Thursday , 2 July 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka, 2018

J. League · 2018
Sat 14 Apr 2018 · 05:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka — J. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Bumpei Ueda
  • Referee Toshiyuki Tanaka
  • Referee Ryosuke Yamaoka
  • Referee Akihiro Kamegawa

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Apr Gamba Osaka H 3–0 W
11 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse A 1–0 W
08 Apr FC Tōkyō H 2–5 L
07 Apr Vegalta Sendai A 1–1 D
31 Mar Vegalta Sendai A 0–1 L
31 Mar Kingstonian FC H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Apr V-Varen Nagasaki A 0–3 L
11 Apr Jubilo Iwata H 2–0 W
08 Apr Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
07 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–2 D
31 Mar FC Tōkyō A 2–3 L
31 Mar Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 1–1 D

Season Stats

V-Varen Nagasaki Gamba Osaka
#9 Position #5
21 Points 28
18 Played 18
7 / 0 / 11 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
25 Scored 61
33 Conceded 53
-8 GD +8
1.17 PPG 1.56
39% Win % 56%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
22% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
/3
16-30
4/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between V-Varen Nagasaki and Gamba Osaka.
  • 5' Brazil international Fabio Aguiar has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' Gamba Osaka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' Gamba Osaka is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' Masaaki Higashiguchi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His V-Varen Nagasaki side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 45' Gamba Osaka are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 50' Koki Yonekura has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 403 appearances.
  • 55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 60' Yuhei Tokunaga is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for V-Varen Nagasaki so far.
  • 65' V-Varen Nagasaki are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Gamba Osaka's shape.
  • 70' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 75' Gamba Osaka looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Deniz Hummet scoring 1 goals.
  • 80' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Gamba Osaka winning 100% of all matches.
  • 85' V-Varen Nagasaki are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Gamba Osaka backline.
  • 90' V-Varen Nagasaki currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • Another three points for V-Varen Nagasaki.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.35 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.88 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
V-Varen Nagasaki53% Draw21% Gamba Osaka26%
Actual: V-Varen Nagasaki win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes76% 0% No24%
Avg goals/match: 4.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 60%
40%
± 4.5 41%
59%

Double Chance

V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
73%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
47%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Gamba Osaka
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
V-Varen Nagasaki37% Draw36% Gamba Osaka27%
Actual: V-Varen Nagasaki win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.7%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4.2%
1 – 3
3.7%
4 – 1
3.4%
3 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
Actual

Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki

Handicap V-Varen Nagasaki covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 14% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 18% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 15% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 9% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
16%
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.