AC Milan vs US Lecce, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Luca Massimi
- Assistant 1 Giovanni Baccini
- Assistant 2 Daisuke Yoshikawa (Italy)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | US Lecce | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | ACF Fiorentina | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Mar | Hellas Verona FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | SK Slavia Praha | A | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Mar | Empoli FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | SK Slavia Praha | H | 4–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | AC Milan | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Apr | AS Roma | H | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Mar | US Salernitana 1919 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Mar | Hellas Verona FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Mar | Frosinone Calcio | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Feb | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 0–4 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | US Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #12 |
| 11 | Points | 6 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 3 / 2 / 0 | W / D / L | 2 / 0 / 3 |
| 10 | Scored | 5 |
| 4 | Conceded | 10 |
| +6 | GD | -5 |
| 2.20 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 60% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
20%
Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season
US Lecce this season
AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). US Lecce are 12th (6 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
US Lecce
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/4
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/3
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Diego Moreira | 3 G | |
| Adrien Rabiot | 2 G | 2 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 G | |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 G | 1 A |
US Lecce
| Lassana Coulibaly | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tiago Gabriel | 2 G | |
| Olaf Gorter | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! AC Milan welcome US Lecce for this crunch clash at Giuseppe Meazza.
- 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AC Milan and US Lecce are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 6' The USA Christian Pulisic breaks the deadlock on 6 minutes. 1-0!
- 11' US Lecce fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 16' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' Assisted by Yacine Adli with the perfectly-timed delivery and Olivier Giroud makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 34' Alexis Blin was booked on 34.
- 39' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 44' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 45' It’s gonna be a card for Nikola Krstovic.
- 46' Fresh legs for US Lecce! Pontus Almqvist comes on to replace Lameck Banda.
- 51' US Lecce is showing some good football. However, US Lecce are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 56' Joan Gonzalez has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 57' Magnificent from Rafael Leao! That is 79 goals in 469 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 61' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Matteo Gabbia by Simon Kjaer on 61 minute.
- 62' Another change for AC Milan made on 62 minute. Olivier Giroud leaves to be changed by Luka Jovic.
- 67' Samuel Chukwueze has been relatively quiet despite scoring 33 goals in his last 411 appearances.
- 69' Valentin Gendrey is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lorenzo Venuti at the 69 minute mark.
- 74' It’s high time Stefano Pioli made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 77' Medon Berisha gets the nod from US Lecce. He replaces Alexis Blin and will look to change the dynamic.
- 78' AC Milan make a change. Tijjani Reijnders trudges off to be replaced by Ismael Bennacer on 78 minutes.
- 78' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Samuel Chukwueze gets a card.
- 83' Filippo Terracciano gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Theo Hernandez and will look to change the dynamic.
- 85' The US Lecce bench stirs into life. Patrick Dorgu is withdrawn and Santiago Pierotti gets his opportunity.
- 90' Italy international Wladimiro Falcone has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- AC Milan celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
-
9
Olivier Giroud ↓ Luka Jovic 62'
- 23
- 7
- 16
- 10
-
11
Christian Pulisic ↓ Yunus Musah 61'
- 19
- 21
- 2
-
46
Matteo Gabbia ↓ Simon Kjaer 61'
Bench
-
15
Luka Jovic ↑ 62'
-
24
Simon Kjaer ↑ 61'
- 42
- 57
-
4
Ismael Bennacer ↑ 78'
- 17
-
38
Filippo Terracciano ↑ 83'
-
80
Yunus Musah ↑ 61'
- 69
- 95
- 85
- 82
Coach
Stefano Pioli
US Lecce Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
29
Alexis Blin ↓ Medon Berisha 77'
- 25
- 5
- 9
- 12
-
22
Lameck Banda ↓ Pontus Almqvist 46'
- 30
- 20
- 6
-
16
Joan Gonzalez ↓ Roberto Piccoli 46'
- 13
Bench
- 10
- 11
- 21
-
91
Roberto Piccoli ↑ 46'
-
50
Santiago Pierotti ↑ 85'
-
17
Valentin Gendrey ↑ 69'
- 8
-
7
Pontus Almqvist ↑ 46'
- 59
- 40
-
18
Medon Berisha ↑ 77'
Coach
Luca Gotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 5 |
| Christian Pulisic | 5 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Davide Calabria | 2 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Krzysztof Piatek | 1 |
| Federico Baschirotto | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.79
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63
US Lecce xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 77% + Over 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.42
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
92%
Draw or US Lecce
23%
AC Milan or US Lecce
85%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.9%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
9.2%
4 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
7.2%
1 – 1
6.3%
4 – 1
5.1%
0 – 0
4.5%
5 – 0
4.5%
5 – 1
2.9%
2 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | US Lecce covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -2 | 39% | 22% | 39% |
| -1.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| -1 | 61% | 20% | 19% |
| -0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +0.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +1 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
| +2 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
54%
✓
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.