Wednesday , 22 July 2026

UD Almería vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sat 19 Aug 2023 · 17:30 UTC Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos 17,561 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sergio Arribas 3' 1–0
1–1 19' Jude Bellingham
1–2 60' Jude Bellingham
1–3 73' Vinicius Junior
Chumi 59' Y

Overview

Match Preview

UD Almería vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos.

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Jose Naranjo Perez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Juan Lopez Mir (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 2.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Real Madrid CF H 1–3 L
11 Aug Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 0–2 L
04 Jun RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 3–3 D
28 May Real Valladolid CF H 0–0 D
23 May Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 0–1 L
20 May RCD Mallorca H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug UD Almería A 3–1 W
12 Aug Athletic Club A 2–0 W
04 Jun Athletic Club H 1–1 D
27 May Sevilla FC A 2–1 W
24 May Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 2–1 W
21 May Valencia CF A 0–1 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between UD Almería and Real Madrid CF is underway.
  • 3' Sergio Arribas has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 3 minutes.
  • 8' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 13' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 18' UD Almería started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 18.
  • 19' Jude Bellingham does the damage! The net is bulging and Real Madrid CF surge ahead!
  • 24' The home supporters are growing impatient. UD Almería must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 29' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Vinicius Junior made 545 appearances and scored 118 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 34' UD Almería are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Real Madrid CF backline.
  • 39' Dani Carvajal, a Spain , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 44' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 49' The energy levels are beginning to show. Carlo Ancelotti might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 54' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 59' Chumi is having his name booked by the referee on 59.
  • 60' The deadlock is broken! Jude Bellingham gets on the scoresheet on 60 minutes.
  • 61' Another substitution for UD Almeria to replace Largie Ramazani by Ibrahima Kone on 61 minute.
  • 66' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His UD Almería side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 69' It is a substitution in UD Almeria team. Marc Pubill is replaced by Alejandro Pozo on 69 minute.
  • 70' A change in the UD Almeria ranks — Lucas Robertone exits the field as Gonzalo Melero enters on 70.
  • 72' Eduardo Camavinga is ready to make an impact after coming on for Toni Kroos at the 72 minute mark.
  • 73' GOAL! Vinicius Junior scores on 73. Assisted by Jude Bellingham
  • 78' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both UD Almería and Real Madrid CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 81' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Joselu comes on to replace Jude Bellingham.
  • 86' With 1 assists to his name this season, Rodrygo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Real Madrid CF.
  • 90' Federico Valverde makes way for Lucas Vazquez at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Real Madrid CF.
  • Real Madrid CF celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.16 UD Almería xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
UD Almería26% Draw26% Real Madrid CF48%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

UD Almería or Draw
52%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
74%
UD Almería or Real Madrid CF
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
UD Almería20% Draw45% Real Madrid CF35%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
8.9%
0 – 2
8.2%
0 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — UD Almería

Handicap UD Almería covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 15% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 22% 27%
+1.5 73% 27%
+2 73% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

UD Almería keeps clean sheet
19%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.