Sunday , 16 August 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 21 Jan 2023 · 14:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Stefan Lupp
  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Referee Mark Borsch
  • Referee Eduard Beitinger
  • Referee Gunter Perl
  • Referee Benjamin Brand

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D
12 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–2 L
08 Nov Hertha BSC H 2–1 W
04 Nov Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–3 L
29 Oct FC Augsburg H 2–1 W
22 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 0–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 1–1 D
13 Nov Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
09 Nov FC Schalke 04 A 0–1 L
05 Nov VfL Wolfsburg H 0–3 L
29 Oct FC Bayern München A 2–6 L
21 Oct 1. FC Köln H 5–0 W

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart 1. FSV Mainz 05
#10 Position #16
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

VfB Stuttgart are 10th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Mercedes-Benz Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Nikolas Nartey has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' Edimilson Fernandes needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 15' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His VfB Stuttgart side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 25' Anthony Caci is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FSV Mainz 05 so far.
  • 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. VfB Stuttgart must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 35' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 36' Sehrou Guirassy doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 40' What an equalizer from Marcus Ingvartsen!
  • 45' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 50' It’s high time Bruno Labbadia made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 55' 1. FSV Mainz 05 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 60' Luxembourg international Leandro Barreiro Martins has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 62' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dominik Kohr on 62.
  • 65' The whistle greets Marcus Ingvartsen as he departs to be replaced by Lee Jaesung.
  • 70' The referee shows VfB Stuttgart player a Yellow card on 70.
  • 75' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 77' The whistle greets Nikolas Nartey as he departs to be replaced by Josha Vagnoman.
  • 78' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Anton Stach comes on to replace Aymen Barkok.
  • 79' Controversy at the stadium! Leandro Barreiro Martins argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 84' Silas Wamangituka Fundu has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 86' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05Angelo Fulgini on, Leandro Barreiro Martins off on 86 minutes.
  • 90' A change in the VfB Stuttgart ranks — Silas Wamangituka Fundu exits the field as Thomas Kastanaras enters on 90.
  • 90' That is a Yellow card for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Angelo Fulgini will be fuming at that decision.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.96 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.43 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 83% + Under — clean sheet likely 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart48% Draw35% 1. FSV Mainz 0517%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes23% 0% No77%
Avg goals/match: 1.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 72%
28%
± 1.5 41%
59%
± 2.5 17%
83%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
83%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
52%
VfB Stuttgart or 1. FSV Mainz 05
65%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart27% Draw64% 1. FSV Mainz 059%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
27.6%
1 – 0
22.6%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 2
2.2%
0 – 2
2%
3 – 1
1.8%
2 – 2
1.2%
4 – 0
0.8%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 13% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 28% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 11% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
65%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.