Tuesday , 21 July 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Köln, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Fri 3 Oct 2025 · 18:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FC KölnBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
16 games this season 🟨 2.7/game 10.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct 1. FC Köln H 0–1 L
28 Sep SC Freiburg A 1–1 D
20 Sep FC Bayern München H 1–4 L
13 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin A 4–2 W
30 Aug Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–3 L
23 Aug Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–0 W
28 Sep VfB Stuttgart H 1–2 L
20 Sep RB Leipzig A 1–3 L
13 Sep VfL Wolfsburg A 3–3 D
31 Aug SC Freiburg H 4–1 W
24 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1. FC Köln
#5 Position #14
61 Points 32
34 Played 34
18 / 7 / 9 W / D / L 7 / 11 / 16
65 Scored 49
52 Conceded 63
+13 GD -14
1.79 PPG 0.94
53% Win % 21%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). 1. FC Köln are 14th (32 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim launch into their encounter with 1. FC Koln.
  • The final score is 0-1.

Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

1. FC Köln Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.82 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56 1. FC Köln xG
I would bet for: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FC Köln 74% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim40% Draw26% 1. FC Köln34%
Actual: 1. FC Köln win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
67%
Draw or 1. FC Köln
60%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FC Köln
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim33% Draw41% 1. FC Köln26%
Actual: 1. FC Köln win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 0
4.9%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
4%
1 – 3
3.8%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push 1. FC Köln covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 13% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 19% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 16% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
22%
1. FC Köln keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.