Thursday , 2 July 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
5 4
3 – 2 pen
Full Time
Sun 17 May 2026 · 04:00 UTC Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank HT 45' · FT 45'
Hotaru Yamaguchi 21' 1–0
1–1 27' Yoshinori Muto
1–2 32' Thuler
Eduardo 45' 2–2
Y 37' Caetano
Hijiri Onaga 65' Y
Diego Pituca 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vissel KobeJ. League at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Vissel Kobe H 5–4 W
09 May Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–3 L
06 May Fagiano Okayama FC H 2–1 W
03 May Nagoya Grampus H 1–2 L
29 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–1 W
25 Apr Gamba Osaka H 6–7 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May V-Varen Nagasaki A 4–5 L
13 May Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–0 W
10 May Fagiano Okayama FC H 0–3 L
06 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 6–5 W
02 May Gamba Osaka A 0–5 L
29 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

V-Varen Nagasaki Vissel Kobe
#9 Position #1
21 Points 35
18 Played 18
7 / 0 / 11 W / D / L 11 / 0 / 7
25 Scored 41
33 Conceded 37
-8 GD +4
1.17 PPG 1.94
39% Win % 61%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
33% Clean Sheets
Vissel Kobe this season

V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Vissel Kobe are 1st (35 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
/3
16-30
4/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Vissel Kobe
0-15
/
16-30
3/4
31-45
3/4
46-60
/2
61-75
4/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: V-Varen Nagasaki gets underway.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yoshinori Muto made 339 appearances and scored 45 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' It’s high time Takuya Takagi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 21' Hotaru Yamaguchi puts V-Varen Nagasaki on the lead.
  • 26' The travelling Vissel Kobe supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 27' What an equalizer from Yoshinori Muto!
  • 28' Vissel Kobe is taking the lead after the goal scored by Yoshinori Muto on 28.
  • 32' Goal! Thuler scores his 11 goal in 382 matches.
  • 37' Caetano is having his name booked by the referee on 37.
  • 42' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Vissel Kobe needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 45' What a strike from Eduardo! The score is 2-3.
  • 46' GOAL! Eduardo scores on 45. Assisted by Matheus Jesus
  • 51' Vissel Kobe started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
  • 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering V-Varen Nagasaki that had 188 games and scored 49 goals.
  • 61' Supporters expect more eagerness from Boniface Nduka, as he is very good at scoring at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 65' V-Varen Nagasaki player sees a card in front of him.
  • 70' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Vissel Kobe winning 50% of all matches.
  • 75' Kazuki Kushibiki needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 80' Vissel Kobe is showing some good football. However, Vissel Kobe are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 85' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 90' The referee shows V-Varen Nagasaki player a card on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Vissel Kobe.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.43 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.38 Vissel Kobe xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 82%

Match Result

✓ Correct
V-Varen Nagasaki44% Draw21% Vissel Kobe35%
Actual: V-Varen Nagasaki win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes82% 0% No18%
Avg goals/match: 4.81
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 85%
15%
± 3.5 69%
31%
± 4.5 51%
49%

Double Chance

V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
65%
Draw or Vissel Kobe
56%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Vissel Kobe
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
V-Varen Nagasaki34% Draw34% Vissel Kobe32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–4 not predicted
5 – 4
Actual
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
1 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 3
4.2%
4 – 2
3.2%
2 – 4
3.1%
4 – 1
2.8%

Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki

Handicap V-Varen Nagasaki covers Push Vissel Kobe covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 12% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 16% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 16% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 12% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
10%
Vissel Kobe keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.