FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.
- FC Bayern München 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Marco Achmuller
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Referee Benjamin Cortus
- Referee Thomas Gorniak
- Referee Martin Petersen
- Referee Christian Dietz
- Referee Patrick Alt
- Referee Markus Schmidt
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 6–2 | W |
| 26 Oct | FC Barcelona | A | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | FC Augsburg | A | 5–2 | W |
| 16 Oct | SC Freiburg | H | 5–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | FC Viktoria Plzeň | A | 4–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | FC Bayern München | A | 2–6 | L |
| 21 Oct | 1. FC Köln | H | 5–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | VfB Lubeck | A | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | SV Werder Bremen | A | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Oct | RB Leipzig | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Oct | SC Freiburg | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Bayern München | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #12 |
| 21 | Points | 10 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 6 / 3 / 0 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 5 |
| 29 | Scored | 18 |
| 9 | Conceded | 19 |
| +20 | GD | -1 |
| 2.33 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
79%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
FC Bayern München are 1st (21 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Bayern München
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/–
31-45
5/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/2
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Bayern München
| Michael Olise | 6 G | 3 A |
| Harry Kane | 4 G | 7 A |
| Luis Diaz | 4 G | 1 A |
| Dayot Upamecano | 3 G | |
| Ismael Saibari | 2 G | 3 A |
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Allianz Arena. Ninety minutes of football awaits between FC Bayern Munchen and 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 5' Serge Gnabry doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 10' Alphonso Davies is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Bayern Munchen tonight.
- 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 20' Germany international Stefan Bell has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joshua Kimmich made 554 appearances and scored 29 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 28' The Germany Jamal Musiala breaks the deadlock on 28 minutes. 2-0!
- 33' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 34' Edimilson Fernandes catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 34.
- 39' 1. FSV Mainz 05 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 43' Sadio Mane makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and FC Bayern Munchen are in front.
- 46' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 46 minute. Matthijs de Ligt leaves to be changed by Benjamin Pavard.
- 49' Silvan Widmer doubles the advantage! 3-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 54' Dayot Upamecano has been relatively quiet despite scoring 13 goals in his last 527 appearances.
- 58' Leon Goretzka does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Bayern Munchen surge ahead!
- 60' FC Bayern Munchen make a change. Leon Goretzka trudges off to be replaced by Marcel Sabitzer on 60 minutes.
- 62' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Jonathan Burkardt departs to be replaced by Marcus Ingvartsen.
- 67' The supporters are chanting for Stefan Bell. He replaces Edimilson Fernandes on 67 minute.
- 72' The whistle greets Jamal Musiala as he departs to be replaced by Ryan Gravenberch.
- 76' The crowd applauds Karim Onisiwo as he leaves the pitch. Delano Burgzorg steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 79' A stunning finish from Mathys Tel — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 80' Mathys Tel doubles the advantage! 6-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 82' Marcus Ingvartsen does the damage! The net is bulging and 1. FSV Mainz 05 surge ahead!
- 86' Maxim Choupo-Moting makes no mistake. The score reads 7-2 and FC Bayern Munchen are in front.
- 88' Benjamin Pavard has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 88.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 6-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
FC Bayern München Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 4
- 40
- 13
- 7
- 26
- 6
- 8
- 2
- 19
- 42
Bench
- 38
- 11
- 5
- 18
- 44
- 39
- 35
Coach
Julian Nagelsmann
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Lee Jaesung ↓ Angelo Fulgini 62'
- 19
- 27
- 42
-
9
Karim Onisiwo ↓ Delano Burgzorg 76'
- 3
- 8
- 29
- 20
- 30
-
6
Anton Stach ↓ Aymen Barkok 62'
Bench
-
10
Angelo Fulgini ↑ 62'
- 1
-
16
Stefan Bell ↑ 67'
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 62'
-
37
Delano Burgzorg ↑ 76'
-
11
Marcus Ingvartsen ↑ 62'
- 17
- 38
- 41
Coach
Bo Svensson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamal Musiala | 9 |
| Robert Lewandowski | 7 |
| Harry Kane | 5 |
| Leon Goretzka | 5 |
| Leroy Sane | 5 |
| Kingsley Coman | 5 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 3 |
| James Rodriguez | 3 |
Head to Head
FC Bayern München Form
2022-10-29
FC Bayern München
6–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2022-10-26
FC Barcelona
0–3
FC Bayern München
W
2022-10-22
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0–2
FC Bayern München
W
2022-10-19
FC Augsburg
2–5
FC Bayern München
W
2022-10-16
FC Bayern München
5–0
SC Freiburg
W
2022-10-12
FC Viktoria Plzeň
2–4
FC Bayern München
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
4.14
FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 90% + Both teams to score 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.63
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 2.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 3.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 4.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
Double Chance
FC Bayern München or Draw
88%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
26%
FC Bayern München or 1. FSV Mainz 05
86%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 6–2 not predicted6 – 2Actual
4 – 1
6.7%
3 – 1
6.6%
5 – 1
5.5%
2 – 1
5%
4 – 2
4.9%
3 – 2
4.8%
4 – 0
4.6%
3 – 0
4.6%
5 – 2
4.1%
6 – 1
3.8%
5 – 0
3.8%
2 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München
| Handicap | FC Bayern München covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| -2 | 47% | 18% | 35% |
| -1.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| -1 | 65% | 15% | 20% |
| -0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +0.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +1 | 91% | 5% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
2%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

