Thursday , 2 July 2026

Blackburn Rovers FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Fri 9 Aug 2024 · 19:00 UTC Ewood Park 17,975 HT 45' · FT 45'
Tyrhys Dolan 19' 1–0
1–1 67' Curtis Nelson
Andreas Weimann 72' 2–1
Samuel Szmodics 76' 3–1
Yuki Ohashi 84' 4–1
4–2 88' Kane Wilson

Overview

Match Preview

Blackburn Rovers FC vs Derby County FCChampionship at Ewood Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Josh Smith (England)
  • Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug Derby County FC H 4–2 W
04 May Leicester City FC A 2–0 W
27 Apr Coventry City FC H 0–0 D
21 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–3 L
13 Apr Leeds United FC A 1–0 W
10 Apr Bristol City FC A 0–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–4 L
27 Apr Carlisle United FC H 2–0 W
20 Apr Cambridge United FC A 1–0 W
13 Apr Leyton Orient FC H 3–0 W
10 Apr Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
02 Apr Portsmouth FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Blackburn Rovers FC Derby County FC
#20 Position #8
52 Points 69
46 Played 46
13 / 13 / 20 W / D / L 20 / 9 / 17
42 Scored 67
56 Conceded 59
-14 GD +8
1.13 PPG 1.50
28% Win % 43%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Blackburn Rovers FC are 20th (52 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.72 Blackburn Rovers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Blackburn Rovers FC50% Draw25% Derby County FC25%
Actual: Blackburn Rovers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Blackburn Rovers FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Derby County FC
50%
Blackburn Rovers FC or Derby County FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Blackburn Rovers FC33% Draw44% Derby County FC23%
Actual: Blackburn Rovers FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Blackburn Rovers FC

Handicap Blackburn Rovers FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Blackburn Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
27%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.