Thursday , 1 October 2026

Blackburn Rovers FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Fri 9 Aug 2024 · 19:00 UTC Ewood Park 17,975 HT 45' · FT 45'
Tyrhys Dolan 19' 1–0
1–1 67' Curtis Nelson
Andreas Weimann 72' 2–1
Samuel Szmodics 76' 3–1
Yuki Ohashi 84' 4–1
4–2 88' Kane Wilson

Overview

Match Preview

Blackburn Rovers FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Ewood Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Josh Smith (England)
  • Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug Derby County FC H 4–2 W
04 May Leicester City FC A 2–0 W
27 Apr Coventry City FC H 0–0 D
21 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–3 L
13 Apr Leeds United FC A 1–0 W
10 Apr Bristol City FC A 0–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–4 L
27 Apr Carlisle United FC H 2–0 W
20 Apr Cambridge United FC A 1–0 W
13 Apr Leyton Orient FC H 3–0 W
10 Apr Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
02 Apr Portsmouth FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Blackburn Rovers FC Derby County FC
#16 Position #22
9 Points 5
8 Played 8
2 / 3 / 3 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 5
12 Scored 7
12 Conceded 14
+0 GD -7
1.13 PPG 0.63
25% Win % 13%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Blackburn Rovers FC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Blackburn Rovers FC are 16th (9 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Blackburn Rovers FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
–/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Blackburn Rovers FC
Oladapo Afolayan 3 G 2 A
Andri Gudjohnsen 3 G 1 A
Sean McLoughlin 1 G
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.24 Blackburn Rovers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Blackburn Rovers FC to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Blackburn Rovers FC61% Draw21% Derby County FC18%
Actual: Blackburn Rovers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Blackburn Rovers FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Derby County FC
39%
Blackburn Rovers FC or Derby County FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Blackburn Rovers FC45% Draw40% Derby County FC15%
Actual: Blackburn Rovers FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.8%
1 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
7%
3 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 0
5%
1 – 2
4.7%
4 – 1
4%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Blackburn Rovers FC

Handicap Blackburn Rovers FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 19% 60%
-1.5 40% — 60%
-1 40% 22% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 10% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Blackburn Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.