Blackburn Rovers FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Blackburn Rovers FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Ewood Park.
- Blackburn Rovers FC 46 games · 52 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Josh Smith (England)
- Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
- Assistant 2
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug | Derby County FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 04 May | Leicester City FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | Coventry City FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Apr | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Apr | Leeds United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Apr | Bristol City FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 27 Apr | Carlisle United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Cambridge United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Leyton Orient FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Apr | Wycombe Wanderers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Apr | Portsmouth FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Blackburn Rovers FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #8 |
| 52 | Points | 69 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 13 / 13 / 20 | W / D / L | 20 / 9 / 17 |
| 42 | Scored | 67 |
| 56 | Conceded | 59 |
| -14 | GD | +8 |
| 1.13 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 28% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Blackburn Rovers FC are 20th (52 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Ewood Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Blackburn Rovers FC and Derby County FC.
- 5' Blackburn Rovers FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 10' Aynsley Pears needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 11' Thomas Barkhuizen was booked on 11.
- 16' Blackburn Rovers FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 19' GOAL! Tyrhys Dolan fires home to make it 1-0!
- 24' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 29' Blackburn Rovers FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
- 34' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 39' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 44' The 26-year-old Joe Rankin-Costello has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 49' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 54' It is a cagey affair so far. Blackburn Rovers FC in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact 4-3-3.
- 59' Derby County FC have won 452 goals from 385 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 64' Time for substitution for Blackburn Rovers FC. Ryan Hedges is replaced by Andreas Weimann.
- 65' Samuel Szmodics gets the nod from Blackburn Rovers FC. He replaces Joe Rankin-Costello and will look to change the dynamic.
- 66' James Collins is replacing Thomas Barkhuizen for the Derby County FC side.
- 67' A goal from the England international Curtis Nelson! He fires home on 67 to make it 1-1!
- 72' Against the run of play, Andreas Weimann has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 73' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Kenzo Goudmijn is replaced by Ebou Adams.
- 76' Brilliant from the ! Samuel Szmodics makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 76.
- 81' Ireland international Eiran Cashin has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 82' That looks like a foul for a card for James Collins.
- 84' What a moment for Yuki Ohashi! That strike on 84 puts his side firmly in control.
- 87' Tyrhys Dolan catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 87.
- 87' Another change for Blackburn Rovers FC made on 87 minute. Tyrhys Dolan leaves to be changed by Danny Batth.
- 88' Kane Wilson is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 90' Eiran Cashin was booked on 90.
- 90' Liam Thompson gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Ben Osborn and will look to change the dynamic.
- The points are shared — Blackburn Rovers FC 4-2 Derby County FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Blackburn Rovers FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2
- 1
-
19
Ryan Hedges ↓ Andreas Weimann 64'
- 27
- 11
- 5
- 3
-
9
Makhtar Gueye ↓ Yuki Ohashi 65'
- 6
- 17
-
10
Tyrhys Dolan ↓ Danny Batth 87'
Bench
-
14
Andreas Weimann ↑ 64'
-
15
Danny Batth ↑ 87'
-
8
Samuel Szmodics ↑ 65'
- 7
-
23
Yuki Ohashi ↑ 65'
- 21
- 29
- 34
- 18
Derby County FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Ebou Adams 73'
-
8
Ben Osborn ↓ Liam Thompson 90'
- 11
- 19
- 2
- 35
- 31
-
20
Callum Elder ↓ Craig Forsyth 90'
- 6
- 7
-
4
David Ozoh ↓ Tyrese Fornah 90'
Bench
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↑ 90'
- 24
-
9
James Collins ↑ 66'
- 5
-
32
Ebou Adams ↑ 73'
-
22
Tyrese Fornah ↑ 90'
-
16
Liam Thompson ↑ 90'
- 13
- 39
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tyrhys Dolan | 3 |
| Ben Brereton | 2 |
| Adam Armstrong | 2 |
| Chris Martin | 2 |
| Bradley Johnson | 2 |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 |
| Harvey Elliot | 2 |
| Curtis Davies | 1 |
Head to Head
Blackburn Rovers FC Form
2024-08-09
Blackburn Rovers FC
4–2
Derby County FC
W
2024-05-04
Leicester City FC
0–2
Blackburn Rovers FC
W
2024-04-27
Blackburn Rovers FC
0–0
Coventry City FC
D
2024-04-21
Blackburn Rovers FC
1–3
Sheffield Wednesday FC
L
2024-04-13
Leeds United FC
0–1
Blackburn Rovers FC
W
2024-04-10
Bristol City FC
5–0
Blackburn Rovers FC
L
Derby County FC Form
2024-08-09
Blackburn Rovers FC
4–2
Derby County FC
L
2024-04-27
Derby County FC
2–0
Carlisle United FC
W
2024-04-20
Cambridge United FC
0–1
Derby County FC
W
2024-04-13
Derby County FC
3–0
Leyton Orient FC
W
2024-04-10
Wycombe Wanderers FC
0–0
Derby County FC
D
2024-04-02
Portsmouth FC
2–2
Derby County FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.72
Blackburn Rovers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Blackburn Rovers FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Blackburn Rovers FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Derby County FC
50%
Blackburn Rovers FC or Derby County FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Blackburn Rovers FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–2 not predicted4 – 2Actual
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Blackburn Rovers FC
| Handicap | Blackburn Rovers FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 21% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Blackburn Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

