Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 17 Aug 2024 · 11:30 UTC Pride Park Stadium 29,443 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kayden Jackson 14' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Middlesbrough FCChampionship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Bobby Madley (England)
  • Assistant 1 Blake Antrobus (England)
  • Assistant 2 Darren Williams (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Aug Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
09 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–4 L
27 Apr Carlisle United FC H 2–0 W
20 Apr Cambridge United FC A 1–0 W
13 Apr Leyton Orient FC H 3–0 W
10 Apr Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Aug Derby County FC A 0–1 L
10 Aug Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W
04 May Watford FC H 3–1 W
27 Apr Cardiff City FC A 4–1 W
22 Apr Leeds United FC H 3–4 L
13 Apr Ipswich Town FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Derby County FC Middlesbrough FC
#23 Position #10
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 10th (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.61 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.55 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 88% + Under — clean sheet likely 78%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC36% Draw40% Middlesbrough FC24%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes22% 0% No78%
Avg goals/match: 1.16
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 66%
34%
± 1.5 33%
67%
± 2.5 12%
88%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
64%
Derby County FC or Middlesbrough FC
60%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC16% Draw70% Middlesbrough FC14%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
34.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
15.4%
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 0
5.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
2 – 1
3.4%
1 – 2
3%
2 – 2
1.1%
3 – 0
1%
0 – 3
0.8%
3 – 1
0.7%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 6% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 21% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 19% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
58%
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
55%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.