Derby County FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
- Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Bobby Madley (England)
- Assistant 1 Blake Antrobus (England)
- Assistant 2 Darren Williams (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Aug | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 27 Apr | Carlisle United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Cambridge United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Leyton Orient FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Apr | Wycombe Wanderers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | Derby County FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Aug | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 May | Watford FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | Cardiff City FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Apr | Leeds United FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 13 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Middlesbrough FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #5 |
| 69 | Points | 80 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 20 / 9 / 17 | W / D / L | 22 / 14 / 10 |
| 67 | Scored | 72 |
| 59 | Conceded | 47 |
| +8 | GD | +25 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.74 |
| 43% | Win % | 48% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Pride Park Stadium!
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Middlesbrough FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
- 14' Kayden Jackson does the damage! The net is bulging and Derby County FC surge ahead!
- 19' Kane Wilson has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 20' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Eiran Cashin is withdrawn and Sonny Bradley gets his opportunity.
- 25' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Kane Wilson is replaced by Ryan Nyambe on 25 minute.
- 30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Luke Ayling suffering a number of foals already.
- 40' Derby County FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 42' A moment of madness from Emmanuel Latte Lath on 42 minutes earns him a card. Middlesbrough FC will be frustrated.
- 47' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 52' The home supporters are growing impatient. Derby County FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 57' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 62' Ebou Adams has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kenzo Goudmijn on 62 minute.
- 67' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Callum Elder gets a card.
- 68' Daniel Barlaser gets the nod from Middlesbrough FC. He replaces Aidan Morris and will look to change the dynamic.
- 73' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 76' Craig Forsyth is replacing David Ozoh for the Derby County FC side.
- 78' Another change for Middlesbrough FC made on 78 minute. Finn Azaz leaves to be changed by Tommy Conway.
- 83' The 25-year-old Finn Azaz has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 88' The energy levels are beginning to show. Paul Warne might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 90' Kayden Jackson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Josh Coburn. He replaces Hayden Hackney on 90 minute.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Derby County FC players.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Ebou Adams 62'
- 8
- 11
- 19
-
2
Kane Wilson ↓ Ryan Nyambe 25'
- 35
- 31
-
9
James Collins ↓ Liam Thompson 76'
- 20
-
6
Eiran Cashin ↓ Sonny Bradley 20'
-
4
David Ozoh ↓ Craig Forsyth 76'
Bench
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↑ 76'
-
24
Ryan Nyambe ↑ 25'
- 23
-
5
Sonny Bradley ↑ 20'
-
32
Ebou Adams ↑ 62'
-
16
Liam Thompson ↑ 76'
- 1
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 76'
- 39
Coach
Paul Warne
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 12
- 1
- 9
- 10
-
11
Isaiah Jones ↓ Micah Hamilton 68'
-
7
Hayden Hackney ↓ Josh Coburn 90'
-
18
Aidan Morris ↓ Daniel Barlaser 68'
-
20
Finn Azaz ↓ Tommy Conway 78'
- 3
- 27
Bench
- 15
-
4
Daniel Barlaser ↑ 68'
- 31
-
22
Tommy Conway ↑ 78'
-
19
Josh Coburn ↑ 90'
- 14
- 41
-
17
Micah Hamilton ↑ 68'
- 37
Coach
Michael Carrick
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Lawrence | 2 |
| Max Bird | 1 |
| Duane Holmes | 1 |
| Aaron Connolly | 1 |
| Jason Knight | 1 |
| Duncan Watmore | 1 |
| Paddy McNair | 1 |
| Matty Crooks | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
2024-08-17
Derby County FC
1–0
Middlesbrough FC
W
2024-08-09
Blackburn Rovers FC
4–2
Derby County FC
L
2024-04-27
Derby County FC
2–0
Carlisle United FC
W
2024-04-20
Cambridge United FC
0–1
Derby County FC
W
2024-04-13
Derby County FC
3–0
Leyton Orient FC
W
2024-04-10
Wycombe Wanderers FC
0–0
Derby County FC
D
Middlesbrough FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.27
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for:
Derby County FC or Middlesbrough FC 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
60%
Derby County FC or Middlesbrough FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
3.3%
0 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Middlesbrough FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 19% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 19% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

