Thursday , 2 July 2026

UD Almeria vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2022-23
Sun 14 Aug 2022 · 20:00 UTC Estadio Mediterraneo HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

UD Almeria vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga at Estadio Mediterraneo.

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Martinez
  • Referee Javier Estrada
  • Referee Pablo Gonzalez
  • Referee Miguel Martinez
  • Referee Sergiu Claudiu Muresan (Spain)
  • Referee Julian Villasenor (Spain)

Head-to-Head

4
UD Almeria 4 games · Avg 4.5 goals Real Madrid CF

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Aug Real Madrid CF H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Aug UD Almeria A 2–1 W
28 May Liverpool FC A 1–0 W
20 May Real Betis Balompie H 0–0 D
15 May Cadiz CF A 1–1 D
12 May Levante UD H 6–0 W
08 May Club Atletico de Madrid A 0–1 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Estadio Mediterraneo as UD Almeria face off against Real Madrid CF in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' UD Almeria is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 6' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Largie Ramazani makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 11' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 16' UD Almeria have won 187 goals from 160 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 21' Real Madrid CF fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 26' Dani Ceballos has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 31' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 36' The home supporters are growing impatient. UD Almeria must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 40' The referee has no hesitation. Eduardo Camavinga is booked for Real Madrid CF — Yellow card on 40.
  • 41' The referee has no hesitation. Eduardo Camavinga is booked for Real Madrid CF — Yellow card on 41.
  • 46' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 46 minute. Eduardo Camavinga leaves to be changed by Luka Modric.
  • 51' Real Madrid CF started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
  • 56' With 0 assists to his name this season, Nacho is clearly more than just a goal scorer for UD Almeria.
  • 57' A tactical swap from UD AlmeriaCurro Sanchez on, Lucas Robertone off on 57 minutes.
  • 58' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Aurelien Tchouameni is replaced by Eden Hazard.
  • 61' Lucas Vazquez has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 61 minutes.
  • 66' Over 66 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 67' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Curro Sanchez.
  • 71' The UD Almeria bench stirs into life. Umar Sadiq is withdrawn and Dyego Sousa gets his opportunity.
  • 74' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Ferland Mendy is replaced by David Alaba.
  • 75' Goal! David Alaba scores his 14 goal in 540 matches.
  • 80' It looks like no one’s ball. UD Almeria is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 81' A tactical swap from UD AlmeriaPortillo on, Inigo Eguaras off on 81 minutes.
  • 83' Dani Ceballos is ready to make an impact after coming on for Vinicius Junior at the 83 minute mark.
  • 86' A meaty challenge results in booking for Arnau Sola on 86.
  • 1-2 the final result. UD Almeria will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.12 UD Almeria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: UD Almeria or Real Madrid CF 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
UD Almeria29% Draw29% Real Madrid CF42%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

UD Almeria or Draw
59%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
71%
UD Almeria or Real Madrid CF
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
UD Almeria21% Draw48% Real Madrid CF31%
Actual: UD Almeria win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
10.1%
0 – 0
9.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.8%
1 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.2%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — UD Almeria

Handicap UD Almeria covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 17% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 22% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
25%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.