Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Liberty Stadium.
- Swansea City AFC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Apr | Reading FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Apr | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Apr | Wycombe Wanderers FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Apr | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Apr | Millwall FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May | Swansea City AFC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Apr | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Apr | Preston North End FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Apr | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Apr | Norwich City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Apr | Reading FC | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Swansea City AFC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #8 |
| 64 | Points | 69 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 18 / 10 / 18 | W / D / L | 20 / 9 / 17 |
| 57 | Scored | 67 |
| 59 | Conceded | 59 |
| -2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.39 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 39% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Liberty Stadium that hosts another battle between Swansea City AFC and Derby County FC.
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Steve Cooper will be considering his options from the bench.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Liberty Stadium. Swansea City AFC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 26' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Nathan Byrne on 26 minutes.
- 31' Swansea City AFC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
- 36' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 41' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 46' Tom Lawrence is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Derby County FC tonight.
- 48' Derby County FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Tom Lawrence on 48.
- 53' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Swansea City AFC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 58' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 62' The referee calls foul for Morgan Whittaker. He receives a Yellow card.
- 63' What a moment for Morgan Whittaker! That strike on 63 puts his side firmly in control.
- 65' Fresh legs for Swansea City AFC! Ryan Manning comes on to replace Jake Bidwell.
- 66' Assisted by Benjamin Cabango with the perfectly-timed delivery and Connor Roberts makes no mistake. 2-1!
- 67' The referee shows Swansea City AFC player a Yellow card on 67.
- 70' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Kamil Jozwiak exits the field as Patrick Roberts enters on 70.
- 75' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 80' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Martyn Waghorn departs to be replaced by Louie Sibley.
- 85' It’s high time Steve Cooper made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 86' A tactical swap from Swansea City AFC — Jay Fulton on, Yan Dhanda off on 86 minutes.
- 90' The Swansea City AFC manager makes a substitution. Jamal Lowe departs to be replaced by Brandon Cooper.
- It finishes all square. Swansea City AFC and Derby County FC share the spoils 2-1.
Lineups
Swansea City AFC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Jamal Lowe ↓ Brandon Cooper 90'
- 7
- 8
- 23
-
21
Yan Dhanda ↓ Jay Fulton 86'
- 20
-
24
Jake Bidwell ↓ Ryan Manning 65'
- 2
- 44
- 1
- 17
Bench
- 18
-
6
Jay Fulton ↑ 86'
- 26
- 15
-
36
Brandon Cooper ↑ 90'
- 14
-
3
Ryan Manning ↑ 65'
- 22
-
31
Oliver Cooper ↑ 65'
Coach
Steve Cooper
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 21
- 3
- 10
-
9
Martyn Waghorn ↓ Louie Sibley 80'
- 12
- 6
- 4
- 13
-
7
Kamil Jozwiak ↓ Patrick Roberts 70'
- 38
Bench
- 8
- 1
-
23
Patrick Roberts ↑ 70'
- 26
-
17
Louie Sibley ↑ 80'
- 37
- 40
- 29
- 22
Coach
Wayne Rooney
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Lawrence | 4 |
| Harry Wilson | 2 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Kyle Naughton | 1 |
| Yan Dhanda | 1 |
| Colin Kazim-Richards | 1 |
| Kamil Jozwiak | 1 |
| Fikayo Tomori | 1 |
Head to Head
Swansea City AFC Form
2021-05-01
Swansea City AFC
2–1
Derby County FC
W
2021-04-25
Reading FC
2–2
Swansea City AFC
D
2021-04-20
Swansea City AFC
0–1
Queens Park Rangers FC
L
2021-04-17
Swansea City AFC
2–2
Wycombe Wanderers FC
D
2021-04-13
Sheffield Wednesday FC
0–2
Swansea City AFC
W
2021-04-10
Millwall FC
0–3
Swansea City AFC
W
Derby County FC Form
2021-05-01
Swansea City AFC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2021-04-24
Derby County FC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
L
2021-04-20
Preston North End FC
3–0
Derby County FC
L
2021-04-16
Blackburn Rovers FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2021-04-10
Derby County FC
0–1
Norwich City FC
L
2021-04-05
Reading FC
3–1
Derby County FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.51
Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Swansea City AFC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Swansea City AFC or Draw
72%
Draw or Derby County FC
53%
Swansea City AFC or Derby County FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 2
7.3%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC
| Handicap | Swansea City AFC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 20% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 17% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.