TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
- FC Bayern München 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Welz
- Referee Sascha Thielert
- Referee Lasse Koslowski
- Referee Sven Jablonski
- Referee Max Burda
- Referee Holger Henschel
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | FC Bayern München | H | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | FC Schalke 04 | H | 5–1 | W |
| 14 Oct | FC Schalke 04 | A | 3–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | SV Werder Bremen | H | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Oct | Hertha BSC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Sep | SC Freiburg | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | FC Augsburg | A | 5–2 | W |
| 16 Oct | SC Freiburg | H | 5–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | FC Viktoria Plzen | A | 4–2 | W |
| 08 Oct | Borussia Dortmund | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Oct | FC Viktoria Plzen | H | 5–0 | W |
Season Stats
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #2 |
| 3 | Points | 10 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 1 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 0 |
| 7 | Scored | 14 |
| 10 | Conceded | 2 |
| -3 | GD | +12 |
| 0.75 | PPG | 2.50 |
| 25% | Win % | 75% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
50%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 14th (3 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/4
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
| Adam Daghim | 2 G | 2 A |
| Adam Hlozek | 2 G | |
| Ozan Kabak | 1 G | |
| Tim Lemperle | 1 G | |
| Leon Avdullahu | 1 G |
FC Bayern München
| Michael Olise | 4 G | 1 A |
| Harry Kane | 3 G | |
| Aleksandar Pavlovic | 1 G | 1 A |
| Dayot Upamecano | 1 G | |
| Luis Diaz | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to score. At the same time, FC Bayern München does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' The travelling FC Bayern München supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' Leon Goretzka has been relatively quiet despite scoring 51 goals in his last 542 appearances.
- 18' Jamal Musiala does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Bayern Munchen surge ahead!
- 23' Matthijs de Ligt needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 28' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 33' Christoph Baumgartner has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 33.
- 34' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Christoph Baumgartner.
- 38' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Maxim Choupo-Moting makes it 0-2.
- 43' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 48' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 51' Dayot Upamecano has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 51.
- 56' A quiet spell here at PreZero Arena. FC Bayern München seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 61' Another substitution for FC Bayern Munchen to replace Kingsley Coman by Sadio Mane on 61 minute.
- 61' Poor challenge from Joshua Kimmich. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 62' It is a substitution in TSG 1899 Hoffenheim team. Robert Skov is replaced by Pavel Kaderabek on 62 minute.
- 67' Alphonso Davies has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 17 cards already picked up this season.
- 68' Grischa Promel is having his name booked by the referee on 68.
- 70' Mathys Tel has so much to prove this time. He replaces Maxim Choupo-Moting on 70 minute.
- 75' It’s high time Julian Nagelsmann made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 76' Fresh legs for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim! Tom Bischof comes on to replace Munas Dabbur.
- 77' A tactical swap from FC Bayern Munchen — Ryan Gravenberch on, Jamal Musiala off on 77 minutes.
- 81' The referee calls foul for Ozan Kabak. He receives a Yellow card.
- 85' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ring the changes. Grischa Promel has done his job and it is now time for Angelo Stiller to step up.
- 90' Supporters expect more eagerness from Oliver Baumann, as he is very good at scoring at PreZero Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- FC Bayern München celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 34
- 33
- 25
- 1
-
8
Dennis Geiger ↓ Sebastian Rudy 85'
- 14
-
6
Grischa Promel ↓ Angelo Stiller 85'
- 5
-
10
Munas Dabbur ↓ Tom Bischof 76'
-
29
Robert Skov ↓ Pavel Kaderabek 62'
Bench
- 7
-
3
Pavel Kaderabek ↑ 62'
-
27
Andrej Kramaric ↑ 62'
-
16
Sebastian Rudy ↑ 85'
- 12
- 26
-
13
Angelo Stiller ↑ 85'
-
39
Tom Bischof ↑ 76'
- 20
Coach
Andre Breitenreiter
FC Bayern München Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 13
- 7
- 26
- 6
-
11
Kingsley Coman ↓ Sadio Mane 61'
-
8
Leon Goretzka ↓ Marcel Sabitzer 70'
- 5
- 2
- 19
- 42
Bench
-
17
Sadio Mane ↑ 61'
-
40
Noussair Mazraoui ↑ 77'
-
38
Ryan Gravenberch ↑ 77'
-
18
Marcel Sabitzer ↑ 70'
- 44
-
39
Mathys Tel ↑ 70'
- 35
- 46
Coach
Julian Nagelsmann
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andrej Kramaric | 7 |
| Serge Gnabry | 6 |
| Robert Lewandowski | 6 |
| Leon Goretzka | 3 |
| Jamal Musiala | 3 |
| Joshua Kimmich | 3 |
| Harry Kane | 3 |
| Leroy Sane | 2 |
Head to Head
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2022-10-22
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0–2
FC Bayern München
L
2022-10-18
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
5–1
FC Schalke 04
W
2022-10-14
FC Schalke 04
0–3
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2022-10-07
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–2
SV Werder Bremen
L
2022-10-02
Hertha BSC
1–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2022-09-18
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0–0
SC Freiburg
D
FC Bayern München Form
2022-10-22
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0–2
FC Bayern München
W
2022-10-19
FC Augsburg
2–5
FC Bayern München
W
2022-10-16
FC Bayern München
5–0
SC Freiburg
W
2022-10-12
FC Viktoria Plzen
2–4
FC Bayern München
W
2022-10-08
Borussia Dortmund
2–2
FC Bayern München
D
2022-10-04
FC Bayern München
5–0
FC Viktoria Plzen
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.99
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.43
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 80% + FC Bayern München to win 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.42
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 3.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 4.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
Double Chance
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
30%
Draw or FC Bayern München
86%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or FC Bayern München
84%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 3
8.2%
1 – 3
7.9%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
7.1%
0 – 4
6.9%
1 – 4
6.7%
1 – 1
4.8%
0 – 5
4.7%
1 – 5
4.7%
0 – 1
4.3%
2 – 3
3.9%
2 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
| Handicap | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 2% | 98% |
| -1.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -1 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -0.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| +0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +1 | 19% | 17% | 65% |
| +1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +2 | 35% | 20% | 45% |
| +2.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
Clean Sheet
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
4%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

