Thursday , 2 July 2026

Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2021-22
Sat 9 Apr 2022 · 14:00 UTC Swansea.com Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Apr Derby County FC H 2–1 W
05 Apr Millwall FC A 1–0 W
02 Apr Cardiff City FC A 4–0 W
19 Mar Birmingham City FC H 0–0 D
16 Mar Peterborough United FC A 3–2 W
12 Mar Blackpool FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Apr Swansea City AFC A 1–2 L
02 Apr Preston North End FC H 1–0 W
19 Mar Coventry City FC H 1–1 D
15 Mar Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–3 L
12 Mar AFC Bournemouth A 0–2 L
05 Mar Barnsley FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Swansea City AFC Derby County FC
#11 Position #8
64 Points 69
46 Played 46
18 / 10 / 18 W / D / L 20 / 9 / 17
57 Scored 67
59 Conceded 59
-2 GD +8
1.39 PPG 1.50
39% Win % 43%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.5 Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Swansea City AFC48% Draw26% Derby County FC26%
Actual: Swansea City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Swansea City AFC or Draw
74%
Draw or Derby County FC
52%
Swansea City AFC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Swansea City AFC31% Draw47% Derby County FC22%
Actual: Swansea City AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.7%
2 – 0
7.5%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC

Handicap Swansea City AFC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
31%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.