Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 17 Aug 2024 · 11:30 UTC Pride Park Stadium 29,443 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kayden Jackson 14' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Middlesbrough FCChampionship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Bobby Madley (England)
  • Assistant 1 Blake Antrobus (England)
  • Assistant 2 Darren Williams (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Aug Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
09 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–4 L
27 Apr Carlisle United FC H 2–0 W
20 Apr Cambridge United FC A 1–0 W
13 Apr Leyton Orient FC H 3–0 W
10 Apr Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Aug Derby County FC A 0–1 L
10 Aug Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W
04 May Watford FC H 3–1 W
27 Apr Cardiff City FC A 4–1 W
22 Apr Leeds United FC H 3–4 L
13 Apr Ipswich Town FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Derby County FC Middlesbrough FC
#8 Position #5
69 Points 80
46 Played 46
20 / 9 / 17 W / D / L 22 / 14 / 10
67 Scored 72
59 Conceded 47
+8 GD +25
1.50 PPG 1.74
43% Win % 48%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Pride Park Stadium!
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Middlesbrough FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
  • 14' Kayden Jackson does the damage! The net is bulging and Derby County FC surge ahead!
  • 19' Kane Wilson has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 20' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Eiran Cashin is withdrawn and Sonny Bradley gets his opportunity.
  • 25' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Kane Wilson is replaced by Ryan Nyambe on 25 minute.
  • 30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Luke Ayling suffering a number of foals already.
  • 40' Derby County FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 42' A moment of madness from Emmanuel Latte Lath on 42 minutes earns him a card. Middlesbrough FC will be frustrated.
  • 47' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 52' The home supporters are growing impatient. Derby County FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 57' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 62' Ebou Adams has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kenzo Goudmijn on 62 minute.
  • 67' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Callum Elder gets a card.
  • 68' Daniel Barlaser gets the nod from Middlesbrough FC. He replaces Aidan Morris and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 76' Craig Forsyth is replacing David Ozoh for the Derby County FC side.
  • 78' Another change for Middlesbrough FC made on 78 minute. Finn Azaz leaves to be changed by Tommy Conway.
  • 83' The 25-year-old Finn Azaz has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 88' The energy levels are beginning to show. Paul Warne might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 90' Kayden Jackson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Josh Coburn. He replaces Hayden Hackney on 90 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Derby County FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.27 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Middlesbrough FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC40% Draw28% Middlesbrough FC32%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
60%
Derby County FC or Middlesbrough FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC26% Draw48% Middlesbrough FC26%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
3.3%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 19% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
28%
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.