AC Milan vs US Lecce, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Luca Massimi
- Assistant 1 Giovanni Baccini
- Assistant 2 Daisuke Yoshikawa (Italy)
16 games this season
🟨 0.5/game
⚽ 3.4 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | US Lecce | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | ACF Fiorentina | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Mar | Hellas Verona FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | SK Slavia Praha | A | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Mar | Empoli FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | SK Slavia Praha | H | 4–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | AC Milan | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Apr | AS Roma | H | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Mar | US Salernitana 1919 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Mar | Hellas Verona FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Mar | Frosinone Calcio | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Feb | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 0–4 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | US Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #17 |
| 70 | Points | 38 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 20 |
| 53 | Scored | 28 |
| 35 | Conceded | 50 |
| +18 | GD | -22 |
| 1.84 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 53% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). US Lecce are 17th (38 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AC Milan to score. At the same time, US Lecce does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' AC Milan currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 6' GOAL! Christian Pulisic scores on 6. Assisted by Samuel Chukwueze
- 11' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined US Lecce backline.
- 16' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 20' Olivier Giroud is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Stefano Pioli will be considering his options from the bench.
- 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 34' Alexis Blin catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 34.
- 39' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 44' The 28-year-old Marin Pongracic has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 45' It’s a booking for US Lecce player. Nikola Krstovic gets a card.
- 46' A tactical swap from US Lecce — Pontus Almqvist on, Lameck Banda off on 46 minutes.
- 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joan Gonzalez suffering a number of foals already.
- 56' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 57' What a strike from Rafael Leao! The score is 3-0.
- 61' The crowd applauds Matteo Gabbia as he leaves the pitch. Simon Kjaer steps in for AC Milan.
- 62' AC Milan make a change. Olivier Giroud trudges off to be replaced by Luka Jovic on 62 minutes.
- 67' US Lecce come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 69' The whistle greets Lorenzo Venuti as he departs to be replaced by Valentin Gendrey.
- 74' US Lecce have won 161 goals from 190 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 77' Medon Berisha is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alexis Blin at the 77 minute mark.
- 78' The crowd applauds Tijjani Reijnders as he leaves the pitch. Ismael Bennacer steps in for AC Milan.
- 78' Samuel Chukwueze has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 78.
- 83' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Theo Hernandez by Filippo Terracciano on 83 minute.
- 85' US Lecce manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Santiago Pierotti is hanging Patrick Dorgu on the field on 85 minute.
- 90' US Lecce is showing some good football. However, US Lecce are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from AC Milan to claim maximum points.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
-
9
Olivier Giroud ↓ Luka Jovic 62'
- 23
- 7
- 16
- 10
-
11
Christian Pulisic ↓ Yunus Musah 61'
- 19
- 21
- 2
-
46
Matteo Gabbia ↓ Simon Kjaer 61'
Bench
-
15
Luka Jovic ↑ 62'
-
24
Simon Kjaer ↑ 61'
- 42
- 57
-
4
Ismael Bennacer ↑ 78'
- 17
-
38
Filippo Terracciano ↑ 83'
-
80
Yunus Musah ↑ 61'
- 69
- 95
- 85
- 82
Coach
Stefano Pioli
US Lecce Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
29
Alexis Blin ↓ Medon Berisha 77'
- 25
- 5
- 9
- 12
-
22
Lameck Banda ↓ Pontus Almqvist 46'
- 30
- 20
- 6
-
16
Joan Gonzalez ↓ Roberto Piccoli 46'
- 13
Bench
- 10
- 11
- 21
-
91
Roberto Piccoli ↑ 46'
-
50
Santiago Pierotti ↑ 85'
-
17
Valentin Gendrey ↑ 69'
- 8
-
7
Pontus Almqvist ↑ 46'
- 59
- 40
-
18
Medon Berisha ↑ 77'
Coach
Luca Gotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 5 |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Davide Calabria | 2 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 1 |
| Marco Calderoni | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.07
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63
US Lecce xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 69% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
90%
Draw or US Lecce
31%
AC Milan or US Lecce
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14.1%
1 – 0
13.4%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
6.1%
4 – 0
4.9%
0 – 1
3.5%
4 – 1
3.3%
2 – 2
2.8%
1 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | US Lecce covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 21% | 55% |
| -1.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| -1 | 45% | 24% | 30% |
| -0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +0.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +1 | 91% | 7% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
53%
✓
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

