Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

4 – 0

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 06:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 55' Kohei Tezuka

Y 69' Cayman Togashi

Y 82' Wataru Harada

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 games · Avg 2.1 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-09-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-04-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-02-19 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Mar	Sagan Tosu FC	H	4–0	W
02 Mar	FC Tōkyō	A	1–1	D
23 Feb	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	2–0	W
03 Dec	Avispa Fukuoka	A	1–0	W
25 Nov	Gamba Osaka	H	3–0	W
11 Nov	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	0–0	D

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Mar	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–4	L
02 Mar	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	4–0	W
24 Feb	Albirex Niigata	H	1–2	L
03 Dec	Kawasaki Frontale	H	0–1	L
25 Nov	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–2	D
11 Nov	Yokohama FC	H	1–3	L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

62% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

1/1

16-30

4/2

31-45

4/2

46-60

7/2

61-75

7/1

76+

6/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	10 G	4 A
Mutsuki Kato	3 G	3 A
Shuto Nakano	3 G	2 A
Shun Ayukawa	3 G	1 A
Sebastien Haller	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Sagan Tosu FC kicks off things out of here…
5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
10' Motoki Ohara has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
18' Tsukasa Shiotani puts Sanfrecce Hiroshima on the lead.
23' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
28' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
31' What a strike from Takumu Kawamura! The score is 2-0.
36' Vinicius Araujo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
41' A quiet spell here at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
46' The crowd applauds Akito Fukuta as he leaves the pitch. Kohei Tezuka steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
51' GOAL! Pieros Sotiriou fires home to make it 3-0!
55' The referee shows Sagan Tosu FC player a card on 55.
57' The crowd applauds Vinicius Araujo as he leaves the pitch. Cayman Togashi steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
62' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
67' Over 67 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
69' The referee calls foul for Cayman Togashi. He receives a card.
71' The whistle greets Pieros Sotiriou as he departs to be replaced by Ezequiel.
76' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
81' Mutsuki Kato, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
82' The referee shows Sagan Tosu FC player a card on 82.
82' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Kohei Tezuka trudges off to be replaced by Taichi Kikuchi on 82 minutes.
87' Taishi Matsumoto is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mutsuki Kato at the 87 minute mark.
90' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 90 minute. Takumu Kawamura leaves to be changed by Gakuto Notsuda.
That’s it! Another goalless match for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Sagan Tosu FC (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

17
Ezequiel ↑ 71'
22
Goro Kawanami
7
Gakuto Notsuda ↑ 90'
14
Taishi Matsumoto ↑ 87'
16
Takaaki Shichi ↑ 71'
25
Yusuke Chajima
40
Motoki Ohara ↑ 90'

Coach Michael Skibbe

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

11
Vinicius Araujo ↓ Cayman Togashi 57'
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Kohei Tezuka 46'
28
Yusuke Maruhashi ↓ Katsunori Ueebisu 46'
99
Marcelo Ryan
88
Yoichi Naganuma
71
Il-kyu Park
21
Yuki Horigome
42
Wataru Harada
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
5
So Kawahara
20
Tae-hyeon Kim

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Makoto Mitsuta	2
Douglas Vieira	2
Pieros Sotiriou	2
Noriyoshi Sakai	1
Marcelo Ryan	1
Patric	1
Junior Santos	1
Marcos Junior	1

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2024-03-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-03-02 FC Tōkyō 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-02-23 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2023-12-03 Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-11-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Gamba Osaka W 2023-11-11 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-03-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-03-02 Sagan Tosu FC 4–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W 2024-02-24 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Albirex Niigata L 2023-12-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kawasaki Frontale L 2023-11-25 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-11-11 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.72 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima67% Draw21% Sagan Tosu FC12%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes45% 0% No55%

Avg goals/match: 2.75

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

88%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

33%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Sagan Tosu FC

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima47% Draw43% Sagan Tosu FC10%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

12.9%

1 – 0

12.4%

1 – 1

10%

2 – 1

9.2%

3 – 0

8.5%

0 – 0

8.1%

3 – 1

6.3%

4 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

3.8%

2 – 2

3.3%

4 – 1

3.3%

1 – 2

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	22%	—	78%
-2	22%	21%	58%
-1.5	42%	—	58%
-1	42%	24%	33%
-0.5	67%	—	33%
+0.5	89%	—	11%
+1	89%	8%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

49% ✗

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.