Athletic Club vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Athletic Club vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at San Mames.
- Athletic Club 6 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- Real Madrid CF 7 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Javier Martinez Nicolas (Spain)
5 games this season
🟨 5.6/game
⚽ 13.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Real Betis Balompié | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Madrid CF | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Sevilla FC | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Deportivo Alavés | 7 | 11 |
| 7 | RC Deportivo La Coruña | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | CA Osasuna | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | Villarreal CF | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 6 | 8 |
| 13 | Getafe CF | 7 | 8 |
| 14 | RC Celta de Vigo | 7 | 7 |
| 15 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 7 | 7 |
| 16 | Real Racing Club de Santander | 7 | 7 |
| 17 | Levante UD | 6 | 5 |
| 18 | Elche CF | 7 | 5 |
| 19 | Valencia CF | 7 | 4 |
| 20 | Málaga CF | 7 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug | Real Madrid CF | H | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Jun | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 May | Elche CF | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 May | CA Osasuna | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 May | RC Celta de Vigo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 May | Villarreal CF | A | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug | Athletic Club | A | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Jun | Athletic Club | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 May | Sevilla FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 24 May | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 May | Valencia CF | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 May | Manchester City FC | A | 0–4 | L |
Season Stats
| Athletic Club | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #4 |
| 8 | Points | 15 |
| 6 | Played | 7 |
| 2 / 2 / 2 | W / D / L | 5 / 0 / 2 |
| 7 | Scored | 18 |
| 6 | Conceded | 8 |
| +1 | GD | +10 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 2.14 |
| 33% | Win % | 71% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Athletic Club this season
Athletic Club this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Athletic Club are 12th (8 pts). Real Madrid CF are 4th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Athletic Club
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Athletic Club
| Roberto Navarro | 2 G |
| Aitor Paredes Casamichana | 1 G |
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 7 G | 2 A |
| Jude Bellingham | 3 G | 2 A |
| Carlos Espi | 2 G | |
| Vinicius Junior | 1 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Athletic Club host Real Madrid CF — let the battle begin!
- 4' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Muniain.
- 9' Real Madrid CF come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 14' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 19' Real Madrid CF fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 24' Both keepers have barely been tested. Athletic Club and Real Madrid CF are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 28' Rodrygo doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 33' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 36' What composure from Jude Bellingham! The England international strokes it home. 0-2.
- 41' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Athletic Club and Real Madrid CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 46' A tactical swap from Athletic Club — Oihan Sancet on, Unai Gomez off on 46 minutes.
- 50' Antonio Rudiger is ready to make an impact after coming on for Eder Militao at the 50 minute mark.
- 55' It looks surprising Real Madrid CF does not make any changes. Federico Valverde has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 60' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 64' Another substitution for Athletic Club to replace Mikel Vesga by Ander Herrera on 64 minute.
- 67' A meaty challenge results in booking for Daniel Vivian on 67.
- 71' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 71 minute. Eduardo Camavinga leaves to be changed by Toni Kroos.
- 76' Controversy at the stadium! David Alaba argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 80' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Vinicius Junior is replaced by Luka Modric.
- 85' A quiet spell here at San Mames. Athletic Club seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 87' Inaki Williams was booked on 87.
- The final score is 0-2.
Lineups
Athletic Club Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
6
Mikel Vesga ↓ Ander Herrera 64'
- 16
- 1
- 15
- 18
- 3
-
10
Muniain ↓ Gorka Guruzeta 46'
- 9
- 4
-
11
Nico Williams ↓ Alex Berenguer 46'
-
30
Unai Gomez ↓ Oihan Sancet 46'
Bench
-
21
Ander Herrera ↑ 64'
- 22
- 23
- 20
-
12
Gorka Guruzeta ↑ 46'
-
7
Alex Berenguer ↑ 46'
-
8
Oihan Sancet ↑ 46'
- 13
-
19
Imanol Garcia de Albeniz ↑ 71'
- 29
- 24
- 24
Coach
Ernesto Valverde
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-1-2-1-2Starting XI
- 18
- 4
- 13
- 15
-
7
Vinicius Junior ↓ Luka Modric 80'
- 2
-
3
Eder Militao ↓ Antonio Rudiger 50'
- 11
-
12
Eduardo Camavinga ↓ Toni Kroos 71'
- 5
- 20
Bench
-
22
Antonio Rudiger ↑ 50'
- 21
-
14
Joselu ↑ 80'
- 16
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 80'
- 17
-
8
Toni Kroos ↑ 71'
- 6
- 31
- 30
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Karim Benzema | 10 |
| Rodrygo | 3 |
| Jude Bellingham | 3 |
| Gorka Guruzeta | 2 |
| Toni Kroos | 2 |
| Nacho | 2 |
| Oihan Sancet | 2 |
| Muniain | 1 |
Head to Head
Athletic Club Form
Real Madrid CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.85
Athletic Club xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Athletic Club or Draw
50%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
78%
Athletic Club or Real Madrid CF
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Real Madrid CF win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.1%
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 0
11.1%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
9%
1 – 0
6.5%
0 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
4.8%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 2
3.9%
2 – 0
3.1%
0 – 4
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Athletic Club
| Handicap | Athletic Club covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 13% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 24% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.