Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, DFB-Pokal 2022-23 LAST 16

DFB-Pokal · 2022-23
Wed 1 Feb 2023 · 19:45 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern MünchenDFB-Pokal at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
  • Referee Eduard Beitinger
  • Referee Johann Pfeifer
  • Referee Martin Petersen
  • Referee Christian Dietz
  • Referee Markus Sinn

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
28 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 H 5–2 W
25 Jan Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
21 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 1–1 D
13 Nov Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
09 Nov FC Schalke 04 A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–0 W
28 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
24 Jan 1. FC Köln H 1–1 D
20 Jan RB Leipzig A 1–1 D
12 Nov FC Schalke 04 A 2–0 W
08 Nov SV Werder Bremen H 6–1 W

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.3 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.9 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0527% Draw26% FC Bayern München47%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
53%
Draw or FC Bayern München
73%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0521% Draw42% FC Bayern München37%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
7.3%
0 – 1
7.1%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 3
5.8%
0 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
4.6%
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 21% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 15% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
16%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.