Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 21 Jan 2023 · 14:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Stefan Lupp
  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Referee Mark Borsch
  • Referee Eduard Beitinger
  • Referee Gunter Perl
  • Referee Benjamin Brand

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D
12 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–2 L
08 Nov Hertha BSC H 2–1 W
04 Nov Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–3 L
29 Oct FC Augsburg H 2–1 W
22 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 0–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 1–1 D
13 Nov Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
09 Nov FC Schalke 04 A 0–1 L
05 Nov VfL Wolfsburg H 0–3 L
29 Oct FC Bayern München A 2–6 L
21 Oct 1. FC Köln H 5–0 W

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart 1. FSV Mainz 05
#15 Position #6
3 Points 7
4 Played 4
1 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
6 Scored 10
9 Conceded 6
-3 GD +4
0.75 PPG 1.75
25% Win % 50%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

VfB Stuttgart are 15th (3 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. VfB Stuttgart host 1. FSV Mainz 05 — let the battle begin!
  • 5' VfB Stuttgart are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Anthony Caci made 365 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfB Stuttgart and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 30' Edimilson Fernandes, a Switzerland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 35' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 36' What composure from Sehrou Guirassy! The Guinea international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 40' Marcus Ingvartsen has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 40 minutes.
  • 45' The 26-year-old Nikolas Nartey has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 50' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 55' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bruno Labbadia will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 60' It is a cagey affair so far. VfB Stuttgart in their trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact .
  • 62' A moment of madness from Dominik Kohr on 62 minutes earns him a Yellow card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
  • 65' The whistle greets Marcus Ingvartsen as he departs to be replaced by Lee Jaesung.
  • 70' The referee has no hesitation. Silas Wamangituka Fundu is booked for VfB Stuttgart — Yellow card on 70.
  • 75' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Josha Vagnoman. He replaces Nikolas Nartey on 77 minute.
  • 78' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Aymen Barkok is withdrawn and Anton Stach gets his opportunity.
  • 79' Poor challenge from Leandro Barreiro Martins. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 84' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. VfB Stuttgart needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 86' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Leandro Barreiro Martins has done his job and it is now time for Angelo Fulgini to step up.
  • 90' Another change for VfB Stuttgart made on 90 minute. Silas Wamangituka Fundu leaves to be changed by Thomas Kastanaras.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Angelo Fulgini. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • It finishes all square. VfB Stuttgart and 1. FSV Mainz 05 share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.64 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: VfB Stuttgart or 1. FSV Mainz 05 76% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart40% Draw24% 1. FSV Mainz 0536%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
64%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
60%
VfB Stuttgart or 1. FSV Mainz 05
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart27% Draw41% 1. FSV Mainz 0532%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.4%
2 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
5%
0 – 1
5%
0 – 0
4.5%
1 – 0
4.4%
2 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
4%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 17% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 19% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.