Thursday , 2 July 2026

Gamba Osaka vs V-Varen Nagasaki, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Gamba Osaka
3 – 2
Full Time
V-Varen Nagasaki
Sun 8 Mar 2026 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs V-Varen Nagasaki — J. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Akihiko Ikeuchi
11 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 5.9 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

3
1
6
Gamba Osaka 10 games · Avg 4.1 goals V-Varen Nagasaki
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-08 Gamba Osaka 3–2 V-Varen Nagasaki 2018-11-24 Gamba Osaka 2–1 V-Varen Nagasaki 2018-04-14 V-Varen Nagasaki 3–0 Gamba Osaka 2018-03-17 Gamba Osaka 1–2 V-Varen Nagasaki 2017-10-28 V-Varen Nagasaki 2–0 Gamba Osaka

Recent Form

Gamba Osaka
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar V-Varen Nagasaki H 3–2 W
28 Feb Shimizu S-Pulse H 2–0 W
22 Feb Fagiano Okayama FC A 2–1 W
15 Feb Nagoya Grampus H 0–0 D
07 Feb Cerezo Osaka FC A 5–4 W
06 Dec Tokyo Verdy H 4–1 W
V-Varen Nagasaki
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Gamba Osaka A 2–3 L
28 Feb Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–0 W
21 Feb Nagoya Grampus A 3–1 W
13 Feb Vissel Kobe A 0–2 L
06 Feb Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–3 L
01 Dec Shimizu S-Pulse H 4–4 D

Season Stats

Gamba Osaka V-Varen Nagasaki
#5 Position #9
28 Points 21
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 11
61 Scored 25
53 Conceded 33
+8 GD -8
1.56 PPG 1.17
56% Win % 39%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
17% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season

Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Gamba Osaka Lineups

V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Hijiri Onaga 1
Shogo Nakahara 1
Kosuke Onose 1
Keito Nakamura 1
Ryutaro Iio 1
Deniz Hummet 1
Matheus Jesus 1
Keita Nakamura 1

Head to Head

2026-03-08 Gamba Osaka 3–2 V-Varen Nagasaki 2018-11-24 Gamba Osaka 2–1 V-Varen Nagasaki 2018-04-14 V-Varen Nagasaki 3–0 Gamba Osaka 2018-03-17 Gamba Osaka 1–2 V-Varen Nagasaki 2017-10-28 V-Varen Nagasaki 2–0 Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka Form

2026-03-08 Gamba Osaka 3–2 V-Varen Nagasaki W 2026-02-28 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2026-02-22 Fagiano Okayama FC 1–2 Gamba Osaka W 2026-02-15 Gamba Osaka 0–0 Nagoya Grampus D 2026-02-07 Cerezo Osaka FC 4–5 Gamba Osaka W 2025-12-06 Gamba Osaka 4–1 Tokyo Verdy W

V-Varen Nagasaki Form

2026-03-08 Gamba Osaka 3–2 V-Varen Nagasaki L 2026-02-28 V-Varen Nagasaki 1–0 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2026-02-21 Nagoya Grampus 1–3 V-Varen Nagasaki W 2026-02-13 Vissel Kobe 2–0 V-Varen Nagasaki L 2026-02-06 V-Varen Nagasaki 1–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2018-12-01 V-Varen Nagasaki 4–4 Shimizu S-Pulse D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.58 Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gamba Osaka56% Draw20% V-Varen Nagasaki24%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 79%
21%
± 3.5 61%
39%
± 4.5 42%
58%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw
76%
Draw or V-Varen Nagasaki
44%
Gamba Osaka or V-Varen Nagasaki
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gamba Osaka42% Draw35% V-Varen Nagasaki23%
Actual: V-Varen Nagasaki win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 1
6.8%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.4%
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
5.1%
2 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.7%
4 – 2
3.6%
1 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap Gamba Osaka covers Push V-Varen Nagasaki covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 16% 64%
-1.5 36% — 64%
-1 36% 19% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 13% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 7% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.