Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Swansea.com Stadium.
- Swansea City AFC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | Millwall FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Apr | Cardiff City FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | Birmingham City FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Mar | Peterborough United FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Mar | Blackpool FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr | Swansea City AFC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Apr | Preston North End FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | Coventry City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Mar | AFC Bournemouth | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Mar | Barnsley FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Swansea City AFC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #8 |
| 64 | Points | 69 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 18 / 10 / 18 | W / D / L | 20 / 9 / 17 |
| 57 | Scored | 67 |
| 59 | Conceded | 59 |
| -2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.39 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 39% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Swansea.com Stadium that hosts another battle between Swansea City AFC and Derby County FC.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 8' Joel Piroe doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 13' Michael Obafemi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Derby County FC tonight.
- 16' Joel Piroe with the second goal in the match!
- 21' Tom Lawrence is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 22' Tom Lawrence with the second goal in the match!
- 27' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 32' With 0 assists to his name this season, Krystian Bielik is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Swansea City AFC.
- 37' England international Matt Grimes has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 42' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 46' Derby County FC make a change. Lee Buchanan trudges off to be replaced by Festy Ebosele on 46 minutes.
- 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Swansea City AFC that had 383 games and scored 472 goals.
- 56' Swansea City AFC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 60' The Swansea City AFC bench stirs into life. Jamie Paterson is withdrawn and Jules Ntcham gets his opportunity.
- 65' Swansea City AFC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
- 68' Swansea City AFC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 73' Fresh legs for Swansea City AFC! Korey Smith comes on to replace Joel Piroe.
- 76' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Luke Plange departs to be replaced by Jason Knight.
- 81' Controversy at the stadium! Ravel Morrison argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 84' Swansea City AFC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 85' Ravel Morrison has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 85.
- 85' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Liam Thompson is replaced by Bartosz Cybulski on 85 minute.
- 90' Time for substitution for Swansea City AFC. Michael Obafemi is replaced by Kyle Joseph.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Swansea City AFC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Swansea City AFC Lineups
Starting XI
-
12
Jamie Paterson ↓ Jules Ntcham 60'
- 6
- 8
- 26
- 23
- 33
- 13
- 5
-
9
Michael Obafemi ↓ Kyle Joseph 90'
-
17
Joel Piroe ↓ Korey Smith 73'
- 22
Bench
-
7
Korey Smith ↑ 73'
- 18
- 3
-
10
Jules Ntcham ↑ 60'
-
14
Kyle Joseph ↑ 90'
- 15
- 45
Coach
Russell Martin
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 10
- 5
- 2
- 31
-
26
Lee Buchanan ↓ Festy Ebosele 46'
- 11
- 42
- 41
-
48
Luke Plange ↓ Jason Knight 76'
- 32
Bench
- 21
- 3
- 16
-
38
Jason Knight ↑ 76'
-
36
Festy Ebosele ↑ 46'
-
49
Bartosz Cybulski ↑ 85'
- 46
Coach
Wayne Rooney
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Lawrence | 4 |
| Harry Wilson | 2 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 1 |
| Ronald | 1 |
| Duane Holmes | 1 |
| Ji-sung Eom | 1 |
| Kyle Naughton | 1 |
Head to Head
Swansea City AFC Form
2022-04-09
Swansea City AFC
2–1
Derby County FC
W
2022-04-05
Millwall FC
0–1
Swansea City AFC
W
2022-04-02
Cardiff City FC
0–4
Swansea City AFC
W
2022-03-19
Swansea City AFC
0–0
Birmingham City FC
D
2022-03-16
Peterborough United FC
2–3
Swansea City AFC
W
2022-03-12
Blackpool FC
1–0
Swansea City AFC
L
Derby County FC Form
2022-04-09
Swansea City AFC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2022-04-02
Derby County FC
1–0
Preston North End FC
W
2022-03-19
Derby County FC
1–1
Coventry City FC
D
2022-03-15
Blackburn Rovers FC
3–1
Derby County FC
L
2022-03-12
AFC Bournemouth
2–0
Derby County FC
L
2022-03-05
Derby County FC
2–0
Barnsley FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.5
Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Swansea City AFC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Swansea City AFC or Draw
74%
Draw or Derby County FC
52%
Swansea City AFC or Derby County FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Swansea City AFC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.7%
2 – 0
7.5%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC
| Handicap | Swansea City AFC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 21% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 16% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

