Sagan Tosu FC vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Hiroki Kasahara
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Dec | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Nov | Yokohama FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Oct | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Dec | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Nov | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Nov | FC Tōkyō | H | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Oct | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Sagan Tosu FC and Albirex Niigata is underway.
- 5' Magnificent from Akito Fukuta! That is 6 goals in 279 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 10' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kaito Taniguchi, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sagan Tosu FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 31' Naoto Arai catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 31.
- 36' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 41' Poor challenge from Eiji Miyamoto. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 46' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 48' Brilliant from the ! Kaito Taniguchi makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 45.
- 53' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 54' A goal from the Japan international Naoto Arai! He fires home on 54 to make it 1-2!
- 56' Cayman Togashi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ryonosuke Kabayama on 56 minute.
- 61' The 30-year-old Wataru Harada has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 66' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Hiroki Akiyama has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 71' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 72' Fresh legs for Albirex Niigata! Danilo comes on to replace Eitaro Matsuda.
- 73' The supporters are chanting for Katsunori Ueebisu. He replaces Yusuke Maruhashi on 73 minute.
- 78' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 79' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Yuki Horigome exits the field as Vinicius Araujo enters on 79.
- 84' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Soya Fujiwara suffering a number of foals already.
- 89' Yoichi Naganuma has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Wataru Harada argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' Albirex Niigata make a change. Michael Fitzgerald trudges off to be replaced by Fumiya Hayakawa on 90 minutes.
- It finishes all square. Sagan Tosu FC and Albirex Niigata share the spoils 1-2.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Kohei Tezuka 56'
- 28
-
99
Marcelo Ryan ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 73'
- 41
- 88
- 71
-
21
Yuki Horigome ↓ Vinicius Araujo 79'
- 42
- 2
- 5
- 20
Bench
-
11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 79'
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 56'
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↑ 56'
-
16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↑ 73'
- 23
- 31
-
13
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 73'
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 5
- 1
-
22
Eitaro Matsuda ↓ Danilo 72'
- 2
- 25
- 6
- 7
-
16
Yota Komi ↓ Motoki Hasegawa 72'
-
9
Koji Suzuki ↓ Yoshiaki Takagi 72'
- 8
Bench
- 20
-
17
Danilo ↑ 72'
- 31
- 21
-
18
Fumiya Hayakawa ↑ 90'
-
33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↑ 72'
-
14
Motoki Hasegawa ↑ 72'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kaito Taniguchi | 2 |
| Ayumu Yokoyama | 2 |
| Yuji Ono | 2 |
| Naoto Arai | 1 |
| Yoichi Naganuma | 1 |
| Kosuke Yamazaki | 1 |
| Michael Fitzgerald | 1 |
| Soya Fujiwara | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Albirex Niigata Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.09
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21
Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or Albirex Niigata 69% + Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Albirex Niigata win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
68%
Sagan Tosu FC or Albirex Niigata
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.3%
0 – 1
10.9%
1 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.2%
0 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Albirex Niigata covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 19% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 21% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

