Watford FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- Swansea City AFC 8 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jeremy Simpson
- Assistant 1 Graham Kane
- Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | Millwall FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | Stoke City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Feb | Luton Town FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | Leeds United FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar | Watford FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Mar | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Mar | Preston North End FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Feb | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Stoke City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Feb | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Swansea City AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #1 |
| 8 | Points | 17 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 2 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 5 / 2 / 1 |
| 7 | Scored | 13 |
| 10 | Conceded | 6 |
| -3 | GD | +7 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 2.13 |
| 25% | Win % | 63% |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
Swansea City AFC this season
Watford FC are 20th (8 pts). Swansea City AFC are 1st (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Swansea City AFC
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Swansea City AFC
| Adam Idah | 3 G | 1 A |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 G | 2 A |
| Joseph Opoku | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Vicarage Road!
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' A quiet spell here at Vicarage Road. Watford FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' Ji-sung Eom has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
- 20' Oliver Cooper has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 25' Florian Bianchini is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Watford FC so far.
- 27' Moussa Sissoko does the damage! The net is bulging and Watford FC surge ahead!
- 32' Watford FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Swansea City AFC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 37' It is a cagey affair so far. Watford FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Swansea City AFC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 42' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Imran Louza on 42 minutes.
- 47' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Swansea City AFC winning 100% of all matches.
- 48' Benjamin Cabango picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 53' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Egil Selvik made 6 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 58' Watford FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Swansea City AFC backline.
- 63' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 64' Watford FC ring the changes. Tom Dele-Bashiru has done his job and it is now time for Vakoun Issouf Bayo to step up.
- 69' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 71' Yasser Larouci makes way for Jeremy Ngakia at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
- 72' The referee calls foul for Egil Selvik. He receives a card.
- 74' The crowd applauds Ji-sung Eom as he leaves the pitch. Josh Ginnelly steps in for Swansea City AFC.
- 79' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 83' The Watford FC manager makes a substitution. Tom Ince departs to be replaced by Francisco Sierralta.
- 88' A moment of madness from Edo Kayembe on 88 minutes earns him a card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
- 90' Time for substitution for Swansea City AFC. Liam Cullen is replaced by Oliver Cooper.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Watford FC 1-0 Swansea City AFC.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
7
Tom Ince ↓ Francisco Sierralta 83'
- 17
- 39
-
8
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↓ Rocco Vata 83'
- 6
- 10
- 24
-
37
Yasser Larouci ↓ Jeremy Ngakia 71'
- 33
- 25
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↓ Caleb Wiley 83'
Bench
- 23
-
3
Francisco Sierralta ↑ 83'
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 64'
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↑ 71'
- 22
-
26
Caleb Wiley ↑ 83'
-
11
Rocco Vata ↑ 83'
- 53
- 52
Coach
Tom Cleverley
Swansea City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
20
Liam Cullen ↓ Oliver Cooper 90'
- 8
- 22
- 2
- 28
- 5
- 14
-
17
Goncalo Franco ↓ Jay Fulton 74'
- 9
- 35
-
10
Ji-sung Eom ↓ Josh Ginnelly 74'
Bench
- 7
-
4
Jay Fulton ↑ 74'
- 26
- 33
- 23
-
11
Josh Ginnelly ↑ 74'
-
19
Florian Bianchini ↑ 74'
-
31
Oliver Cooper ↑ 90'
- 41
Coach
Luke Williams
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamal Lowe | 2 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Ken Sema | 1 |
| Wesley Hoedt | 1 |
| Tom Cleverley | 1 |
| Myles Peart-Harris | 1 |
| Andre Gray | 1 |
| Moussa Sissoko | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Swansea City AFC Form
2025-03-12
Watford FC
1–0
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-03-08
Swansea City AFC
1–0
Middlesbrough FC
W
2025-03-04
Preston North End FC
0–0
Swansea City AFC
D
2025-02-22
Swansea City AFC
3–0
Blackburn Rovers FC
W
2025-02-15
Stoke City FC
3–1
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-02-12
Swansea City AFC
0–1
Sheffield Wednesday FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.73
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14
Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 71% + Watford FC or Swansea City AFC 69%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.87
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 2.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
68%
Watford FC or Swansea City AFC
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.8%
0 – 1
16.2%
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
9.5%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
4.6%
2 – 0
3.8%
0 – 3
3.6%
1 – 3
2.8%
2 – 2
2.8%
2 – 3
1.1%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Swansea City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 15% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 25% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 13% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
48%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

