Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs Hellas Verona FC, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sat 15 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza 69,578 HT 45' · FT 45'
Santiago Gimenez 75' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Hellas Verona FC — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Francesco Fourneau
  • Assistant 1 Daniele Bindoni
  • Assistant 2 Alberto Tegoni

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Hellas Verona FC H 1–0 W
12 Feb Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–1 L
08 Feb Empoli FC A 2–0 W
02 Feb FC Internazionale Milano H 1–1 D
29 Jan GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 1–2 L
26 Jan Parma Calcio 1913 H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb AC Milan A 0–1 L
08 Feb Atalanta BC H 0–5 L
01 Feb AC Monza A 1–0 W
27 Jan Venezia FC A 1–1 D
19 Jan SS Lazio H 0–3 L
12 Jan SSC Napoli A 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. AC Milan get us underway at Giuseppe Meazza.
  • 5' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Hellas Verona FC backline.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Cheikh Niasse suffering a number of foals already.
  • 11' Diego Coppola is having his name booked by the referee on 11.
  • 16' Yunus Musah picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 21' Poor challenge from Cheikh Niasse. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 26' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 31' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 36' AC Milan is showing some good football. However, AC Milan are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 41' Pawel Dawidowicz has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 268 appearances.
  • 43' A moment of madness from Domagoj Bradaric on 43 minutes earns him a card. Hellas Verona FC will be frustrated.
  • 46' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Kyle Walker by Alex Jimenez on 46 minute.
  • 50' The referee has no hesitation. Ondrej Duda is booked for Hellas Verona FC — card on 50.
  • 55' Daniel Mosquera is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Milan tonight.
  • 59' AC Milan player sees a card in front of him.
  • 62' Darko Lazovic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Grigoris Kastanos on 62 minute.
  • 67' The travelling Hellas Verona FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 68' A tactical swap from Hellas Verona FC — Daniel Mosquera on, Amin Sarr off on 68 minutes.
  • 73' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Sergio Conceicao will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 75' Santiago Gimenez makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and AC Milan are in front.
  • 79' It’s gonna be a card for Santiago Gimenez.
  • 82' A tactical swap from AC Milan — Tammy Abraham on, Santiago Gimenez off on 82 minutes.
  • 84' Alphadjo Cisse has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tomas Suslov on 84 minute.
  • 85' Antoine Bernede is ready to make an impact after coming on for Cheikh Niasse at the 85 minute mark.
  • 88' Filippo Terracciano gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Joao Felix and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for AC Milan players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.38 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 Hellas Verona FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan54% Draw27% Hellas Verona FC19%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
81%
Draw or Hellas Verona FC
46%
AC Milan or Hellas Verona FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan33% Draw51% Hellas Verona FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.4%
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Hellas Verona FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 25% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
45% ✗
Hellas Verona FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.