Saturday , 14 November 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, DFB-Pokal 2022-23 LAST 16

DFB-Pokal · 2022-23
Wed 1 Feb 2023 · 19:45 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München — DFB-Pokal at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
  • Referee Eduard Beitinger
  • Referee Johann Pfeifer
  • Referee Martin Petersen
  • Referee Christian Dietz
  • Referee Markus Sinn

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
28 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 H 5–2 W
25 Jan Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
21 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 1–1 D
13 Nov Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
09 Nov FC Schalke 04 A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–0 W
28 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
24 Jan 1. FC Köln H 1–1 D
20 Jan RB Leipzig A 1–1 D
12 Nov FC Schalke 04 A 2–0 W
08 Nov SV Werder Bremen H 6–1 W

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
0% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Nadiem Amiri 2 G 2 A
FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 3 G 1 A
Harry Kane 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! 1. FSV Mainz 05 welcome FC Bayern Munchen for this crunch clash at MEWA Arena.
  • 5' FC Bayern Munchen is showing some good football. However, FC Bayern Munchen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' FC Bayern Munchen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 17' Maxim Choupo-Moting makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and FC Bayern Munchen are in front.
  • 18' Brilliant from the ! Maxim Choupo-Moting makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 18.
  • 23' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern Munchen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 24' A moment of madness from Silvan Widmer on 24 minutes earns him a Yellow card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
  • 29' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 30' Jamal Musiala does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Bayern Munchen surge ahead!
  • 31' The deadlock is broken! Jamal Musiala gets on the scoresheet on 31 minutes.
  • 36' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FSV Mainz 05 in their trying to find a way past FC Bayern Munchen's compact .
  • 38' Thomas Muller was booked on 38.
  • 40' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Danny da Costa comes on to replace Silvan Widmer.
  • 44' Brilliant from the ! Leroy Sane makes it 0-5 with a superb finish on 44.
  • 46' Aaron Martin makes way for Alexander Hack at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 49' Alexander Hack is having his name booked by the referee on 49.
  • 54' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Anthony Caci suffering a number of foals already.
  • 59' The 28-year-old Aymen Barkok has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 64' Another substitution for FC Bayern Munchen to replace Dayot Upamecano by Daley Blind on 64 minute.
  • 67' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Ludovic Ajorque trudges off to be replaced by Karim Onisiwo on 67 minutes.
  • 71' Leon Goretzka is replacing Leroy Sane for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
  • 76' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 79' Serge Gnabry gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Maxim Choupo-Moting and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 82' Bo Svensson catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Red card on 82.
  • 83' Alphonso Davies does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Bayern Munchen surge ahead!
  • 86' Alexander Hack is having his name booked by the referee on 86.
  • 87' Controversy at the stadium! Alexander Hack argues furiously but the Red card stands.
  • Another three points for FC Bayern Munchen.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.3 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.9 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0527% Draw26% FC Bayern München47%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
53%
Draw or FC Bayern München
73%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0521% Draw42% FC Bayern München37%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
7.3%
0 – 1
7.1%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 3
5.8%
0 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
4.6%
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 21% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 15% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
28% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.