Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Freiburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 28 Sep 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs TSG 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
16 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 4.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D
24 Sep FC Basel 1893 H 2–1 W
20 Sep SV Werder Bremen A 3–0 W
13 Sep VfB Stuttgart H 3–1 W
31 Aug 1. FC Koln A 1–4 L
23 Aug FC Augsburg H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep SC Freiburg A 1–1 D
20 Sep FC Bayern München H 1–4 L
13 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin A 4–2 W
30 Aug Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–3 L
23 Aug Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–1 W
16 Aug FC Hansa Rostock A 4–0 W

Season Stats

SC Freiburg TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#7 Position #5
47 Points 61
34 Played 34
13 / 8 / 13 W / D / L 18 / 7 / 9
51 Scored 65
57 Conceded 52
-6 GD +13
1.38 PPG 1.79
38% Win % 53%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
/3
16-30
4/
31-45
/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim kicks off things out of here…
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.67 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: SC Freiburg or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 76% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg39% Draw24% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.51
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
64%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
61%
SC Freiburg or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg27% Draw41% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7.4%
2 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
5%
0 – 1
4.9%
0 – 0
4.4%
1 – 0
4.4%
2 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
4.1%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 10% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 17% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 19% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
17%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.