Saturday , 18 July 2026

1. FC Koln vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Koln vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
11 games this season 🟨 1.8/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
27 Feb FC Augsburg A 0–2 L
21 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–2 D
14 Feb VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
08 Feb RB Leipzig H 1–2 L
30 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar 1. FC Koln A 2–1 W
28 Feb FC Bayern München H 2–3 L
25 Feb Atalanta BC A 1–4 L
21 Feb RB Leipzig A 2–2 D
17 Feb Atalanta BC H 2–0 W
13 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–0 W

Season Stats

1. FC Koln Borussia Dortmund
#14 Position #2
32 Points 73
34 Played 34
7 / 11 / 16 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 5
49 Scored 70
63 Conceded 34
-14 GD +36
0.94 PPG 2.15
21% Win % 65%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FC Koln are 14th (32 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FC Koln Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.15 1. FC Koln xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.23 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Koln21% Draw23% Borussia Dortmund56%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

1. FC Koln or Draw
44%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
79%
1. FC Koln or Borussia Dortmund
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Koln16% Draw40% Borussia Dortmund44%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 3
6.9%
0 – 3
6.1%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 1
4.9%
0 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 4
3.9%
0 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Koln

Handicap 1. FC Koln covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 11% 82%
-0.5 18% 82%
+0.5 40% 60%
+1 40% 22% 39%
+1.5 61% 39%
+2 61% 18% 21%
+2.5 79% 21%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Koln keeps clean sheet
12%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.