. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.3 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.9 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0527% Draw26% FC Bayern München47%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
53%
Draw or FC Bayern München
73%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0521% Draw42% FC Bayern München37%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
7.3%
0 – 1
7.1%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 3
5.8%
0 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
4.6%
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 21% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 15% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
16%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.