V-Varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank.
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ryo Tanimoto
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Gamba Osaka | H | 6–7 | L |
| 18 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Mar | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 7–6 | W |
| 22 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 6–5 | W |
| 11 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Apr | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 15–16 | L |
Season Stats
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #5 |
| 21 | Points | 28 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 25 | Scored | 61 |
| 33 | Conceded | 53 |
| -8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 39% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
1/5
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/4
61-75
1/3
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/4
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
6/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
| Thiago Santana | 5 G | |
| Kenshin Yasuda | 5 G | |
| Matheus Jesus | 4 G | 2 A |
| Tenmu Matsumoto | 2 G |
Gamba Osaka
| Issam Jebali | 5 G | 3 A |
| Ryotaro Meshino | 2 G | |
| Welton | 2 G | |
| Deniz Hummet | 2 G | |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. V-Varen Nagasaki is hosting Gamba Osaka for another epic battle.
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. V-Varen Nagasaki must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 13' Another change for Gamba Osaka made on 13 minute. Welton leaves to be changed by Ryoya Yamashita.
- 18' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Takashi Usami suffering a number of foals already.
- 23' Gamba Osaka is showing some good football. However, Gamba Osaka are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 28' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 33' Over 33 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 38' Time for substitution for Gamba Osaka. Issam Jebali is replaced by Takashi Usami.
- 43' Gamba Osaka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 46' The Gamba Osaka bench stirs into life. Shuto Abe is withdrawn and Takato Yamamoto gets his opportunity.
- 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His V-Varen Nagasaki side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 61' Motoki Hasegawa, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 63' Fresh legs for V-Varen Nagasaki! Matheus Jesus comes on to replace Thiago Santana.
- 68' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Gamba Osaka winning 0% of all matches.
- 73' Riku Yamada has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 450 appearances.
- 78' Matheus Jesus makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and V-Varen Nagasaki are in front.
- 80' Deniz Hummet does the damage! The net is bulging and Gamba Osaka surge ahead!
- 81' Fresh legs for Gamba Osaka! Harumi Minamino comes on to replace Ryotaro Meshino.
- 85' Eduardo picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 87' The whistle greets Motoki Hasegawa as he departs to be replaced by Ryogo Yamasaki.
- Gamba Osaka celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 22
- 23
-
9
Thiago Santana ↓ Matheus Jesus 63'
- 5
- 29
- 1
-
24
Riku Yamada ↓ Yuto Iwasaki 87'
- 41
- 11
- 3
Bench
- 19
-
10
Matheus Jesus ↑ 63'
-
18
Ryogo Yamasaki ↑ 87'
- 13
-
8
Yuto Iwasaki ↑ 87'
- 17
-
34
Tenmu Matsumoto ↑ 63'
- 45
- 37
Coach
Takuya Takagi
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Issam Jebali ↓ Takashi Usami 38'
-
21
Ryo Hatsuse ↓ Shinya Nakano 81'
- 8
- 4
-
13
Shuto Abe ↓ Takato Yamamoto 46'
- 15
- 27
-
97
Welton ↓ Ryoya Yamashita 13'
- 23
- 18
- 19
Bench
-
7
Takashi Usami ↑ 38'
- 1
- 5
-
17
Ryoya Yamashita ↑ 13'
-
47
Shinya Nakano ↑ 81'
- 16
- 44
-
42
Harumi Minamino ↑ 81'
-
36
Takato Yamamoto ↑ 46'
Coach
Jens Wissing
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Deniz Hummet | 2 |
| Matheus Jesus | 2 |
| Keito Nakamura | 1 |
| Ryutaro Iio | 1 |
| Keita Nakamura | 1 |
| Issam Jebali | 1 |
| Hijiri Onaga | 1 |
| Kenshin Yasuda | 1 |
Head to Head
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
2026-04-25
V-Varen Nagasaki
6–7
Gamba Osaka
L
2026-04-18
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
2026-04-11
Avispa Fukuoka
1–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
2026-04-05
V-Varen Nagasaki
0–3
Shimizu S-Pulse
L
2026-03-21
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
V-Varen Nagasaki
W
2026-03-18
V-Varen Nagasaki
1–2
Kyōto Sanga FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.61
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
4.17
Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 98% + Both teams to score 95%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gamba Osaka win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 7.78
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 100% |
|
0% |
| ± 1.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 2.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 3.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 4.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
Double Chance
V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
55%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
65%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Gamba Osaka
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 6–7 not predicted6 – 7Actual
3 – 4
4.3%
3 – 3
4.2%
4 – 4
3.8%
4 – 3
3.8%
2 – 4
3.7%
2 – 3
3.6%
3 – 5
3.6%
4 – 5
3.2%
3 – 2
3.2%
2 – 5
3%
4 – 2
2.8%
5 – 4
2.8%
Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki
| Handicap | V-Varen Nagasaki covers | Push | Gamba Osaka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 10% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 13% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 15% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +2 | 66% | 13% | 20% |
| +2.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
Clean Sheet
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
2%
✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
3%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

