Thursday , 2 July 2026

Leeds United FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Elland Road 35,574 HT 45' · FT 45'
Brenden Aaronson 1' 1–0
1–1 64' Harry Darling
Wilfried Gnonto 86' 2–1
2–2 90+6' Zan Vipotnik

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs Swansea City AFCChampionship at Elland Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Toner
  • Assistant 1 Richard Woodward
  • Assistant 2 Graham Kane

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Swansea City AFC H 2–2 D
15 Mar Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–2 D
12 Mar Millwall FC H 2–0 W
09 Mar Portsmouth FC A 0–1 L
01 Mar West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
24 Feb Sheffield United FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Leeds United FC A 2–2 D
15 Mar Burnley FC H 0–2 L
12 Mar Watford FC A 0–1 L
08 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
04 Mar Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
22 Feb Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Elland Road will turn into a battlefield for Leeds United FC and Swansea City AFC.
  • 1' Leeds United FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Brenden Aaronson on 1.
  • 6' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joe Rothwell suffering a number of foals already.
  • 11' The travelling Swansea City AFC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 16' It looks surprising Leeds United FC does not make any changes. Harry Darling has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 21' Supporters expect more eagerness from Josh Tymon, as he is very good at scoring at Elland Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 26' It looks like no one’s ball. Swansea City AFC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 31' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Swansea City AFC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 34' The referee shows Leeds United FC player a card on 34.
  • 39' A meaty challenge results in booking for Hannes Delcroix on 39.
  • 44' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lewis O'Brien made 114 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 49' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 54' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 58' Time for substitution for Leeds United FC. Ethan Ampadu is replaced by Ao Tanaka.
  • 63' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 64' Goal! Harry Darling scores his 21 goal in 191 matches.
  • 69' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 70' It’s a booking for Swansea City AFC player. Goncalo Franco gets a card.
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for Junior Firpo. He replaces Sam Byram on 72 minute.
  • 73' It is a substitution in Leeds United FC team. Brenden Aaronson is replaced by Mateo Fernandez on 73 minute.
  • 74' The whistle greets Hannes Delcroix as he departs to be replaced by Ji-sung Eom.
  • 79' Swansea City AFC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 83' Lewis O'Brien is having his name booked by the referee on 83.
  • 83' Another change for Swansea City AFC made on 83 minute. Goncalo Franco leaves to be changed by Joe Allen.
  • 85' It is a substitution in Leeds United FC team. Daniel James is replaced by Wilfried Gnonto on 85 minute.
  • 86' Goal! Wilfried Gnonto scores his 18 goal in 358 matches.
  • 87' Wilfried Gnonto was booked on 87.
  • 89' The supporters are chanting for Zan Vipotnik. He replaces Ronald on 89 minute.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ao Tanaka on 90.
  • The final score is 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.68 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC52% Draw25% Swansea City AFC23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
48%
Leeds United FC or Swansea City AFC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC36% Draw46% Swansea City AFC18%
Actual: Leeds United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.