Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

4 – 0

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 06:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 55' Kohei Tezuka

Y 69' Cayman Togashi

Y 82' Wataru Harada

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 games · Avg 2.1 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-09-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-04-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-02-19 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Mar	Sagan Tosu FC	H	4–0	W
02 Mar	FC Tokyo	A	1–1	D
23 Feb	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	2–0	W
03 Dec	Avispa Fukuoka	A	1–0	W
25 Nov	Gamba Osaka	H	3–0	W
11 Nov	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	0–0	D

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Mar	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–4	L
02 Mar	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	4–0	W
24 Feb	Albirex Niigata	H	1–2	L
03 Dec	Kawasaki Frontale	H	0–1	L
25 Nov	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–2	D
11 Nov	Yokohama FC	H	1–3	L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima will turn into a battlefield for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Sagan Tosu FC.
5' Tae-hyeon Kim is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sagan Tosu FC tonight.
10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
15' It’s high time Michael Skibbe made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
18' Magnificent from Tsukasa Shiotani! That is 6 goals in 83 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
23' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
28' With 0 assists to his name this season, Cayman Togashi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
31' GOAL! Takumu Kawamura scores on 31.
36' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
41' Il-kyu Park is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
46' The whistle greets Akito Fukuta as he departs to be replaced by Kohei Tezuka.
51' GOAL! Pieros Sotiriou scores on 51.
55' It’s gonna be a card for Kohei Tezuka.
57' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Vinicius Araujo departs to be replaced by Cayman Togashi.
62' So Kawahara has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 279 appearances.
67' Sagan Tosu FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
69' A meaty challenge results in booking for Cayman Togashi on 69.
71' Ezequiel is replacing Pieros Sotiriou for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
76' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
81' Shuto Nakano has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
82' A moment of madness from Wataru Harada on 82 minutes earns him a card. Sagan Tosu FC will be frustrated.
82' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Kohei Tezuka departs to be replaced by Taichi Kikuchi.
87' The crowd applauds Mutsuki Kato as he leaves the pitch. Taishi Matsumoto steps in for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
90' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Takumu Kawamura trudges off to be replaced by Gakuto Notsuda on 90 minutes.
Sagan Tosu FC will have plenty to reflect on. Sanfrecce Hiroshima were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

17
Ezequiel ↑ 71'
22
Goro Kawanami
7
Gakuto Notsuda ↑ 90'
14
Taishi Matsumoto ↑ 87'
16
Takaaki Shichi ↑ 71'
25
Yusuke Chajima
40
Motoki Ohara ↑ 90'

Coach Michael Skibbe

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

11
Vinicius Araujo ↓ Cayman Togashi 57'
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Kohei Tezuka 46'
28
Yusuke Maruhashi ↓ Katsunori Ueebisu 46'
99
Marcelo Ryan
88
Yoichi Naganuma
71
Il-kyu Park
21
Yuki Horigome
42
Wataru Harada
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
5
So Kawahara
20
Tae-hyeon Kim

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Pieros Sotiriou	2
Makoto Mitsuta	2
Douglas Vieira	2
Toshihiro Aoyama	1
Shunki Higashi	1
Tsukasa Shiotani	1
Yuya Asano	1
Shuto Nakano	1

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2024-03-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-03-02 FC Tokyo 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-02-23 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2023-12-03 Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-11-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Gamba Osaka W 2023-11-11 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-03-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-03-02 Sagan Tosu FC 4–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W 2024-02-24 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Albirex Niigata L 2023-12-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kawasaki Frontale L 2023-11-25 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-11-11 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.72 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima67% Draw21% Sagan Tosu FC12%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes45% 0% No55%

Avg goals/match: 2.75

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

88%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

33%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Sagan Tosu FC

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima47% Draw43% Sagan Tosu FC10%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

12.9%

1 – 0

12.4%

1 – 1

10%

2 – 1

9.2%

3 – 0

8.5%

0 – 0

8.1%

3 – 1

6.3%

4 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

3.8%

2 – 2

3.3%

4 – 1

3.3%

1 – 2

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	22%	—	78%
-2	22%	21%	58%
-1.5	42%	—	58%
-1	42%	24%	33%
-0.5	67%	—	33%
+0.5	89%	—	11%
+1	89%	8%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

49% ✗

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.