Thursday , 2 July 2026

Watford FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Wed 12 Mar 2025 · 19:45 UTC Vicarage Road 16,739 HT 45' · FT 45'
Moussa Sissoko 27' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Swansea City AFCChampionship at Vicarage Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeremy Simpson
  • Assistant 1 Graham Kane
  • Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W
08 Mar Millwall FC H 1–2 L
01 Mar Stoke City FC A 0–0 D
23 Feb Luton Town FC H 2–0 W
15 Feb Middlesbrough FC A 1–0 W
11 Feb Leeds United FC H 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Watford FC A 0–1 L
08 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
04 Mar Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
22 Feb Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–0 W
15 Feb Stoke City FC A 1–3 L
12 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Watford FC Swansea City AFC
#16 Position #11
57 Points 64
46 Played 46
14 / 15 / 17 W / D / L 18 / 10 / 18
53 Scored 57
65 Conceded 59
-12 GD -2
1.24 PPG 1.39
30% Win % 39%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Watford FC get us underway at Vicarage Road.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Watford FC and Swansea City AFC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Watford FC that had 358 games and scored 391 goals.
  • 27' Moussa Sissoko puts Watford FC on the lead.
  • 32' Liam Cullen needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 37' Swansea City AFC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 42' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Imran Louza.
  • 47' The travelling Swansea City AFC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 48' The referee has no hesitation. Benjamin Cabango is booked for Swansea City AFC — card on 48.
  • 53' The home supporters are growing impatient. Watford FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 58' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yasser Larouci suffering a number of foals already.
  • 63' Watford FC currently sit 12 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 64' The whistle greets Tom Dele-Bashiru as he departs to be replaced by Vakoun Issouf Bayo.
  • 69' Watford FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 71' The whistle greets Yasser Larouci as he departs to be replaced by Jeremy Ngakia.
  • 72' Egil Selvik was booked on 72.
  • 74' It is a substitution in Swansea City AFC team. Ji-sung Eom is replaced by Josh Ginnelly on 74 minute.
  • 79' Florian Bianchini has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 83' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Francisco Sierralta comes on to replace Tom Ince.
  • 88' Edo Kayembe is having his name booked by the referee on 88.
  • 90' Another change for Swansea City AFC made on 90 minute. Liam Cullen leaves to be changed by Oliver Cooper.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Swansea City AFC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for: Watford FC or Swansea City AFC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC40% Draw29% Swansea City AFC31%
Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
60%
Watford FC or Swansea City AFC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC24% Draw52% Swansea City AFC24%
Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
12.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 3
2.7%
3 – 0
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 20% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 20% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.