Watford FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
- Swansea City AFC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jeremy Simpson
- Assistant 1 Graham Kane
- Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | Millwall FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | Stoke City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Feb | Luton Town FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | Leeds United FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar | Watford FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Mar | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Mar | Preston North End FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Feb | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Stoke City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Feb | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Swansea City AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #11 |
| 57 | Points | 64 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 14 / 15 / 17 | W / D / L | 18 / 10 / 18 |
| 53 | Scored | 57 |
| 65 | Conceded | 59 |
| -12 | GD | -2 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 30% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Watford FC get us underway at Vicarage Road.
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Watford FC and Swansea City AFC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Watford FC that had 358 games and scored 391 goals.
- 27' Moussa Sissoko puts Watford FC on the lead.
- 32' Liam Cullen needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 37' Swansea City AFC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 42' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Imran Louza.
- 47' The travelling Swansea City AFC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 48' The referee has no hesitation. Benjamin Cabango is booked for Swansea City AFC — card on 48.
- 53' The home supporters are growing impatient. Watford FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 58' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yasser Larouci suffering a number of foals already.
- 63' Watford FC currently sit 12 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 64' The whistle greets Tom Dele-Bashiru as he departs to be replaced by Vakoun Issouf Bayo.
- 69' Watford FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 71' The whistle greets Yasser Larouci as he departs to be replaced by Jeremy Ngakia.
- 72' Egil Selvik was booked on 72.
- 74' It is a substitution in Swansea City AFC team. Ji-sung Eom is replaced by Josh Ginnelly on 74 minute.
- 79' Florian Bianchini has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 83' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Francisco Sierralta comes on to replace Tom Ince.
- 88' Edo Kayembe is having his name booked by the referee on 88.
- 90' Another change for Swansea City AFC made on 90 minute. Liam Cullen leaves to be changed by Oliver Cooper.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Swansea City AFC.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
7
Tom Ince ↓ Francisco Sierralta 83'
- 17
- 39
-
8
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↓ Rocco Vata 83'
- 6
- 10
- 24
-
37
Yasser Larouci ↓ Jeremy Ngakia 71'
- 33
- 25
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↓ Caleb Wiley 83'
Bench
- 23
-
3
Francisco Sierralta ↑ 83'
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 64'
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↑ 71'
- 22
-
26
Caleb Wiley ↑ 83'
-
11
Rocco Vata ↑ 83'
- 53
- 52
Coach
Tom Cleverley
Swansea City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
20
Liam Cullen ↓ Oliver Cooper 90'
- 8
- 22
- 2
- 28
- 5
- 14
-
17
Goncalo Franco ↓ Jay Fulton 74'
- 9
- 35
-
10
Ji-sung Eom ↓ Josh Ginnelly 74'
Bench
- 7
-
4
Jay Fulton ↑ 74'
- 26
- 33
- 23
-
11
Josh Ginnelly ↑ 74'
-
19
Florian Bianchini ↑ 74'
-
31
Oliver Cooper ↑ 90'
- 41
Coach
Luke Williams
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Jamal Lowe | 2 |
| Liam Cullen | 1 |
| Joel Latibeaudiere | 1 |
| Ken Sema | 1 |
| Wesley Hoedt | 1 |
| Tom Cleverley | 1 |
| Myles Peart-Harris | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Swansea City AFC Form
2025-03-12
Watford FC
1–0
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-03-08
Swansea City AFC
1–0
Middlesbrough FC
W
2025-03-04
Preston North End FC
0–0
Swansea City AFC
D
2025-02-22
Swansea City AFC
3–0
Blackburn Rovers FC
W
2025-02-15
Stoke City FC
3–1
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-02-12
Swansea City AFC
0–1
Sheffield Wednesday FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC or Swansea City AFC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
60%
Watford FC or Swansea City AFC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
12.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 3
2.7%
3 – 0
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Swansea City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 20% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 20% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

