Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 29 Oct 2022 · 13:30 UTC Allianz Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Achmuller
  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Referee Benjamin Cortus
  • Referee Thomas Gorniak
  • Referee Martin Petersen
  • Referee Christian Dietz
  • Referee Patrick Alt
  • Referee Markus Schmidt

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 6–2 W
26 Oct FC Barcelona A 3–0 W
22 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–0 W
19 Oct FC Augsburg A 5–2 W
16 Oct SC Freiburg H 5–0 W
12 Oct FC Viktoria Plzeň A 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct FC Bayern München A 2–6 L
21 Oct 1. FC Köln H 5–0 W
18 Oct VfB Lubeck A 3–0 W
15 Oct SV Werder Bremen A 2–0 W
08 Oct RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
01 Oct SC Freiburg A 1–2 L

Season Stats

FC Bayern München 1. FSV Mainz 05
#7 Position #16
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Bayern München are 7th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.89 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: FC Bayern München to win 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München59% Draw23% 1. FSV Mainz 0518%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
82%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
41%
FC Bayern München or 1. FSV Mainz 05
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Bayern München41% Draw44% 1. FSV Mainz 0515%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–2 not predicted
6 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 0
10.4%
2 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.7%
3 – 0
6.4%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 2
4.7%
0 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
3%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 18% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 23% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
40%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.