V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe — J. League at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank.
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Vissel Kobe 18 games · 35 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 5–4 | W |
| 09 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 06 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Apr | Gamba Osaka | H | 6–7 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 4–5 | L |
| 13 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 06 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 6–5 | W |
| 02 May | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–5 | L |
| 29 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Vissel Kobe | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #1 |
| 21 | Points | 35 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 25 | Scored | 41 |
| 33 | Conceded | 37 |
| -8 | GD | +4 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.94 |
| 39% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Vissel Kobe this season
Vissel Kobe this season
V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Vissel Kobe are 1st (35 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Vissel Kobe
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between V-Varen Nagasaki and Vissel Kobe is underway.
- 5' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His V-Varen Nagasaki side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
- 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 21' GOAL! Hotaru Yamaguchi fires home to make it 1-0!
- 26' Yuya Osako is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for V-Varen Nagasaki tonight.
- 27' GOAL! Yoshinori Muto fires home to make it 1-1!
- 28' Yoshinori Muto has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 28 minutes.
- 32' Thuler doubles the advantage! 1-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 37' That is a card for Vissel Kobe. Caetano will be fuming at that decision.
- 42' Yosuke Ideguchi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Vissel Kobe so far.
- 45' Assisted by Matheus Jesus with the perfectly-timed delivery and Eduardo makes no mistake. 2-3!
- 46' Assisted by Matheus Jesus with the perfectly-timed delivery and Eduardo makes no mistake. 3-3!
- 51' V-Varen Nagasaki are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Vissel Kobe backline.
- 56' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 61' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 65' A moment of madness from Hijiri Onaga on 65 minutes earns him a card. V-Varen Nagasaki will be frustrated.
- 70' V-Varen Nagasaki are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 75' Motoki Hasegawa has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 80' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 85' A quiet spell here at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank. V-Varen Nagasaki seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 90' Diego Pituca has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- Game over. The scoreline of 5-4 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4
- 22
- 23
- 10
- 9
- 5
- 25
- 1
- 24
- 41
- 3
Bench
- 21
- 18
- 13
- 17
- 48
- 6
- 11
- 34
- 33
Coach
Takuya Takagi
Vissel Kobe Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 10
- 3
- 11
- 24
- 7
- 1
- 13
- 16
- 2
- 15
- 80
Bench
- 41
- 71
- 5
- 26
- 23
- 25
- 19
- 44
- 29
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Wellington | 1 |
| Thuler | 1 |
| Yoshinori Muto | 1 |
| Eduardo | 1 |
| Hotaru Yamaguchi | 1 |
| Masatoshi Mihara | 1 |
| Takashi Sawada | 1 |
| Takashi Sawada | 1 |
Head to Head
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.43
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.38
Vissel Kobe xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 82%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: V-Varen Nagasaki win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.81
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 3.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 4.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
Double Chance
V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
65%
Draw or Vissel Kobe
56%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Vissel Kobe
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–4 not predicted5 – 4Actual
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
1 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 3
4.2%
4 – 2
3.2%
2 – 4
3.1%
4 – 1
2.8%
Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki
| Handicap | V-Varen Nagasaki covers | Push | Vissel Kobe covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 12% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 16% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 16% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 12% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Vissel Kobe keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

