Thursday , 2 July 2026

UD Almeria vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Fri 11 Aug 2023 · 17:30 UTC Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos 14,837 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 20' Isi Palazon pen
0–2 28' Randy Ntekja pen

Overview

Match Preview

UD Almeria vs Rayo Vallecano de MadridLa Liga at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos.

Match Details

  • Referee Javier Alberola Rojas
  • Assistant 1 Alfredo Rodriguez Moreno (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Teodoro Sobrino Magan (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Aug Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 0–2 L
04 Jun RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 3–3 D
28 May Real Valladolid CF H 0–0 D
23 May Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 0–1 L
20 May RCD Mallorca H 3–0 W
13 May CA Osasuna A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Aug UD Almeria A 2–0 W
04 Jun RCD Mallorca A 0–3 L
28 May Villarreal CF H 2–1 W
24 May Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
21 May RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 1–2 L
15 May Real Betis Balompie A 1–3 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.25 UD Almeria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: UD Almeria or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
UD Almeria36% Draw30% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid34%
Actual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

UD Almeria or Draw
67%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
64%
UD Almeria or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
UD Almeria26% Draw50% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid24%
Actual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.1%
1 – 0
10%
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
2.9%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — UD Almeria

Handicap UD Almeria covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
32%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.