Thursday , 2 July 2026

Swansea City AFC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Swansea.com Stadium 13,679 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 4' Josh Brownhill
0–2 22' Jaidon Anthony
Jay Fulton 74' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Swansea City AFC vs Burnley FCChampionship at Swansea.com Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Oliver Langford
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Hristo Karaivanov

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Burnley FC H 0–2 L
12 Mar Watford FC A 0–1 L
08 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
04 Mar Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
22 Feb Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–0 W
15 Feb Stoke City FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Swansea City AFC A 2–0 W
11 Mar West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
08 Mar Luton Town FC H 4–0 W
04 Mar Cardiff City FC A 2–1 W
01 Mar Preston North End FC A 0–3 L
21 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC H 4–0 W

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Swansea City AFC to score. At the same time, Burnley FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 4' Goal! Josh Brownhill scores his 45 goal in 387 matches.
  • 9' Supporters expect more eagerness from Cyrus Christie, as he is very good at scoring at Swansea.com Stadium with 4 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 14' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lawrence Vigouroux suffering a number of foals already.
  • 19' Ji-sung Eom has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 22' Goal! Jaidon Anthony scores his 23 goal in 335 matches.
  • 27' It looks surprising Burnley FC does not make any changes. Ronald has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 32' James Trafford needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 37' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 42' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burnley FC that had 342 games and scored 404 goals.
  • 47' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 47 minutes.
  • 52' It looks like no one’s ball. Burnley FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 57' Another change for Swansea City AFC made on 57 minute. Goncalo Franco leaves to be changed by Jay Fulton.
  • 62' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 67' Swansea City AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 67.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Hannibal Mejbri. He replaces Marcus Edwards on 69 minute.
  • 70' Lyle Foster has so much to prove this time. He replaces Zian Flemming on 70 minute.
  • 73' Another substitution for Swansea City AFC to replace Lewis O'Brien by Joe Allen on 73 minute.
  • 74' It’s a booking for Swansea City AFC player. Jay Fulton gets a card.
  • 77' Cyrus Christie has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kyle Naughton on 77 minute.
  • 82' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 87' The travelling Burnley FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 89' It is a substitution in Burnley FC team. Jaidon Anthony is replaced by Ashley Barnes on 89 minute.
  • Full Time. Burnley FC beats Swansea City AFC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.03 Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Swansea City AFC28% Draw29% Burnley FC43%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Swansea City AFC or Draw
57%
Draw or Burnley FC
72%
Swansea City AFC or Burnley FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Swansea City AFC20% Draw50% Burnley FC30%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3.9%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC

Handicap Swansea City AFC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 17% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 22% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
27%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.