Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, DFB-Pokal 2022-23 LAST 16

DFB-Pokal · 2022-23
Wed 1 Feb 2023 · 19:45 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München — DFB-Pokal at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
  • Referee Eduard Beitinger
  • Referee Johann Pfeifer
  • Referee Martin Petersen
  • Referee Christian Dietz
  • Referee Markus Sinn

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
28 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 H 5–2 W
25 Jan Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
21 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 1–1 D
13 Nov Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
09 Nov FC Schalke 04 A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–0 W
28 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
24 Jan 1. FC Köln H 1–1 D
20 Jan RB Leipzig A 1–1 D
12 Nov FC Schalke 04 A 2–0 W
08 Nov SV Werder Bremen H 6–1 W

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
0% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Nadiem Amiri 2 G 2 A
FC Bayern München
Harry Kane 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is hosting FC Bayern München for another epic battle.
  • 5' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Silvan Widmer has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' Netherlands international Ryan Gravenberch has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 3 assists in the Array this season.
  • 17' The deadlock is broken! Maxim Choupo-Moting gets on the scoresheet on 17 minutes.
  • 18' Maxim Choupo-Moting is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
  • 23' It’s high time Julian Nagelsmann made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 24' Poor challenge from Silvan Widmer. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 29' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 30' Jamal Musiala has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 30 minutes.
  • 31' What a strike from Jamal Musiala! The score is 0-4.
  • 36' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FSV Mainz 05 in their trying to find a way past FC Bayern München's compact .
  • 38' A meaty challenge results in booking for Thomas Muller on 38.
  • 40' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Danny da Costa comes on to replace Silvan Widmer.
  • 44' The deadlock is broken! Leroy Sane gets on the scoresheet on 44 minutes.
  • 46' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Alexander Hack comes on to replace Aaron Martin.
  • 49' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 49.
  • 54' Andreas Hanche-Olsen has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 59' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bo Svensson will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 64' Daley Blind gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Dayot Upamecano and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 67' The whistle greets Ludovic Ajorque as he departs to be replaced by Karim Onisiwo.
  • 71' Leroy Sane makes way for Leon Goretzka at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 76' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 79' The crowd applauds Maxim Choupo-Moting as he leaves the pitch. Serge Gnabry steps in for FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 82' Bo Svensson is having his name booked by the referee on 82.
  • 83' Alphonso Davies makes no mistake. The score reads 0-6 and FC Bayern Munchen are in front.
  • 86' Alexander Hack was booked on 86.
  • 87' The referee does not hesitate — a Red card for Alexander Hack on 87 minutes.
  • 0-4 the final result. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.3 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.9 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0527% Draw26% FC Bayern München47%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
53%
Draw or FC Bayern München
73%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0521% Draw42% FC Bayern München37%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
7.3%
0 – 1
7.1%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 3
5.8%
0 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
4.6%
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 21% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 15% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
28% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.