Thursday , 2 July 2026

UD Almeria vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sat 19 Aug 2023 · 17:30 UTC Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos 17,561 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sergio Arribas 3' 1–0
1–1 19' Jude Bellingham
1–2 60' Jude Bellingham
1–3 73' Vinicius Junior
Chumi 59' Y

Overview

Match Preview

UD Almeria vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos.

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Jose Naranjo Perez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Juan Lopez Mir (Spain)
9 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 3.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Real Madrid CF H 1–3 L
11 Aug Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 0–2 L
04 Jun RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 3–3 D
28 May Real Valladolid CF H 0–0 D
23 May Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 0–1 L
20 May RCD Mallorca H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug UD Almeria A 3–1 W
12 Aug Athletic Club A 2–0 W
04 Jun Athletic Club H 1–1 D
27 May Sevilla FC A 2–1 W
24 May Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 2–1 W
21 May Valencia CF A 0–1 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between UD Almeria and Real Madrid CF is underway.
  • 3' UD Almeria is taking the lead after the goal scored by Sergio Arribas on 3.
  • 8' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 13' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 18' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 19' What a strike from Jude Bellingham! The score is 1-1.
  • 24' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 24 minutes.
  • 29' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 34' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 39' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 44' Real Madrid CF is showing some good football. However, Real Madrid CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 49' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Chumi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 54' It looks surprising UD Almeria does not make any changes. Brahim Diaz has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 59' Chumi is having his name booked by the referee on 59.
  • 60' Real Madrid CF is taking the lead after the goal scored by Jude Bellingham on 60.
  • 61' Time for substitution for UD Almeria. Largie Ramazani is replaced by Ibrahima Kone.
  • 66' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 69' The whistle greets Marc Pubill as he departs to be replaced by Alejandro Pozo.
  • 70' The supporters are chanting for Gonzalo Melero. He replaces Lucas Robertone on 70 minute.
  • 72' The whistle greets Toni Kroos as he departs to be replaced by Eduardo Camavinga.
  • 73' GOAL! Vinicius Junior scores on 73. Assisted by Jude Bellingham
  • 78' Real Madrid CF started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 78.
  • 81' The whistle greets Jude Bellingham as he departs to be replaced by Joselu.
  • 86' It looks like no one’s ball. UD Almeria is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 90' Lucas Vazquez is replacing Federico Valverde for the Real Madrid CF side.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.16 UD Almeria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
UD Almeria26% Draw26% Real Madrid CF48%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

UD Almeria or Draw
52%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
74%
UD Almeria or Real Madrid CF
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
UD Almeria20% Draw45% Real Madrid CF35%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
8.9%
0 – 2
8.2%
0 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — UD Almeria

Handicap UD Almeria covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 15% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 22% 27%
+1.5 73% 27%
+2 73% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
19%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.