1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, DFB-Pokal 2022-23 LAST 16
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München — DFB-Pokal at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- FC Bayern München 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Deniz Aytekin
- Referee Eduard Beitinger
- Referee Johann Pfeifer
- Referee Martin Petersen
- Referee Christian Dietz
- Referee Markus Sinn
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | FC Bayern München | H | 0–4 | L |
| 28 Jan | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 5–2 | W |
| 25 Jan | Borussia Dortmund | H | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Jan | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Nov | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Nov | FC Schalke 04 | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 28 Jan | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Jan | 1. FC Köln | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Jan | RB Leipzig | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Nov | FC Schalke 04 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Nov | SV Werder Bremen | H | 6–1 | W |
Key Stats
78%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to score. At the same time, FC Bayern München does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 10' FC Bayern München come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 15' Yann Sommer has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 17' A goal from the Cameroon international Maxim Choupo-Moting! He fires home on 17 to make it 0-1!
- 18' The Cameroon Maxim Choupo-Moting breaks the deadlock on 18 minutes. 0-2!
- 23' FC Bayern München started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 23.
- 24' Silvan Widmer catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 24.
- 29' Matthijs de Ligt is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Bayern München so far.
- 30' Against the run of play, Jamal Musiala has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 31' GOAL! Jamal Musiala scores on 31. Assisted by Thomas Muller
- 36' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His 1. FSV Mainz 05 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 38' That is a Yellow card for FC Bayern Munchen. Thomas Muller will be fuming at that decision.
- 40' The supporters are chanting for Danny da Costa. He replaces Silvan Widmer on 40 minute.
- 44' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Leroy Sane makes it 0-5.
- 46' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Aaron Martin exits the field as Alexander Hack enters on 46.
- 49' The referee has no hesitation. Alexander Hack is booked for 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Yellow card on 49.
- 54' It’s high time Bo Svensson made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 59' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 64' Daley Blind is replacing Dayot Upamecano for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
- 67' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Ludovic Ajorque exits the field as Karim Onisiwo enters on 67.
- 71' The whistle greets Leroy Sane as he departs to be replaced by Leon Goretzka.
- 76' Ryan Gravenberch needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 79' The FC Bayern Munchen bench stirs into life. Maxim Choupo-Moting is withdrawn and Serge Gnabry gets his opportunity.
- 82' Bo Svensson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Red card on 82.
- 83' The deadlock is broken! Alphonso Davies gets on the scoresheet on 83 minutes.
- 86' Alexander Hack is having his name booked by the referee on 86.
- 87' Alexander Hack has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Red card on 87.
- It finishes all square. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München share the spoils 0-4.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
-
17
Ludovic Ajorque ↓ Karim Onisiwo 67'
- 19
- 31
- 1
-
3
Aaron Martin ↓ Alexander Hack 46'
- 8
- 4
- 20
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↓ Danny da Costa 40'
-
6
Anton Stach ↓ Marcus Ingvartsen 67'
- 25
Bench
-
7
Lee Jaesung ↑ 46'
- 16
-
42
Alexander Hack ↑ 46'
-
9
Karim Onisiwo ↑ 67'
-
21
Danny da Costa ↑ 40'
- 5
-
11
Marcus Ingvartsen ↑ 67'
- 32
- 43
Coach
Bo Svensson
FC Bayern München Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Leroy Sane ↓ Leon Goretzka 71'
- 4
- 13
- 6
- 11
- 25
- 5
-
2
Dayot Upamecano ↓ Daley Blind 64'
- 27
-
22
Joao Cancelo ↓ Alphonso Davies 71'
- 42
Bench
-
23
Daley Blind ↑ 64'
-
38
Ryan Gravenberch ↑ 64'
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↑ 79'
- 26
-
8
Leon Goretzka ↑ 71'
-
19
Alphonso Davies ↑ 71'
- 44
- 39
- 14
Coach
Julian Nagelsmann
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamal Musiala | 9 |
| Robert Lewandowski | 7 |
| Harry Kane | 5 |
| Leon Goretzka | 5 |
| Leroy Sane | 5 |
| Kingsley Coman | 5 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 3 |
| James Rodriguez | 3 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
FC Bayern München Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.3
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.9
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
53%
Draw or FC Bayern München
73%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–4 not predicted0 – 4Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
7.3%
0 – 1
7.1%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 3
5.8%
0 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
4.6%
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 21% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 15% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

