V-Varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank.
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Ryo Tanimoto
8 games this season
🟨 2.5/game
⚽ 8.4 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Gamba Osaka | H | 6–7 | L |
| 18 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Mar | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 7–6 | W |
| 22 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 6–5 | W |
| 11 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Apr | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 15–16 | L |
Season Stats
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #5 |
| 21 | Points | 28 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 25 | Scored | 61 |
| 33 | Conceded | 53 |
| -8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 39% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. V-Varen Nagasaki kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Masahiro Sekiguchi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Gamba Osaka winning 100% of all matches.
- 13' Gamba Osaka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryoya Yamashita is hanging Welton on the field on 13 minute.
- 18' Gamba Osaka started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 18.
- 23' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 28' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering V-Varen Nagasaki that had 188 games and scored 49 goals.
- 33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. V-Varen Nagasaki needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 38' Another change for Gamba Osaka made on 38 minute. Issam Jebali leaves to be changed by Takashi Usami.
- 43' It looks like no one’s ball. Gamba Osaka is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 46' Time for substitution for Gamba Osaka. Shuto Abe is replaced by Takato Yamamoto.
- 51' The travelling Gamba Osaka supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Deniz Hummet, as he is very good at scoring at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 61' V-Varen Nagasaki is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 63' V-Varen Nagasaki manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Matheus Jesus is hanging Thiago Santana on the field on 63 minute.
- 68' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Masaaki Goto made 418 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 73' Gamba Osaka looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Deniz Hummet scoring 1 goals.
- 78' V-Varen Nagasaki is taking the lead after the goal scored by Matheus Jesus on 78.
- 80' GOAL! Deniz Hummet scores on 80. Assisted by Ryoya Yamashita
- 81' Another substitution for Gamba Osaka to replace Ryotaro Meshino by Harumi Minamino on 81 minute.
- 85' V-Varen Nagasaki player sees a card in front of him.
- 87' Ryogo Yamasaki is replacing Motoki Hasegawa for the V-Varen Nagasaki side.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for V-Varen Nagasaki.
Lineups
V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 22
- 23
-
9
Thiago Santana ↓ Matheus Jesus 63'
- 5
- 29
- 1
-
24
Riku Yamada ↓ Yuto Iwasaki 87'
- 41
- 11
- 3
Bench
- 19
-
10
Matheus Jesus ↑ 63'
-
18
Ryogo Yamasaki ↑ 87'
- 13
-
8
Yuto Iwasaki ↑ 87'
- 17
-
34
Tenmu Matsumoto ↑ 63'
- 45
- 37
Coach
Takuya Takagi
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Issam Jebali ↓ Takashi Usami 38'
-
21
Ryo Hatsuse ↓ Shinya Nakano 81'
- 8
- 4
-
13
Shuto Abe ↓ Takato Yamamoto 46'
- 15
- 27
-
97
Welton ↓ Ryoya Yamashita 13'
- 23
- 18
- 19
Bench
-
7
Takashi Usami ↑ 38'
- 1
- 5
-
17
Ryoya Yamashita ↑ 13'
-
47
Shinya Nakano ↑ 81'
- 16
- 44
-
42
Harumi Minamino ↑ 81'
-
36
Takato Yamamoto ↑ 46'
Coach
Jens Wissing
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ryutaro Iio | 1 |
| Deniz Hummet | 1 |
| Matheus Jesus | 1 |
| Keita Nakamura | 1 |
| Hijiri Onaga | 1 |
| Shogo Nakahara | 1 |
| Keita Nakamura | 1 |
| Hijiri Onaga | 1 |
Head to Head
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
2026-04-25
V-Varen Nagasaki
6–7
Gamba Osaka
L
2026-04-18
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
2026-04-11
Avispa Fukuoka
1–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
2026-04-05
V-Varen Nagasaki
0–3
Shimizu S-Pulse
L
2026-03-21
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
V-Varen Nagasaki
W
2026-03-18
V-Varen Nagasaki
1–2
Kyoto Sanga FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.61
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
4.17
Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 98% + Both teams to score 95%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gamba Osaka win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 7.78
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 100% |
|
0% |
| ± 1.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 2.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 3.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 4.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
Double Chance
V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
55%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
65%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Gamba Osaka
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 6–7 not predicted6 – 7Actual
3 – 4
4.3%
3 – 3
4.2%
4 – 4
3.8%
4 – 3
3.8%
2 – 4
3.7%
2 – 3
3.6%
3 – 5
3.6%
4 – 5
3.2%
3 – 2
3.2%
2 – 5
3%
4 – 2
2.8%
5 – 4
2.8%
Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki
| Handicap | V-Varen Nagasaki covers | Push | Gamba Osaka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 10% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 13% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 15% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +2 | 66% | 13% | 20% |
| +2.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
Clean Sheet
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
2%
✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
3%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.