FC Tōkyō vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tōkyō vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Feb | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Dec | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Nov | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Nov | Albirex Niigata | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Feb | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Dec | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Nov | Gamba Osaka | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Nov | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Oct | FC Tōkyō | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Tōkyō | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #4 |
| 37 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 55 | Scored | 41 |
| 42 | Conceded | 33 |
| +13 | GD | +8 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 72% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
85%
Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
FC Tōkyō this season
62%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
7/1
46-60
8/1
61-75
10/–
76+
7/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Tōkyō
| Motoki Nagakura | 8 G | 3 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 5 G | 2 A |
| Dani Gomez | 5 G | |
| Soma Anzai | 5 G | |
| Teruhito Nakagawa | 4 G | 2 A |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 10 G | 4 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 3 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 3 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Ajinomoto Stadium will turn into a battlefield for FC Tokyo and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Keita Endo made 315 appearances and scored 30 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 15' FC Tokyo are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 18' Keita Endo was booked on 18.
- 23' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Skibbe will be considering his options from the bench.
- 28' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 28 minutes.
- 33' The 37-year-old Sho Sasaki has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 38' Kashif Bangunagande has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 43' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is showing some good football. However, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 48' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 53' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Tokyo side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 58' Yuki Ohashi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 42 goals in his last 418 appearances.
- 63' With 0 assists to his name this season, Makoto Mitsuta is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Tokyo.
- 68' Over 68 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 69' What composure from Yuki Ohashi! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 70' FC Tokyo make a change. Keita Endo trudges off to be replaced by Jaja Silva on 70 minutes.
- 71' Against the run of play, Ryotaro Araki has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 76' Mutsuki Kato has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
- 81' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 82' Keigo Higashi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Riki Harakawa on 82 minute.
- 87' Controversy at the stadium! Hayato Araki argues furiously but the card stands.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
FC Tōkyō Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 49
- 9
- 40
- 22
- 39
- 13
- 71
- 44
- 7
Bench
- 10
- 99
- 37
- 4
- 41
- 70
- 33
Coach
Peter Cklamovski
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 1
- 8
- 24
- 20
- 77
- 33
- 4
- 11
- 15
- 51
Bench
- 17
- 22
- 7
- 3
- 14
- 16
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Oliveira | 5 |
| Tolgay Arslan | 3 |
| Adailton | 3 |
| Tsukasa Morishima | 3 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 2 |
| Diego Oliveira | 2 |
| Hayato Araki | 2 |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Tōkyō Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-03-02
FC Tōkyō
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-02-23
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
Urawa Red Diamonds
W
2023-12-03
Avispa Fukuoka
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-11-25
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–0
Gamba Osaka
W
2023-11-11
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
0–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2023-10-28
FC Tōkyō
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.05
FC Tōkyō xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
FC Tōkyō or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 76% + Over 2.5 goals 74%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.91
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
FC Tōkyō or Draw
65%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
59%
FC Tōkyō or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 2
4.7%
2 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.3%
1 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
3.7%
0 – 2
3.6%
0 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Tōkyō
| Handicap | FC Tōkyō covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 13% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 18% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 16% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.