Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 24 Feb 2024 · 05:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Hiroki Kasahara

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Feb Albirex Niigata H 1–2 L
03 Dec Kawasaki Frontale H 0–1 L
25 Nov Kashiwa Reysol A 2–2 D
11 Nov Yokohama FC H 1–3 L
27 Oct Nagoya Grampus A 1–1 D
21 Oct Albirex Niigata A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Feb Sagan Tosu FC A 2–1 W
03 Dec Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–0 W
24 Nov Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–0 D
11 Nov FC Tōkyō H 0–0 D
28 Oct Kyōto Sanga FC A 1–0 W
21 Oct Sagan Tosu FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Sagan Tosu FC and Albirex Niigata is underway.
  • 5' Magnificent from Akito Fukuta! That is 6 goals in 279 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 10' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kaito Taniguchi, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sagan Tosu FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 31' Naoto Arai catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 31.
  • 36' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 41' Poor challenge from Eiji Miyamoto. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 46' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 48' Brilliant from the ! Kaito Taniguchi makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 45.
  • 53' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 54' A goal from the Japan international Naoto Arai! He fires home on 54 to make it 1-2!
  • 56' Cayman Togashi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ryonosuke Kabayama on 56 minute.
  • 61' The 30-year-old Wataru Harada has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 66' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Hiroki Akiyama has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 71' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 72' Fresh legs for Albirex Niigata! Danilo comes on to replace Eitaro Matsuda.
  • 73' The supporters are chanting for Katsunori Ueebisu. He replaces Yusuke Maruhashi on 73 minute.
  • 78' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 79' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Yuki Horigome exits the field as Vinicius Araujo enters on 79.
  • 84' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Soya Fujiwara suffering a number of foals already.
  • 89' Yoichi Naganuma has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Wataru Harada argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' Albirex Niigata make a change. Michael Fitzgerald trudges off to be replaced by Fumiya Hayakawa on 90 minutes.
  • It finishes all square. Sagan Tosu FC and Albirex Niigata share the spoils 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.09 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Albirex Niigata 69% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC32% Draw31% Albirex Niigata37%
Actual: Albirex Niigata win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
68%
Sagan Tosu FC or Albirex Niigata
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC23% Draw51% Albirex Niigata26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.3%
0 – 1
10.9%
1 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.2%
0 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Albirex Niigata covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 19% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 21% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.