Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Estadio Mestalla.
- Valencia CF 38 games · 49 pts (2026/27)
- Real Madrid CF 38 games · 86 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ricardo de Burgos
- Referee Roberto Diaz
- Referee Ignacio Iglesias
- Referee Jon Nunez
- Referee Albert Avalos
- Referee Juan Luis Pulido
5 games this season
🟨 0.6/game
⚽ 4.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 38 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid CF | 38 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal CF | 38 | 72 |
| 4 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 38 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis Balompie | 38 | 60 |
| 6 | RC Celta de Vigo | 38 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe CF | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 38 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia CF | 38 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Elche CF | 38 | 43 |
| 14 | Deportivo Alaves | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | Sevilla FC | 38 | 43 |
| 16 | CA Osasuna | 38 | 42 |
| 17 | RCD Mallorca | 38 | 42 |
| 18 | Levante UD | 38 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona FC | 38 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 29 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May | Real Madrid CF | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 May | RC Celta de Vigo | A | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | Villarreal CF | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Apr | Cadiz CF | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Apr | Real Valladolid CF | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Apr | Elche CF | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May | Valencia CF | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 May | Manchester City FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 13 May | Getafe CF | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 May | Manchester City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 May | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | UD Almeria | H | 4–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Valencia CF | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #2 |
| 49 | Points | 86 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 13 / 10 / 15 | W / D / L | 27 / 5 / 6 |
| 46 | Scored | 77 |
| 55 | Conceded | 35 |
| -9 | GD | +42 |
| 1.29 | PPG | 2.26 |
| 34% | Win % | 71% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Valencia CF are 9th (49 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Valencia CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Valencia CF side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Carlo Ancelotti might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 25' Thierry Correia is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Valencia CF tonight.
- 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Carlo Ancelotti will be considering his options from the bench.
- 33' Diego Lopez Noguerol adds to his 0 season tally! Valencia CF lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 38' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 545 games and scored 775 goals.
- 43' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 43 minutes.
- 46' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Eduardo Camavinga is replaced by Rodrygo on 46 minute.
- 51' Real Madrid CF are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 56' A quiet spell here at Estadio Mestalla. Real Madrid CF seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 57' Poor challenge from Justin Kluivert. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 58' Another change for Valencia CF made on 58 minute. Diego Lopez Noguerol leaves to be changed by Dimitri Foulquier.
- 63' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 65' The supporters are chanting for Toni Kroos. He replaces Dani Ceballos on 65 minute.
- 68' Toni Lato has so much to prove this time. He replaces Thierry Correia on 68 minute.
- 69' The Valencia CF manager makes a substitution. Thierry Correia departs to be replaced by Toni Lato.
- 70' Valencia CF receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 70.
- 71' Eray Comert has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 71.
- 76' Supporters expect more eagerness from Javier Guerra, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Mestalla with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 81' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 86' The referee shows Real Madrid CF player a Yellow card on 86.
- 86' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CF — Federico Valverde on, Aurelien Tchouameni off on 86 minutes.
- 89' A moment of madness from Luka Modric on 89 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Real Madrid CF will be frustrated.
- 90' Valencia CF ring the changes. Gaya has done his job and it is now time for Yunus Musah to step up.
- 90' That is a Yellow card for Valencia CF. Giorgi Mamardashvili will be fuming at that decision.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Real Madrid CF.
Lineups
Valencia CF Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Edinson Cavani ↓ Samuel 58'
-
14
Gaya ↓ Yunus Musah 90'
-
9
Justin Kluivert ↓ Hugo Duro 90'
- 24
- 25
-
2
Thierry Correia ↓ Toni Lato 68'
- 18
- 15
- 40
- 17
- 36
Bench
- 23
-
3
Toni Lato ↑ 68'
-
20
Dimitri Foulquier ↑ 58'
-
19
Hugo Duro ↑ 90'
- 11
- 6
-
16
Samuel ↑ 58'
-
4
Yunus Musah ↑ 90'
- 21
- 33
- 29
- –
Coach
Ruben Baraja
Real Madrid CF Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
23
Ferland Mendy ↓ Dani Carvajal 86'
- 18
- 17
- 9
-
11
Marco Asensio ↓ Luka Modric 65'
-
19
Dani Ceballos ↓ Toni Kroos 65'
- 20
- 1
- 3
-
12
Eduardo Camavinga ↓ Rodrygo 46'
Bench
- 4
- 13
- 16
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 65'
- 5
-
8
Toni Kroos ↑ 65'
- 6
-
15
Federico Valverde ↑ 86'
-
2
Dani Carvajal ↑ 86'
-
21
Rodrygo ↑ 46'
- –
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vinicius Junior | 10 |
| Karim Benzema | 9 |
| Hugo Duro | 5 |
| Carlos Soler | 4 |
| Goncalo Guedes | 3 |
| Marco Asensio | 2 |
| Rodrygo | 2 |
| Antonio Rudiger | 1 |
Head to Head
Valencia CF Form
Real Madrid CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.16
Valencia CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Valencia CF or Real Madrid CF 73%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Valencia CF win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Valencia CF or Draw
62%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
65%
Valencia CF or Real Madrid CF
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Valencia CF win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 0
8.7%
0 – 2
7.8%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Valencia CF
| Handicap | Valencia CF covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 16% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 22% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
22%
✗
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

