Sunday , 16 August 2026

Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2022-23
Sun 21 May 2023 · 16:30 UTC Estadio Mestalla HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Valencia CF vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga at Estadio Mestalla.

Match Details

  • Referee Ricardo de Burgos
  • Referee Roberto Diaz
  • Referee Ignacio Iglesias
  • Referee Jon Nunez
  • Referee Albert Avalos
  • Referee Juan Luis Pulido
5 games this season 🟨 1.8/game 8.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 May Real Madrid CF H 1–0 W
14 May RC Celta de Vigo A 2–1 W
03 May Villarreal CF H 1–1 D
30 Apr Cadiz CF A 1–2 L
27 Apr Real Valladolid CF H 2–1 W
23 Apr Elche CF A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 May Valencia CF A 0–1 L
17 May Manchester City FC A 0–4 L
13 May Getafe CF H 1–0 W
09 May Manchester City FC H 1–1 D
02 May Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 0–2 L
29 Apr UD Almería H 4–2 W

Season Stats

Valencia CF Real Madrid CF
#15 Position #10
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Valencia CF are 15th (0 pts). Real Madrid CF are 10th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Estadio Mestalla will turn into a battlefield for Valencia CF and Real Madrid CF.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Antonio Rudiger made 409 appearances and scored 18 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Valencia CF is showing some good football. However, Valencia CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' It looks surprising Valencia CF does not make any changes. Vinicius Junior has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' Valencia CF currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Valencia CF and Real Madrid CF are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Rodrygo suffering a number of foals already.
  • 33' What a strike from Diego Lopez Noguerol! The score is 1-0.
  • 38' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Valencia CF that had 422 games and scored 398 goals.
  • 43' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Valencia CF and Real Madrid CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CFRodrygo on, Eduardo Camavinga off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 56' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Valencia CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 57' The referee shows Valencia CF player a Yellow card on 57.
  • 58' Valencia CF make a change. Diego Lopez Noguerol trudges off to be replaced by Dimitri Foulquier on 58 minutes.
  • 63' Real Madrid CF come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 65' The supporters are chanting for Toni Kroos. He replaces Dani Ceballos on 65 minute.
  • 68' Toni Lato is ready to make an impact after coming on for Thierry Correia at the 68 minute mark.
  • 69' A tactical swap from Valencia CFToni Lato on, Thierry Correia off on 69 minutes.
  • 70' Eray Comert was booked on 70.
  • 71' It’s a booking for Valencia CF player. Eray Comert gets a Yellow card.
  • 76' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 81' Valencia CF are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 86' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Rodrygo.
  • 86' The crowd applauds Aurelien Tchouameni as he leaves the pitch. Federico Valverde steps in for Real Madrid CF.
  • 89' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Luka Modric.
  • 90' Another change for Valencia CF made on 90 minute. Gaya leaves to be changed by Yunus Musah.
  • 90' The referee shows Valencia CF player a Yellow card on 90.
  • It finishes all square. Valencia CF and Real Madrid CF share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.69 Valencia CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.49 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 88% + Under — clean sheet likely 79%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Valencia CF39% Draw40% Real Madrid CF21%
Actual: Valencia CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes21% 0% No79%
Avg goals/match: 1.18
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 66%
34%
± 1.5 34%
66%
± 2.5 12%
88%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Valencia CF or Draw
78%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
61%
Valencia CF or Real Madrid CF
60%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Valencia CF19% Draw69% Real Madrid CF12%
Actual: Valencia CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
33.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
13.3%
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
3.2%
1 – 2
2.6%
3 – 0
1.5%
2 – 2
1.1%
3 – 1
0.9%
0 – 3
0.5%

Asian Handicap — Valencia CF

Handicap Valencia CF covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 8% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 24% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 16% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
61%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
51%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.