Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 24 Feb 2024 · 05:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Albirex NiigataJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Hiroki Kasahara
7 games this season 🟨 1.7/game 7.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Feb Albirex Niigata H 1–2 L
03 Dec Kawasaki Frontale H 0–1 L
25 Nov Kashiwa Reysol A 2–2 D
11 Nov Yokohama FC H 1–3 L
27 Oct Nagoya Grampus A 1–1 D
21 Oct Albirex Niigata A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Feb Sagan Tosu FC A 2–1 W
03 Dec Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–0 W
24 Nov Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–0 D
11 Nov FC Tōkyō H 0–0 D
28 Oct Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–0 W
21 Oct Sagan Tosu FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Sagan Tosu FC is hosting Albirex Niigata for another epic battle.
  • 5' What a strike from Akito Fukuta! The score is 1-0.
  • 10' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Fumiya Hayakawa has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Albirex Niigata needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' Vinicius Araujo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Yellow cards this season.
  • 25' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
  • 30' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 31' Albirex Niigata player sees a card in front of him.
  • 36' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 41' Eiji Miyamoto was booked on 41.
  • 46' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 48' Goal! Kaito Taniguchi scores his 15 goal in 110 matches.
  • 53' Thomas Deng has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 54' What a strike from Naoto Arai! The score is 1-2.
  • 56' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Ryonosuke Kabayama is replaced by Cayman Togashi on 56 minute.
  • 61' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 66' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 71' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yoichi Naganuma suffering a number of foals already.
  • 72' Danilo is replacing Eitaro Matsuda for the Albirex Niigata side.
  • 73' Katsunori Ueebisu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yusuke Maruhashi on 73 minute.
  • 78' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 78 minutes.
  • 79' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Yuki Horigome departs to be replaced by Vinicius Araujo.
  • 84' It looks like no one’s ball. Albirex Niigata is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 89' Albirex Niigata seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 90' Sagan Tosu FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • 90' Albirex Niigata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Fumiya Hayakawa is hanging Michael Fitzgerald on the field on 90 minute.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Sagan Tosu FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.09 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Albirex Niigata 69% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC32% Draw31% Albirex Niigata37%
Actual: Albirex Niigata win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
68%
Sagan Tosu FC or Albirex Niigata
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC23% Draw51% Albirex Niigata26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.3%
0 – 1
10.9%
1 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.2%
0 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Albirex Niigata covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 19% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 21% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.