Watford FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Swansea City AFC 15 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jeremy Simpson
- Assistant 1 Graham Kane
- Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | Millwall FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | Stoke City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Feb | Luton Town FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | Leeds United FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar | Watford FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Mar | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Mar | Preston North End FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Feb | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Stoke City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Feb | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Swansea City AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #6 |
| 15 | Points | 26 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 4 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 2 / 5 |
| 13 | Scored | 22 |
| 23 | Conceded | 18 |
| -10 | GD | +4 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.73 |
| 27% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
40%
Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
Swansea City AFC this season
Watford FC are 20th (15 pts). Swansea City AFC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Swansea City AFC
0-15
4/5
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/5
46-60
6/1
61-75
2/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Swansea City AFC
| Adam Idah | 4 G | 1 A |
| Joseph Opoku | 3 G | 2 A |
| Moussa Kounfolo Yeo | 3 G | |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Vicarage Road. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tom Cleverley might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' Jay Fulton needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 20' Benjamin Cabango has been relatively quiet despite scoring 17 goals in his last 141 appearances.
- 25' The travelling Swansea City AFC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 27' Moussa Sissoko is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 32' Watford FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Swansea City AFC backline.
- 37' It looks surprising Swansea City AFC does not make any changes. Hannes Delcroix has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 42' Watford FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 47' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 48' A meaty challenge results in booking for Benjamin Cabango on 48.
- 53' Josh Tymon has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 58' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 63' Watford FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 63.
- 64' Watford FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Vakoun Issouf Bayo is hanging Tom Dele-Bashiru on the field on 64 minute.
- 69' Swansea City AFC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Adam Idah scoring 1 goals.
- 71' A tactical swap from Watford FC — Jeremy Ngakia on, Yasser Larouci off on 71 minutes.
- 72' That looks like a foul for a card for Egil Selvik.
- 74' Time for substitution for Swansea City AFC. Ji-sung Eom is replaced by Josh Ginnelly.
- 79' Swansea City AFC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 83' The Watford FC bench stirs into life. Tom Ince is withdrawn and Francisco Sierralta gets his opportunity.
- 88' Edo Kayembe catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 88.
- 90' A change in the Swansea City AFC ranks — Liam Cullen exits the field as Oliver Cooper enters on 90.
- Swansea City AFC will have plenty to reflect on. Watford FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
7
Tom Ince ↓ Francisco Sierralta 83'
- 17
- 39
-
8
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↓ Rocco Vata 83'
- 6
- 10
- 24
-
37
Yasser Larouci ↓ Jeremy Ngakia 71'
- 33
- 25
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↓ Caleb Wiley 83'
Bench
- 23
-
3
Francisco Sierralta ↑ 83'
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 64'
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↑ 71'
- 22
-
26
Caleb Wiley ↑ 83'
-
11
Rocco Vata ↑ 83'
- 53
- 52
Coach
Tom Cleverley
Swansea City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
20
Liam Cullen ↓ Oliver Cooper 90'
- 8
- 22
- 2
- 28
- 5
- 14
-
17
Goncalo Franco ↓ Jay Fulton 74'
- 9
- 35
-
10
Ji-sung Eom ↓ Josh Ginnelly 74'
Bench
- 7
-
4
Jay Fulton ↑ 74'
- 26
- 33
- 23
-
11
Josh Ginnelly ↑ 74'
-
19
Florian Bianchini ↑ 74'
-
31
Oliver Cooper ↑ 90'
- 41
Coach
Luke Williams
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Jamal Lowe | 2 |
| Wesley Hoedt | 1 |
| Tom Cleverley | 1 |
| Myles Peart-Harris | 1 |
| Andre Gray | 1 |
| Moussa Sissoko | 1 |
| Isaac Success | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Swansea City AFC Form
2025-03-12
Watford FC
1–0
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-03-08
Swansea City AFC
1–0
Middlesbrough FC
W
2025-03-04
Preston North End FC
0–0
Swansea City AFC
D
2025-02-22
Swansea City AFC
3–0
Blackburn Rovers FC
W
2025-02-15
Stoke City FC
3–1
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-02-12
Swansea City AFC
0–1
Sheffield Wednesday FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.88
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC or Swansea City AFC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
66%
Watford FC or Swansea City AFC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.8%
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
8.6%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
5.6%
2 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 3
3.4%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Swansea City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 16% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 23% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✗
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
42%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

