Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Liberty Stadium.
- Swansea City AFC 8 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Apr | Reading FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Apr | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Apr | Wycombe Wanderers FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Apr | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Apr | Millwall FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May | Swansea City AFC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Apr | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Apr | Preston North End FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Apr | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Apr | Norwich City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Apr | Reading FC | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Swansea City AFC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #22 |
| 17 | Points | 5 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 2 / 1 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 5 |
| 13 | Scored | 7 |
| 6 | Conceded | 14 |
| +7 | GD | -7 |
| 2.13 | PPG | 0.63 |
| 63% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
Swansea City AFC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Swansea City AFC are 1st (17 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Swansea City AFC
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Swansea City AFC
| Adam Idah | 3 G | 1 A |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 G | 2 A |
| Joseph Opoku | 2 G |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Liberty Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Swansea City AFC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
- 20' Jamal Lowe needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for George Edmundson suffering a number of foals already.
- 26' Nathan Byrne catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 26.
- 31' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 36' Over 36 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 41' The energy levels are beginning to show. Wayne Rooney might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 46' Swansea City AFC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
- 48' Tom Lawrence puts Derby County FC on the lead.
- 53' The home supporters are growing impatient. Swansea City AFC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 58' Turkey international Colin Kazim-Richards has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 62' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Morgan Whittaker on 62 minutes.
- 63' Morgan Whittaker doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 65' It is a substitution in Swansea City AFC team. Jake Bidwell is replaced by Ryan Manning on 65 minute.
- 66' GOAL! Connor Roberts scores on 66. Assisted by Benjamin Cabango
- 67' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jamal Lowe on 67.
- 70' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Patrick Roberts comes on to replace Kamil Jozwiak.
- 75' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 80' Derby County FC make a change. Martyn Waghorn trudges off to be replaced by Louie Sibley on 80 minutes.
- 85' It’s high time Steve Cooper made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 86' Yan Dhanda makes way for Jay Fulton at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from Swansea City AFC.
- 90' The Swansea City AFC bench stirs into life. Jamal Lowe is withdrawn and Brandon Cooper gets his opportunity.
- With this win, Swansea City AFC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Swansea City AFC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Jamal Lowe ↓ Brandon Cooper 90'
- 7
- 8
- 23
-
21
Yan Dhanda ↓ Jay Fulton 86'
- 20
-
24
Jake Bidwell ↓ Ryan Manning 65'
- 2
- 44
- 1
- 17
Bench
- 18
-
6
Jay Fulton ↑ 86'
- 26
- 15
-
36
Brandon Cooper ↑ 90'
- 14
-
3
Ryan Manning ↑ 65'
- 22
-
31
Oliver Cooper ↑ 65'
Coach
Steve Cooper
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 21
- 3
- 10
-
9
Martyn Waghorn ↓ Louie Sibley 80'
- 12
- 6
- 4
- 13
-
7
Kamil Jozwiak ↓ Patrick Roberts 70'
- 38
Bench
- 8
- 1
-
23
Patrick Roberts ↑ 70'
- 26
-
17
Louie Sibley ↑ 80'
- 37
- 40
- 29
- 22
Coach
Wayne Rooney
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Lawrence | 4 |
| Harry Wilson | 2 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Ronald | 2 |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 |
| Connor Roberts | 1 |
| Morgan Whittaker | 1 |
| Richard Keogh | 1 |
Head to Head
Swansea City AFC Form
2021-05-01
Swansea City AFC
2–1
Derby County FC
W
2021-04-25
Reading FC
2–2
Swansea City AFC
D
2021-04-20
Swansea City AFC
0–1
Queens Park Rangers FC
L
2021-04-17
Swansea City AFC
2–2
Wycombe Wanderers FC
D
2021-04-13
Sheffield Wednesday FC
0–2
Swansea City AFC
W
2021-04-10
Millwall FC
0–3
Swansea City AFC
W
Derby County FC Form
2021-05-01
Swansea City AFC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2021-04-24
Derby County FC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
L
2021-04-20
Preston North End FC
3–0
Derby County FC
L
2021-04-16
Blackburn Rovers FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2021-04-10
Derby County FC
0–1
Norwich City FC
L
2021-04-05
Reading FC
3–1
Derby County FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.93
Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Swansea City AFC to win 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Swansea City AFC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Swansea City AFC or Draw
84%
Draw or Derby County FC
39%
Swansea City AFC or Derby County FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.7%
1 – 0
11.7%
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.2%
3 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
6.1%
0 – 1
4.4%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.9%
4 – 0
3.6%
4 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC
| Handicap | Swansea City AFC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 19% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 24% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
45%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

