AC Milan vs US Lecce, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Luca Massimi
- Assistant 1 Giovanni Baccini
- Assistant 2 Daisuke Yoshikawa (Italy)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | US Lecce | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | ACF Fiorentina | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Mar | Hellas Verona FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | SK Slavia Praha | A | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Mar | Empoli FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | SK Slavia Praha | H | 4–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | AC Milan | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Apr | AS Roma | H | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Mar | US Salernitana 1919 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Mar | Hellas Verona FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Mar | Frosinone Calcio | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Feb | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 0–4 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | US Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #14 |
| 24 | Points | 10 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 7 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 7 |
| 23 | Scored | 12 |
| 13 | Conceded | 22 |
| +10 | GD | -10 |
| 2.18 | PPG | 0.91 |
| 64% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
18%
Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season
US Lecce this season
AC Milan are 4th (24 pts). US Lecce are 14th (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
US Lecce
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/8
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/5
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
US Lecce
| Lassana Coulibaly | 2 G | 2 A |
| Tiago Gabriel | 2 G | 1 A |
| Olaf Gorter | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. US Lecce get us underway at Giuseppe Meazza.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lameck Banda, as he is very good at scoring at Giuseppe Meazza with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 6' What a moment for Christian Pulisic! That strike on 6 puts his side firmly in control.
- 11' US Lecce is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 16' It looks like no one’s ball. US Lecce is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 20' A stunning finish from Olivier Giroud — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 30' Lorenzo Venuti is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for US Lecce tonight.
- 34' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alexis Blin on 34 minutes.
- 39' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 39 minutes.
- 44' Samuel Chukwueze, a Nigeria forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 45' Nikola Krstovic has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
- 46' Fresh legs for US Lecce! Pontus Almqvist comes on to replace Lameck Banda.
- 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 56' The travelling US Lecce supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 57' A goal from the Portugal international Rafael Leao! He fires home on 57 to make it 3-0!
- 61' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Matteo Gabbia is withdrawn and Simon Kjaer gets his opportunity.
- 62' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Olivier Giroud is replaced by Luka Jovic.
- 67' AC Milan has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 69' The US Lecce bench stirs into life. Lorenzo Venuti is withdrawn and Valentin Gendrey gets his opportunity.
- 74' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined US Lecce backline.
- 77' The crowd applauds Alexis Blin as he leaves the pitch. Medon Berisha steps in for US Lecce.
- 78' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Tijjani Reijnders by Ismael Bennacer on 78 minute.
- 78' AC Milan player sees a card in front of him.
- 83' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Filippo Terracciano comes on to replace Theo Hernandez.
- 85' The crowd applauds Patrick Dorgu as he leaves the pitch. Santiago Pierotti steps in for US Lecce.
- 90' US Lecce are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- AC Milan celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
-
9
Olivier Giroud ↓ Luka Jovic 62'
- 23
- 7
- 16
- 10
-
11
Christian Pulisic ↓ Yunus Musah 61'
- 19
- 21
- 2
-
46
Matteo Gabbia ↓ Simon Kjaer 61'
Bench
-
15
Luka Jovic ↑ 62'
-
24
Simon Kjaer ↑ 61'
- 42
- 57
-
4
Ismael Bennacer ↑ 78'
- 17
-
38
Filippo Terracciano ↑ 83'
-
80
Yunus Musah ↑ 61'
- 69
- 95
- 85
- 82
Coach
Stefano Pioli
US Lecce Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
29
Alexis Blin ↓ Medon Berisha 77'
- 25
- 5
- 9
- 12
-
22
Lameck Banda ↓ Pontus Almqvist 46'
- 30
- 20
- 6
-
16
Joan Gonzalez ↓ Roberto Piccoli 46'
- 13
Bench
- 10
- 11
- 21
-
91
Roberto Piccoli ↑ 46'
-
50
Santiago Pierotti ↑ 85'
-
17
Valentin Gendrey ↑ 69'
- 8
-
7
Pontus Almqvist ↑ 46'
- 59
- 40
-
18
Medon Berisha ↑ 77'
Coach
Luca Gotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Christian Pulisic | 5 |
| Rafael Leao | 5 |
| Davide Calabria | 2 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Samu Castillejo | 1 |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.75
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76
US Lecce xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 75% + Over 2.5 goals 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.51
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
91%
Draw or US Lecce
25%
AC Milan or US Lecce
84%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.4%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
7.6%
1 – 1
6.9%
4 – 0
6.8%
4 – 1
5.3%
0 – 0
4.2%
5 – 0
3.8%
2 – 2
3.2%
5 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | US Lecce covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -2 | 36% | 21% | 43% |
| -1.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| -1 | 57% | 20% | 23% |
| -0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +0.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +1 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.