V-Varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank.
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ryo Tanimoto
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Gamba Osaka | H | 6–7 | L |
| 18 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Mar | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 7–6 | W |
| 22 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 6–5 | W |
| 11 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Apr | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 15–16 | L |
Season Stats
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #5 |
| 21 | Points | 28 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 25 | Scored | 61 |
| 33 | Conceded | 53 |
| -8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 39% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
–/1
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
| Matheus Jesus | 3 G |
| Thiago Santana | 3 G |
| Tenmu Matsumoto | 2 G |
Gamba Osaka
| Issam Jebali | 2 G | 1 A |
| Deniz Hummet | 2 G | |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 1 G | |
| Asahi Uenaka | 1 G | |
| Welton | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! V-Varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 13' The whistle greets Welton as he departs to be replaced by Ryoya Yamashita.
- 18' It looks surprising Gamba Osaka does not make any changes. Shinnosuke Nakatani has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 23' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 28' Gamba Osaka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 33' Gamba Osaka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 38' The crowd applauds Issam Jebali as he leaves the pitch. Takashi Usami steps in for Gamba Osaka.
- 43' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 46' It is a substitution in Gamba Osaka team. Shuto Abe is replaced by Takato Yamamoto on 46 minute.
- 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 56' The home supporters are growing impatient. V-Varen Nagasaki must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 61' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 63' The whistle greets Thiago Santana as he departs to be replaced by Matheus Jesus.
- 68' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jens Wissing will be considering his options from the bench.
- 73' Eduardo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 14 goals in his last 446 appearances.
- 78' What a strike from Matheus Jesus! The score is 1-0.
- 80' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Deniz Hummet makes it 1-1.
- 81' Harumi Minamino is replacing Ryotaro Meshino for the Gamba Osaka side.
- 85' Eduardo was booked on 85.
- 87' A tactical swap from V-Varen Nagasaki — Ryogo Yamasaki on, Motoki Hasegawa off on 87 minutes.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Gamba Osaka players.
Lineups
V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 22
- 23
-
9
Thiago Santana ↓ Matheus Jesus 63'
- 5
- 29
- 1
-
24
Riku Yamada ↓ Yuto Iwasaki 87'
- 41
- 11
- 3
Bench
- 19
-
10
Matheus Jesus ↑ 63'
-
18
Ryogo Yamasaki ↑ 87'
- 13
-
8
Yuto Iwasaki ↑ 87'
- 17
-
34
Tenmu Matsumoto ↑ 63'
- 45
- 37
Coach
Takuya Takagi
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Issam Jebali ↓ Takashi Usami 38'
-
21
Ryo Hatsuse ↓ Shinya Nakano 81'
- 8
- 4
-
13
Shuto Abe ↓ Takato Yamamoto 46'
- 15
- 27
-
97
Welton ↓ Ryoya Yamashita 13'
- 23
- 18
- 19
Bench
-
7
Takashi Usami ↑ 38'
- 1
- 5
-
17
Ryoya Yamashita ↑ 13'
-
47
Shinya Nakano ↑ 81'
- 16
- 44
-
42
Harumi Minamino ↑ 81'
-
36
Takato Yamamoto ↑ 46'
Coach
Jens Wissing
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Deniz Hummet | 2 |
| Matheus Jesus | 2 |
| Keita Nakamura | 1 |
| Issam Jebali | 1 |
| Hijiri Onaga | 1 |
| Kenshin Yasuda | 1 |
| Shogo Nakahara | 1 |
| Keita Nakamura | 1 |
Head to Head
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
2026-04-25
V-Varen Nagasaki
6–7
Gamba Osaka
L
2026-04-18
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
2026-04-11
Avispa Fukuoka
1–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
2026-04-05
V-Varen Nagasaki
0–3
Shimizu S-Pulse
L
2026-03-21
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
V-Varen Nagasaki
W
2026-03-18
V-Varen Nagasaki
1–2
Kyōto Sanga FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.61
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
4.17
Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 98% + Both teams to score 95%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gamba Osaka win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 7.78
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 100% |
|
0% |
| ± 1.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 2.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 3.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 4.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
Double Chance
V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
55%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
65%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Gamba Osaka
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 6–7 not predicted6 – 7Actual
3 – 4
4.3%
3 – 3
4.2%
4 – 4
3.8%
4 – 3
3.8%
2 – 4
3.7%
2 – 3
3.6%
3 – 5
3.6%
4 – 5
3.2%
3 – 2
3.2%
2 – 5
3%
4 – 2
2.8%
5 – 4
2.8%
Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki
| Handicap | V-Varen Nagasaki covers | Push | Gamba Osaka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 10% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 13% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 15% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +2 | 66% | 13% | 20% |
| +2.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
Clean Sheet
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
2%
✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
3%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.