FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.
- FC Bayern München 34 games · 89 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Marco Achmuller
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Referee Benjamin Cortus
- Referee Thomas Gorniak
- Referee Martin Petersen
- Referee Christian Dietz
- Referee Patrick Alt
- Referee Markus Schmidt
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 6–2 | W |
| 26 Oct | FC Barcelona | A | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | FC Augsburg | A | 5–2 | W |
| 16 Oct | SC Freiburg | H | 5–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | FC Viktoria Plzen | A | 4–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | FC Bayern München | A | 2–6 | L |
| 21 Oct | 1. FC Koln | H | 5–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | VfB Lubeck | A | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | SV Werder Bremen | A | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Oct | RB Leipzig | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Oct | SC Freiburg | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Bayern München | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #10 |
| 89 | Points | 40 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 28 / 5 / 1 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 14 |
| 122 | Scored | 44 |
| 36 | Conceded | 53 |
| +86 | GD | -9 |
| 2.62 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 82% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
78%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FC Bayern München launch into their encounter with 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 5' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Serge Gnabry makes it 0-1.
- 10' Leandro Barreiro Martins is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FSV Mainz 05 tonight.
- 15' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Joshua Kimmich has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 25' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Bayern München in their trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact .
- 28' Jamal Musiala doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 33' FC Bayern München is showing some good football. However, FC Bayern München are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 34' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Edimilson Fernandes on 34 minutes.
- 39' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Bayern München and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 43' Sadio Mane doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 46' Benjamin Pavard has so much to prove this time. He replaces Matthijs de Ligt on 46 minute.
- 49' The deadlock is broken! Silvan Widmer gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
- 54' Anthony Caci is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Bayern München so far.
- 58' Leon Goretzka has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 58 minutes.
- 60' The FC Bayern Munchen bench stirs into life. Leon Goretzka is withdrawn and Marcel Sabitzer gets his opportunity.
- 62' Marcus Ingvartsen is replacing Jonathan Burkardt for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
- 67' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Edimilson Fernandes is replaced by Stefan Bell on 67 minute.
- 72' The crowd applauds Jamal Musiala as he leaves the pitch. Ryan Gravenberch steps in for FC Bayern Munchen.
- 76' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Delano Burgzorg comes on to replace Karim Onisiwo.
- 79' A stunning finish from Mathys Tel — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 80' GOAL! Mathys Tel scores on 80.
- 82' A goal from the Denmark international Marcus Ingvartsen! He fires home on 82 to make it 0-8!
- 86' Against the run of play, Maxim Choupo-Moting has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 88' Benjamin Pavard catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 88.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
Lineups
FC Bayern München Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 4
- 40
- 13
- 7
- 26
- 6
- 8
- 2
- 19
- 42
Bench
- 38
- 11
- 5
- 18
- 44
- 39
- 35
Coach
Julian Nagelsmann
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Lee Jaesung ↓ Angelo Fulgini 62'
- 19
- 27
- 42
-
9
Karim Onisiwo ↓ Delano Burgzorg 76'
- 3
- 8
- 29
- 20
- 30
-
6
Anton Stach ↓ Aymen Barkok 62'
Bench
-
10
Angelo Fulgini ↑ 62'
- 1
-
16
Stefan Bell ↑ 67'
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 62'
-
37
Delano Burgzorg ↑ 76'
-
11
Marcus Ingvartsen ↑ 62'
- 17
- 38
- 41
Coach
Bo Svensson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamal Musiala | 9 |
| Robert Lewandowski | 7 |
| Kingsley Coman | 5 |
| Harry Kane | 5 |
| Leon Goretzka | 5 |
| Leroy Sane | 5 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 3 |
| James Rodriguez | 3 |
Head to Head
FC Bayern München Form
2022-10-29
FC Bayern München
6–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2022-10-26
FC Barcelona
0–3
FC Bayern München
W
2022-10-22
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0–2
FC Bayern München
W
2022-10-19
FC Augsburg
2–5
FC Bayern München
W
2022-10-16
FC Bayern München
5–0
SC Freiburg
W
2022-10-12
FC Viktoria Plzen
2–4
FC Bayern München
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.88
FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 87% + FC Bayern München to win 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.23
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 3.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 4.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
Double Chance
FC Bayern München or Draw
88%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
26%
FC Bayern München or 1. FSV Mainz 05
86%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 6–2 not predicted6 – 2Actual
3 – 1
7.1%
4 – 1
6.8%
2 – 1
5.8%
3 – 0
5.5%
5 – 1
5.3%
4 – 0
5.2%
3 – 2
4.7%
4 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
4.5%
5 – 0
4%
2 – 2
3.8%
5 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München
| Handicap | FC Bayern München covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| -2 | 46% | 18% | 36% |
| -1.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| -1 | 64% | 16% | 20% |
| -0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +0.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +1 | 91% | 5% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
3%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.