Thursday , 2 July 2026

Stevenage FC vs Northampton Town FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Sat 16 Aug 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stevenage FC vs Northampton Town FCLeague One .

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Reeves
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 5.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug Northampton Town FC H 2–0 W
09 Aug Rotherham United FC H 1–0 W
02 Aug Blackpool FC A 3–2 W
03 May Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–1 D
27 Apr Rotherham United FC H 1–1 D
24 Apr Birmingham City FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug Stevenage FC A 0–2 L
09 Aug Bradford City AFC H 0–0 D
02 Aug Wigan Athletic FC A 1–3 L
03 May Wigan Athletic FC H 1–1 D
26 Apr Crawley Town FC A 0–3 L
21 Apr Shrewsbury Town FC H 4–1 W

Season Stats

Stevenage FC Northampton Town FC
#6 Position #24
75 Points 35
46 Played 46
21 / 12 / 13 W / D / L 9 / 8 / 29
49 Scored 39
46 Conceded 74
+3 GD -35
1.63 PPG 0.76
46% Win % 20%

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Stevenage FC are 6th (75 pts). Northampton Town FC are 24th (35 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Stevenage FC Lineups

Northampton Town FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.67 Stevenage FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.42 Northampton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 71% + Stevenage FC to win 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stevenage FC66% Draw23% Northampton Town FC11%
Actual: Stevenage FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes29% 0% No71%
Avg goals/match: 2.09
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Stevenage FC or Draw
90%
Draw or Northampton Town FC
34%
Stevenage FC or Northampton Town FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Stevenage FC44% Draw49% Northampton Town FC7%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
20.1%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.4%
3 – 0
9.1%
1 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 1
4.1%
4 – 0
3.8%
4 – 1
1.8%
1 – 2
1.7%
2 – 2
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Stevenage FC

Handicap Stevenage FC covers Push Northampton Town FC covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 21% 61%
-1.5 39% 61%
-1 39% 28% 33%
-0.5 67% 33%
+0.5 92% 8%
+1 92% 6% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Stevenage FC keeps clean sheet
66%
Northampton Town FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.