Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

4 – 0

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 06:00 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 55' Kohei Tezuka

Y 69' Cayman Togashi

Y 82' Wataru Harada

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 games · Avg 2.1 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-09-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-04-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-02-19 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Mar	Sagan Tosu FC	H	4–0	W
02 Mar	FC Tōkyō	A	1–1	D
23 Feb	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	2–0	W
03 Dec	Avispa Fukuoka	A	1–0	W
25 Nov	Gamba Osaka	H	3–0	W
11 Nov	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	0–0	D

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Mar	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–4	L
02 Mar	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	4–0	W
24 Feb	Albirex Niigata	H	1–2	L
03 Dec	Kawasaki Frontale	H	0–1	L
25 Nov	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–2	D
11 Nov	Yokohama FC	H	1–3	L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

3/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/1

46-60

5/–

61-75

3/4

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima will turn into a battlefield for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Sagan Tosu FC.
5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
10' Motoki Ohara has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
18' What a strike from Tsukasa Shiotani! The score is 1-0.
23' It looks surprising Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not make any changes. Mutsuki Kato has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
28' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sanfrecce Hiroshima that had 335 games and scored 427 goals.
31' GOAL! Takumu Kawamura scores on 31.
36' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
41' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Keisuke Osako suffering a number of foals already.
46' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Akito Fukuta is replaced by Kohei Tezuka on 46 minute.
51' GOAL! Pieros Sotiriou scores on 51.
55' Kohei Tezuka was booked on 55.
57' Cayman Togashi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Vinicius Araujo on 57 minute.
62' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
67' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kohei Tezuka, as he is very good at scoring at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
69' That looks like a foul for a card for Cayman Togashi.
71' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 71 minute. Pieros Sotiriou leaves to be changed by Ezequiel.
76' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
81' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
82' Wataru Harada was booked on 82.
82' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Taichi Kikuchi is hanging Kohei Tezuka on the field on 82 minute.
87' Taishi Matsumoto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mutsuki Kato on 87 minute.
90' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Takumu Kawamura by Gakuto Notsuda on 90 minute.
Full Time. Sanfrecce Hiroshima beats Sagan Tosu FC

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

17
Ezequiel ↑ 71'
22
Goro Kawanami
7
Gakuto Notsuda ↑ 90'
14
Taishi Matsumoto ↑ 87'
16
Takaaki Shichi ↑ 71'
25
Yusuke Chajima
40
Motoki Ohara ↑ 90'

Coach Michael Skibbe

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

11
Vinicius Araujo ↓ Cayman Togashi 57'
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Kohei Tezuka 46'
28
Yusuke Maruhashi ↓ Katsunori Ueebisu 46'
99
Marcelo Ryan
88
Yoichi Naganuma
71
Il-kyu Park
21
Yuki Horigome
42
Wataru Harada
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
5
So Kawahara
20
Tae-hyeon Kim

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Makoto Mitsuta	2
Douglas Vieira	2
Pieros Sotiriou	2
Shunki Higashi	1
Tsukasa Shiotani	1
Yuya Asano	1
Shuto Nakano	1
Noriyoshi Sakai	1

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2024-03-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-03-02 FC Tōkyō 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-02-23 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2023-12-03 Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-11-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Gamba Osaka W 2023-11-11 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-03-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-03-02 Sagan Tosu FC 4–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W 2024-02-24 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Albirex Niigata L 2023-12-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kawasaki Frontale L 2023-11-25 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-11-11 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.72 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima67% Draw21% Sagan Tosu FC12%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes45% 0% No55%

Avg goals/match: 2.75

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

88%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

33%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Sagan Tosu FC

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima47% Draw43% Sagan Tosu FC10%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

12.9%

1 – 0

12.4%

1 – 1

10%

2 – 1

9.2%

3 – 0

8.5%

0 – 0

8.1%

3 – 1

6.3%

4 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

3.8%

2 – 2

3.3%

4 – 1

3.3%

1 – 2

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	22%	—	78%
-2	22%	21%	58%
-1.5	42%	—	58%
-1	42%	24%	33%
-0.5	67%	—	33%
+0.5	89%	—	11%
+1	89%	8%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

49% ✗

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.