Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Yokohama FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 11 Nov 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 10' Yuri
Yuki Horigome 14' 1–1
1–2 45+7' Caprini pen
1–3 89' Tomoki Kondo

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Yokohama FC — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Yokohama FC H 1–3 L
27 Oct Nagoya Grampus A 1–1 D
21 Oct Albirex Niigata A 1–1 D
30 Sep Kyōto Sanga FC H 3–2 W
23 Sep FC Tōkyō A 2–3 L
15 Sep Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Sagan Tosu FC A 3–1 W
28 Oct Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 1–2 L
21 Oct FC Tōkyō H 1–0 W
29 Sep Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–1 D
23 Sep Albirex Niigata A 1–3 L
17 Sep Kashiwa Reysol H 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Sagan Tosu FC and Yokohama FC get this one started.
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' Yuri makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Yokohama FC are in front.
  • 14' What a moment for Yuki Horigome! That strike on 14 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 19' It looks like no one’s ball. Yokohama FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 24' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Yokohama FC that had 143 games and scored 139 goals.
  • 29' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Yokohama FC's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 34' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Yokohama FC backline.
  • 35' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Cayman Togashi is hanging Yuji Ono on the field on 35 minute.
  • 40' Tomoki Kondo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sagan Tosu FC tonight.
  • 45' The referee shows Sagan Tosu FC player a card on 45.
  • 46' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Taichi Kikuchi departs to be replaced by Ryonosuke Kabayama.
  • 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 52' What composure from Caprini! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-2.
  • 57' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 60' A moment of madness from Ryonosuke Kabayama on 60 minutes earns him a card. Sagan Tosu FC will be frustrated.
  • 61' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Yuto Iwasaki exits the field as Ayumu Yokoyama enters on 61.
  • 66' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 67' Yokohama FC ring the changes. Marcelo Ryan has done his job and it is now time for Sho Ito to step up.
  • 72' Yokohama FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tomoki Kondo is hanging Towa Yamane on the field on 72 minute.
  • 77' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Shuhei Yomoda will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 81' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Naoyuki Fujita is hanging Yuki Horigome on the field on 81 minute.
  • 83' Hirotaka Mita is replacing Caprini for the Yokohama FC side.
  • 84' Sho Ito picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 89' Tomoki Kondo doubles the advantage! 1-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • The final score is 1-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.48 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 Yokohama FC xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Yokohama FC 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC39% Draw27% Yokohama FC34%
Actual: Yokohama FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Yokohama FC
61%
Sagan Tosu FC or Yokohama FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC28% Draw45% Yokohama FC27%
Actual: Yokohama FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.9%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 1
7%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
Actual
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Yokohama FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 18% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Yokohama FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.