Sunday , 16 August 2026

Athletic Club vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 12 Aug 2023 · 19:30 UTC San Mames 48,927 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 28' Rodrygo
0–2 36' Jude Bellingham

Overview

Match Preview

Athletic Club vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga at San Mames.

Match Details

  • Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Javier Martinez Nicolas (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Real Madrid CF H 0–2 L
04 Jun Real Madrid CF A 1–1 D
28 May Elche CF H 0–1 L
25 May CA Osasuna A 0–2 L
20 May RC Celta de Vigo H 2–1 W
13 May Villarreal CF A 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Athletic Club A 2–0 W
04 Jun Athletic Club H 1–1 D
27 May Sevilla FC A 2–1 W
24 May Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 2–1 W
21 May Valencia CF A 0–1 L
17 May Manchester City FC A 0–4 L

Season Stats

Athletic Club Real Madrid CF
#18 Position #10
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Athletic Club are 18th (0 pts). Real Madrid CF are 10th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.34 Athletic Club xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 89% + Under — clean sheet likely 82%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club18% Draw41% Real Madrid CF41%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes18% 0% No82%
Avg goals/match: 1.09
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 64%
36%
± 1.5 31%
69%
± 2.5 11%
89%
± 3.5 3%
97%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Athletic Club or Draw
59%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
82%
Athletic Club or Real Madrid CF
59%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Athletic Club7% Draw70% Real Madrid CF23%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
36.3%
0 – 1
23.6%
1 – 1
9.7%
1 – 0
9.6%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
3.7%
0 – 3
2.1%
2 – 0
1.6%
2 – 1
1.5%
1 – 3
1%
2 – 2
0.7%
0 – 4
0.4%

Asian Handicap — Athletic Club

Handicap Athletic Club covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 2% 98%
-1.5 2% 98%
-1 2% 11% 87%
-0.5 13% 87%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 27% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 10% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
48%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
71%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.