Sagan Tosu FC vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Hiroki Kasahara
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Dec | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Nov | Yokohama FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Oct | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Dec | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Nov | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Nov | FC Tokyo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Oct | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Sagan Tosu FC is hosting Albirex Niigata for another epic battle.
- 5' Akito Fukuta doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 10' Albirex Niigata are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 20' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 25' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Vinicius Araujo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 30' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Albirex Niigata seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 31' That is a card for Albirex Niigata. Naoto Arai will be fuming at that decision.
- 36' Albirex Niigata is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 41' The referee shows Albirex Niigata player a card on 41.
- 46' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 48' Kaito Taniguchi is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 53' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 54' Naoto Arai doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 56' Cayman Togashi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ryonosuke Kabayama on 56 minute.
- 61' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 66' Albirex Niigata come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 71' Wataru Harada needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 15 Yellow cards this season.
- 72' Danilo gets the nod from Albirex Niigata. He replaces Eitaro Matsuda and will look to change the dynamic.
- 73' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Yusuke Maruhashi trudges off to be replaced by Katsunori Ueebisu on 73 minutes.
- 78' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Albirex Niigata are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 79' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Yuki Horigome departs to be replaced by Vinicius Araujo.
- 84' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 89' With 0 assists to his name this season, Eiji Miyamoto is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Albirex Niigata.
- 90' Wataru Harada has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- 90' Albirex Niigata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Fumiya Hayakawa is hanging Michael Fitzgerald on the field on 90 minute.
- With this win, Albirex Niigata is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Kohei Tezuka 56'
- 28
-
99
Marcelo Ryan ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 73'
- 41
- 88
- 71
-
21
Yuki Horigome ↓ Vinicius Araujo 79'
- 42
- 2
- 5
- 20
Bench
-
11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 79'
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 56'
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↑ 56'
-
16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↑ 73'
- 23
- 31
-
13
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 73'
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 5
- 1
-
22
Eitaro Matsuda ↓ Danilo 72'
- 2
- 25
- 6
- 7
-
16
Yota Komi ↓ Motoki Hasegawa 72'
-
9
Koji Suzuki ↓ Yoshiaki Takagi 72'
- 8
Bench
- 20
-
17
Danilo ↑ 72'
- 31
- 21
-
18
Fumiya Hayakawa ↑ 90'
-
33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↑ 72'
-
14
Motoki Hasegawa ↑ 72'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ayumu Yokoyama | 2 |
| Yuji Ono | 2 |
| Kaito Taniguchi | 2 |
| Michael Fitzgerald | 1 |
| Soya Fujiwara | 1 |
| Koji Suzuki | 1 |
| Atsushi Kawata | 1 |
| Akito Fukuta | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Albirex Niigata Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.09
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21
Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or Albirex Niigata 69% + Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Albirex Niigata win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
68%
Sagan Tosu FC or Albirex Niigata
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.3%
0 – 1
10.9%
1 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.2%
0 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Albirex Niigata covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 19% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 21% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.