VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Stefan Lupp
- Referee Felix Brych
- Referee Mark Borsch
- Referee Eduard Beitinger
- Referee Gunter Perl
- Referee Benjamin Brand
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Nov | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Nov | Hertha BSC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Nov | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Oct | FC Augsburg | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Oct | Borussia Dortmund | A | 0–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Nov | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Nov | FC Schalke 04 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Nov | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Oct | FC Bayern München | A | 2–6 | L |
| 21 Oct | 1. FC Koln | H | 5–0 | W |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #10 |
| 62 | Points | 40 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 14 |
| 71 | Scored | 44 |
| 49 | Conceded | 53 |
| +22 | GD | -9 |
| 1.82 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 53% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Mercedes-Benz Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bo Svensson might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' VfB Stuttgart are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FSV Mainz 05 backline.
- 15' The 33-year-old Lee Jaesung has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 25' Sehrou Guirassy needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
- 30' Finn Dahmen, a Germany goalkeeper, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 35' Hiroki Ito has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 36' The deadlock is broken! Sehrou Guirassy gets on the scoresheet on 36 minutes.
- 40' The Denmark Marcus Ingvartsen breaks the deadlock on 40 minutes. 1-1!
- 45' It is a cagey affair so far. VfB Stuttgart in their trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact .
- 50' Edimilson Fernandes has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 55' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 60' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 62' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Dominik Kohr.
- 65' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Marcus Ingvartsen exits the field as Lee Jaesung enters on 65.
- 70' The referee shows VfB Stuttgart player a Yellow card on 70.
- 75' VfB Stuttgart is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 77' Nikolas Nartey makes way for Josha Vagnoman at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfB Stuttgart.
- 78' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Aymen Barkok exits the field as Anton Stach enters on 78.
- 79' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Leandro Barreiro Martins.
- 84' A quiet spell here at Mercedes-Benz Arena. VfB Stuttgart seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 86' The crowd applauds Leandro Barreiro Martins as he leaves the pitch. Angelo Fulgini steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 90' A tactical swap from VfB Stuttgart — Thomas Kastanaras on, Silas Wamangituka Fundu off on 90 minutes.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Angelo Fulgini. He receives a Yellow card.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 5
- 1
- 2
-
28
Nikolas Nartey ↓ Josha Vagnoman 77'
- 9
- 3
- 21
-
10
Tiago Tomas ↓ Chris Fuhrich 77'
- 32
- 14
Bench
-
4
Josha Vagnoman ↑ 77'
- 15
-
22
Chris Fuhrich ↑ 77'
- 33
- 20
- 25
- 8
- 11
-
39
Thomas Kastanaras ↑ 90'
Coach
Bruno Labbadia
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 31
- 1
- 42
- 9
- 3
- 8
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↓ Anton Stach 78'
- 20
- 30
-
11
Marcus Ingvartsen ↓ Lee Jaesung 65'
Bench
-
7
Lee Jaesung ↑ 65'
-
10
Angelo Fulgini ↑ 86'
- 21
- 5
-
6
Anton Stach ↑ 78'
- 25
- 38
- 32
- 43
Coach
Bo Svensson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sehrou Guirassy | 5 |
| Silas Wamangituka | 2 |
| Sasa Kalajdzic | 2 |
| Jamie Leweling | 2 |
| Borna Sosa | 2 |
| Alexander Hack | 2 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 2 |
| Nadiem Amiri | 1 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.12
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
VfB Stuttgart to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
82%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
40%
VfB Stuttgart or 1. FSV Mainz 05
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
9%
3 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
6.7%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 2
4.4%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 0
3.7%
4 – 1
3.6%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 19% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 23% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

