Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2022-23
Wed 24 May 2023 · 17:30 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de MadridLa Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Javier Estrada
  • Referee Javier Alberola Rojas
  • Referee Jesus Gil
  • Referee Angel Nevado
  • Referee Javier Martinez
  • Referee Pablo Morales
  • Referee Javier Iglesias

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 May Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 2–1 W
21 May Valencia CF A 0–1 L
17 May Manchester City FC A 0–4 L
13 May Getafe CF H 1–0 W
09 May Manchester City FC H 1–1 D
02 May Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 May Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
21 May RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 1–2 L
15 May Real Betis Balompie A 1–3 L
04 May Real Valladolid CF H 2–1 W
29 Apr Elche CF A 0–4 L
26 Apr FC Barcelona H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#2 Position #8
86 Points 50
38 Played 38
27 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 12 / 14 / 12
77 Scored 41
35 Conceded 44
+42 GD -3
2.26 PPG 1.32
71% Win % 32%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.96 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF61% Draw23% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid16%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
84%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
39%
Real Madrid CF or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF44% Draw43% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid13%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.6%
1 – 0
11.4%
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
7.9%
3 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
6.2%
0 – 1
4.3%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.9%
4 – 0
3.7%
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 19% 61%
-1.5 39% 61%
-1 39% 24% 37%
-0.5 63% 37%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
44%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.