Thursday , 2 July 2026

Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2022-23
Sun 21 May 2023 · 16:30 UTC Estadio Mestalla HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga at Estadio Mestalla.

Match Details

  • Referee Ricardo de Burgos
  • Referee Roberto Diaz
  • Referee Ignacio Iglesias
  • Referee Jon Nunez
  • Referee Albert Avalos
  • Referee Juan Luis Pulido
5 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 4.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 May Real Madrid CF H 1–0 W
14 May RC Celta de Vigo A 2–1 W
03 May Villarreal CF H 1–1 D
30 Apr Cadiz CF A 1–2 L
27 Apr Real Valladolid CF H 2–1 W
23 Apr Elche CF A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 May Valencia CF A 0–1 L
17 May Manchester City FC A 0–4 L
13 May Getafe CF H 1–0 W
09 May Manchester City FC H 1–1 D
02 May Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 0–2 L
29 Apr UD Almeria H 4–2 W

Season Stats

Valencia CF Real Madrid CF
#9 Position #2
49 Points 86
38 Played 38
13 / 10 / 15 W / D / L 27 / 5 / 6
46 Scored 77
55 Conceded 35
-9 GD +42
1.29 PPG 2.26
34% Win % 71%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Valencia CF are 9th (49 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Valencia CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Valencia CF side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Carlo Ancelotti might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' Thierry Correia is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Valencia CF tonight.
  • 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Carlo Ancelotti will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 33' Diego Lopez Noguerol adds to his 0 season tally! Valencia CF lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 38' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 545 games and scored 775 goals.
  • 43' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 43 minutes.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Eduardo Camavinga is replaced by Rodrygo on 46 minute.
  • 51' Real Madrid CF are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 56' A quiet spell here at Estadio Mestalla. Real Madrid CF seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 57' Poor challenge from Justin Kluivert. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 58' Another change for Valencia CF made on 58 minute. Diego Lopez Noguerol leaves to be changed by Dimitri Foulquier.
  • 63' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 65' The supporters are chanting for Toni Kroos. He replaces Dani Ceballos on 65 minute.
  • 68' Toni Lato has so much to prove this time. He replaces Thierry Correia on 68 minute.
  • 69' The Valencia CF manager makes a substitution. Thierry Correia departs to be replaced by Toni Lato.
  • 70' Valencia CF receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 70.
  • 71' Eray Comert has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 71.
  • 76' Supporters expect more eagerness from Javier Guerra, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Mestalla with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 81' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 86' The referee shows Real Madrid CF player a Yellow card on 86.
  • 86' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CFFederico Valverde on, Aurelien Tchouameni off on 86 minutes.
  • 89' A moment of madness from Luka Modric on 89 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Real Madrid CF will be frustrated.
  • 90' Valencia CF ring the changes. Gaya has done his job and it is now time for Yunus Musah to step up.
  • 90' That is a Yellow card for Valencia CF. Giorgi Mamardashvili will be fuming at that decision.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Real Madrid CF.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.16 Valencia CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Valencia CF or Real Madrid CF 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Valencia CF35% Draw27% Real Madrid CF38%
Actual: Valencia CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Valencia CF or Draw
62%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
65%
Valencia CF or Real Madrid CF
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Valencia CF21% Draw47% Real Madrid CF32%
Actual: Valencia CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 0
8.7%
0 – 2
7.8%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Valencia CF

Handicap Valencia CF covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 16% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 22% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
22%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.