Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 17 Aug 2024 · 11:30 UTC Pride Park Stadium 29,443 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kayden Jackson 14' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Bobby Madley (England)
  • Assistant 1 Blake Antrobus (England)
  • Assistant 2 Darren Williams (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Aug Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
09 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–4 L
27 Apr Carlisle United FC H 2–0 W
20 Apr Cambridge United FC A 1–0 W
13 Apr Leyton Orient FC H 3–0 W
10 Apr Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Aug Derby County FC A 0–1 L
10 Aug Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W
04 May Watford FC H 3–1 W
27 Apr Cardiff City FC A 4–1 W
22 Apr Leeds United FC H 3–4 L
13 Apr Ipswich Town FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Derby County FC Middlesbrough FC
#22 Position #3
5 Points 15
8 Played 8
1 / 2 / 5 W / D / L 4 / 3 / 1
7 Scored 16
14 Conceded 12
-7 GD +4
0.63 PPG 1.88
13% Win % 50%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A
Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 6 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.13 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Middlesbrough FC 74% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC33% Draw26% Middlesbrough FC41%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
67%
Derby County FC or Middlesbrough FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC19% Draw45% Middlesbrough FC36%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
9.2%
0 – 2
8.4%
0 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 14% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 22% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✗
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.