Athletic Club vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Athletic Club vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at San Mames.
- Athletic Club 38 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
- Real Madrid CF 38 games · 86 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Javier Martinez Nicolas (Spain)
8 games this season
🟨 0.9/game
⚽ 3.9 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 38 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid CF | 38 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal CF | 38 | 72 |
| 4 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 38 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis Balompie | 38 | 60 |
| 6 | RC Celta de Vigo | 38 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe CF | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 38 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia CF | 38 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Elche CF | 38 | 43 |
| 14 | Deportivo Alaves | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | Sevilla FC | 38 | 43 |
| 16 | CA Osasuna | 38 | 42 |
| 17 | RCD Mallorca | 38 | 42 |
| 18 | Levante UD | 38 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona FC | 38 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 29 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug | Real Madrid CF | H | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Jun | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 May | Elche CF | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 May | CA Osasuna | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 May | RC Celta de Vigo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 May | Villarreal CF | A | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug | Athletic Club | A | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Jun | Athletic Club | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 May | Sevilla FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 24 May | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 May | Valencia CF | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 May | Manchester City FC | A | 0–4 | L |
Season Stats
| Athletic Club | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #2 |
| 45 | Points | 86 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 13 / 6 / 19 | W / D / L | 27 / 5 / 6 |
| 43 | Scored | 77 |
| 58 | Conceded | 35 |
| -15 | GD | +42 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 2.26 |
| 34% | Win % | 71% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Athletic Club are 12th (45 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Athletic Club is hosting Real Madrid CF for another epic battle.
- 4' Muniain has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 4.
- 9' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 14' Andriy Lunin is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Athletic Club so far.
- 19' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 24' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 28' Brilliant from the ! Rodrygo makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 28.
- 33' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 36' A goal from the England international Jude Bellingham! He fires home on 36 to make it 0-2!
- 41' Athletic Club are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 46' Fresh legs for Athletic Club! Oihan Sancet comes on to replace Unai Gomez.
- 50' Antonio Rudiger has so much to prove this time. He replaces Eder Militao on 50 minute.
- 55' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 55 minutes.
- 60' Athletic Club is showing some good football. However, Athletic Club are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 64' A tactical swap from Athletic Club — Ander Herrera on, Mikel Vesga off on 64 minutes.
- 67' A meaty challenge results in booking for Daniel Vivian on 67.
- 71' The supporters are chanting for Toni Kroos. He replaces Eduardo Camavinga on 71 minute.
- 76' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for David Alaba on 76 minutes.
- 80' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Luka Modric comes on to replace Vinicius Junior.
- 85' It looks like no one’s ball. Athletic Club is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 87' Athletic Club player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- Game over. The scoreline of 0-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Athletic Club Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
6
Mikel Vesga ↓ Ander Herrera 64'
- 16
- 1
- 15
- 18
- 3
-
10
Muniain ↓ Gorka Guruzeta 46'
- 9
- 4
-
11
Nico Williams ↓ Alex Berenguer 46'
-
30
Unai Gomez ↓ Oihan Sancet 46'
Bench
-
21
Ander Herrera ↑ 64'
- 22
- 23
- 20
-
12
Gorka Guruzeta ↑ 46'
-
7
Alex Berenguer ↑ 46'
-
8
Oihan Sancet ↑ 46'
- 13
-
19
Imanol Garcia de Albeniz ↑ 71'
- 29
- 24
- 24
Coach
Ernesto Valverde
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-1-2-1-2Starting XI
- 18
- 4
- 13
- 15
-
7
Vinicius Junior ↓ Luka Modric 80'
- 2
-
3
Eder Militao ↓ Antonio Rudiger 50'
- 11
-
12
Eduardo Camavinga ↓ Toni Kroos 71'
- 5
- 20
Bench
-
22
Antonio Rudiger ↑ 50'
- 21
-
14
Joselu ↑ 80'
- 16
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 80'
- 17
-
8
Toni Kroos ↑ 71'
- 6
- 31
- 30
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Karim Benzema | 10 |
| Rodrygo | 3 |
| Jude Bellingham | 3 |
| Toni Kroos | 2 |
| Nacho | 2 |
| Oihan Sancet | 2 |
| Gorka Guruzeta | 2 |
| Isco | 1 |
Head to Head
Athletic Club Form
Real Madrid CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.79
Athletic Club xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Real Madrid CF to win 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Athletic Club or Draw
44%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
81%
Athletic Club or Real Madrid CF
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Real Madrid CF win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
12.5%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 0
9%
0 – 3
7.2%
1 – 3
5.8%
1 – 0
4.7%
2 – 1
3.9%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 4
3.4%
1 – 4
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Athletic Club
| Handicap | Athletic Club covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -1.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -0.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| +0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +1 | 39% | 25% | 37% |
| +1.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +2 | 63% | 19% | 18% |
| +2.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
Clean Sheet
Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

