Blackburn Rovers FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Blackburn Rovers FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Ewood Park.
- Blackburn Rovers FC 8 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Josh Smith (England)
- Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
- Assistant 2
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug | Derby County FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 04 May | Leicester City FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | Coventry City FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Apr | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Apr | Leeds United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Apr | Bristol City FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 27 Apr | Carlisle United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Cambridge United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Leyton Orient FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Apr | Wycombe Wanderers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Apr | Portsmouth FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Blackburn Rovers FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #22 |
| 9 | Points | 5 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 2 / 3 / 3 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 5 |
| 12 | Scored | 7 |
| 12 | Conceded | 14 |
| +0 | GD | -7 |
| 1.13 | PPG | 0.63 |
| 25% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Blackburn Rovers FC this season
Blackburn Rovers FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Blackburn Rovers FC are 16th (9 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Blackburn Rovers FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
–/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Blackburn Rovers FC
| Oladapo Afolayan | 3 G | 2 A |
| Andri Gudjohnsen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sean McLoughlin | 1 G |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Blackburn Rovers FC have kicked off against Derby County FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 11' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Thomas Barkhuizen gets a card.
- 16' It looks surprising Blackburn Rovers FC does not make any changes. Callum Brittain has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 19' A stunning finish from Tyrhys Dolan — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 24' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. James Collins made 387 appearances and scored 91 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 29' It looks like no one’s ball. Blackburn Rovers FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 34' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 39' Australia international Callum Elder has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 44' Kane Wilson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
- 49' Ebou Adams has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 12 appearances.
- 54' Blackburn Rovers FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 59' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 64' Another substitution for Blackburn Rovers FC to replace Ryan Hedges by Andreas Weimann on 64 minute.
- 65' Blackburn Rovers FC ring the changes. Joe Rankin-Costello has done his job and it is now time for Samuel Szmodics to step up.
- 66' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Thomas Barkhuizen is withdrawn and James Collins gets his opportunity.
- 67' Curtis Nelson is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 72' Blackburn Rovers FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Andreas Weimann on 72.
- 73' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Kenzo Goudmijn is replaced by Ebou Adams.
- 76' Against the run of play, Samuel Szmodics has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 81' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 82' James Collins catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 82.
- 84' What a moment for Yuki Ohashi! That strike on 84 puts his side firmly in control.
- 87' The referee has no hesitation. Tyrhys Dolan is booked for Blackburn Rovers FC — card on 87.
- 87' Tyrhys Dolan makes way for Danny Batth at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Blackburn Rovers FC.
- 88' Magnificent from Kane Wilson! That is 4 goals in 65 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Eiran Cashin.
- 90' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Ben Osborn is replaced by Liam Thompson on 90 minute.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Blackburn Rovers FC take all three points.
Lineups
Blackburn Rovers FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2
- 1
-
19
Ryan Hedges ↓ Andreas Weimann 64'
- 27
- 11
- 5
- 3
-
9
Makhtar Gueye ↓ Yuki Ohashi 65'
- 6
- 17
-
10
Tyrhys Dolan ↓ Danny Batth 87'
Bench
-
14
Andreas Weimann ↑ 64'
-
15
Danny Batth ↑ 87'
-
8
Samuel Szmodics ↑ 65'
- 7
-
23
Yuki Ohashi ↑ 65'
- 21
- 29
- 34
- 18
Derby County FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Ebou Adams 73'
-
8
Ben Osborn ↓ Liam Thompson 90'
- 11
- 19
- 2
- 35
- 31
-
20
Callum Elder ↓ Craig Forsyth 90'
- 6
- 7
-
4
David Ozoh ↓ Tyrese Fornah 90'
Bench
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↑ 90'
- 24
-
9
James Collins ↑ 66'
- 5
-
32
Ebou Adams ↑ 73'
-
22
Tyrese Fornah ↑ 90'
-
16
Liam Thompson ↑ 90'
- 13
- 39
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tyrhys Dolan | 3 |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 |
| Harvey Elliot | 2 |
| Ben Brereton | 2 |
| Adam Armstrong | 2 |
| Chris Martin | 2 |
| Bradley Johnson | 2 |
| Samuel Szmodics | 1 |
Head to Head
Blackburn Rovers FC Form
2024-08-09
Blackburn Rovers FC
4–2
Derby County FC
W
2024-05-04
Leicester City FC
0–2
Blackburn Rovers FC
W
2024-04-27
Blackburn Rovers FC
0–0
Coventry City FC
D
2024-04-21
Blackburn Rovers FC
1–3
Sheffield Wednesday FC
L
2024-04-13
Leeds United FC
0–1
Blackburn Rovers FC
W
2024-04-10
Bristol City FC
5–0
Blackburn Rovers FC
L
Derby County FC Form
2024-08-09
Blackburn Rovers FC
4–2
Derby County FC
L
2024-04-27
Derby County FC
2–0
Carlisle United FC
W
2024-04-20
Cambridge United FC
0–1
Derby County FC
W
2024-04-13
Derby County FC
3–0
Leyton Orient FC
W
2024-04-10
Wycombe Wanderers FC
0–0
Derby County FC
D
2024-04-02
Portsmouth FC
2–2
Derby County FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.24
Blackburn Rovers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 64% + Blackburn Rovers FC to win 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Blackburn Rovers FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Blackburn Rovers FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Derby County FC
39%
Blackburn Rovers FC or Derby County FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Blackburn Rovers FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–2 not predicted4 – 2Actual
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.8%
1 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
7%
3 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 0
5%
1 – 2
4.7%
4 – 1
4%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Blackburn Rovers FC
| Handicap | Blackburn Rovers FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 19% | 60% |
| -1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 22% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Blackburn Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

