Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cambridge United FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 20 Apr 2024 · 14:00 UTC Abbey Stadium 7,649 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cambridge United FC vs Derby County FCLeague One at Abbey Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Paul Howard
  • Assistant 1 Kevin Howick
  • Assistant 2 Ryan Williams (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Derby County FC H 0–1 L
16 Apr Bristol Rovers FC A 0–1 L
13 Apr Charlton Athletic FC H 1–1 D
06 Apr Blackpool FC A 0–1 L
01 Apr Wigan Athletic FC H 3–1 W
29 Mar Barnsley FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Cambridge United FC A 1–0 W
13 Apr Leyton Orient FC H 3–0 W
10 Apr Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
02 Apr Portsmouth FC A 2–2 D
29 Mar Blackpool FC H 1–0 W
23 Mar Northampton Town FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Derby County FC gets underway.
  • 5' Thomas Barkhuizen has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
  • 20' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Joe Wildsmith has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 24' The referee calls foul for Louie Sibley. He receives a card.
  • 29' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 34' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 39' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing puts Derby County FC on the lead.
  • 41' Danny Andrew was booked on 41.
  • 45' It’s gonna be a card for Paul Digby.
  • 50' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 55' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ebou Adams, as he is very good at scoring at Abbey Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 60' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 60 minutes.
  • 63' Time for substitution for Cambridge United FC. Liam Bennett is replaced by James Brophy.
  • 68' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Paul Digby suffering a number of foals already.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Max Bird. He replaces Liam Thompson on 69 minute.
  • 72' Another change for Cambridge United FC made on 72 minute. Paul Digby leaves to be changed by Jack Lankester.
  • 76' The whistle greets Kane Wilson as he departs to be replaced by Thomas Barkhuizen.
  • 81' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 86' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Elias Kachunga made 369 appearances and scored 19 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 90' Martyn Waghorn has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on 90 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Derby County FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.91 Cambridge United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cambridge United FC30% Draw33% Derby County FC37%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.93
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Cambridge United FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Derby County FC
70%
Cambridge United FC or Derby County FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cambridge United FC21% Draw56% Derby County FC23%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17%
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.9%
0 – 2
7.1%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
3.2%
0 – 3
2.4%
1 – 3
2.3%
3 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Cambridge United FC

Handicap Cambridge United FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 19% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 21% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Cambridge United FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.