VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

VfL Wolfsburg

1 – 1

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sun 31 Aug 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Soren Storks

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
2	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
3	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26
4	FC Schalke 04	0	0
5	SC Paderborn 07	0	0
6	SV 07 Elversberg	0	0
7	FC Bayern München	0	0
8	Borussia Dortmund	0	0
9	RB Leipzig	0	0
10	VfB Stuttgart	0	0
11	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0	0
12	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0	0
13	SC Freiburg	0	0
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0
15	FC Augsburg	0	0
16	1. FSV Mainz 05	0	0
17	1. FC Union Berlin	0	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0
19	Hamburger SV	0	0
20	1. FC Köln	0	0
21	SV Werder Bremen	0	0

Head-to-Head

VfL Wolfsburg 25 games · Avg 3.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-04-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg 2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Aug	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–1	D
23 Aug	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	3–1	W
16 Aug	SV Hemelingen	A	9–0	W
17 May	Borussia Mönchengladbach	A	1–0	W
09 May	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	2–2	D
03 May	Borussia Dortmund	A	0–4	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Aug	VfL Wolfsburg	A	1–1	D
24 Aug	1. FC Köln	H	0–1	L
18 Aug	SG Dynamo Dresden	A	1–0	W
17 May	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	2–2	D
10 May	VfL Bochum 1848	A	4–1	W
04 May	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

VfL Wolfsburg		1. FSV Mainz 05
#1	Position	#16
29	Points	0
34	Played	0
7 / 8 / 19	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
45	Scored	0
69	Conceded	0
-24	GD	+0
0.85	PPG	–
21%	Win %	–

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

VfL Wolfsburg are 1st (29 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at . Ninety minutes of football awaits between VfL Wolfsburg and 1. FSV Mainz 05.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 1. FSV Mainz 05.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jonas Wind	7
Maximilian Arnold	3
Jonathan Burkardt	3
Max Kruse	3
Renato Steffen	2
Paul Nebel	2
Maximilian Philipp	2
Sebastiaan Bornauw	2

Head to Head

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2025-08-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-08-23 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-08-16 SV Hemelingen 0–9 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-05-17 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-05-09 VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D 2025-05-03 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 VfL Wolfsburg L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-08-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-08-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 1. FC Köln L 2025-08-18 SG Dynamo Dresden 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-05-17 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2025-05-10 VfL Bochum 1848 1–4 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-05-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

0.68 VfL Wolfsburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.89 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 79% + Under — clean sheet likely 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct

VfL Wolfsburg32% Draw35% 1. FSV Mainz 0533%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes31% 0% No69%

Avg goals/match: 1.57

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	77%	23%
± 1.5	47%	53%
± 2.5	21%	79%
± 3.5	8%	92%
± 4.5	3%	97%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw

67%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

68%

VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05

65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

VfL Wolfsburg16% Draw61% 1. FSV Mainz 0523%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

23.3%

0 – 1

16.9%

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

12.6%

0 – 2

7.7%

1 – 2

5.6%

2 – 0

4.5%

2 – 1

4.3%

0 – 3

2.3%

2 – 2

2.1%

1 – 3

1.7%

3 – 1

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap	VfL Wolfsburg covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	6%	93%
-1.5	7%	—	93%
-1	7%	17%	76%
-0.5	24%	—	76%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	23%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	10%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

42% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

51% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.