FC Tōkyō vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tōkyō vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Feb | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Dec | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Nov | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Nov | Albirex Niigata | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Feb | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Dec | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Nov | Gamba Osaka | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Nov | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Oct | FC Tōkyō | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Tōkyō | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #4 |
| 37 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 55 | Scored | 41 |
| 42 | Conceded | 33 |
| +13 | GD | +8 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 72% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
FC Tōkyō this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
8/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
4/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' FC Tōkyō have kicked off against Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Tōkyō and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 18' It’s a booking for FC Tokyo player. Keita Endo gets a card.
- 23' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 28' Sho Sasaki has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 33' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 38' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 43' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 48' Shuto Nakano has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 335 appearances.
- 53' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hayato Araki made 335 appearances and scored 21 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 58' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 58 minutes.
- 63' The travelling Sanfrecce Hiroshima supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 68' Teruhito Nakagawa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 14 Yellow cards this season.
- 69' Yuki Ohashi does the damage! The net is bulging and Sanfrecce Hiroshima surge ahead!
- 70' Jaja Silva gets the nod from FC Tokyo. He replaces Keita Endo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 71' Ryotaro Araki makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and FC Tokyo are in front.
- 76' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 76.
- 81' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 82' Another change for FC Tokyo made on 82 minute. Riki Harakawa leaves to be changed by Keigo Higashi.
- 87' It’s a booking for Sanfrecce Hiroshima player. Hayato Araki gets a card.
- The final score is 1-1.
Lineups
FC Tōkyō Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 49
- 9
- 40
- 22
- 39
- 13
- 71
- 44
- 7
Bench
- 10
- 99
- 37
- 4
- 41
- 70
- 33
Coach
Peter Cklamovski
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 1
- 8
- 24
- 20
- 77
- 33
- 4
- 11
- 15
- 51
Bench
- 17
- 22
- 7
- 3
- 14
- 16
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Oliveira | 5 |
| Tsukasa Morishima | 3 |
| Tolgay Arslan | 3 |
| Adailton | 3 |
| Shuto Abe | 2 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 2 |
| Diego Oliveira | 2 |
| Hayato Araki | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Tōkyō Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-03-02
FC Tōkyō
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-02-23
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
Urawa Red Diamonds
W
2023-12-03
Avispa Fukuoka
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-11-25
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–0
Gamba Osaka
W
2023-11-11
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
0–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2023-10-28
FC Tōkyō
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.05
FC Tōkyō xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
FC Tōkyō or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 76% + Over 2.5 goals 74%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.91
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
FC Tōkyō or Draw
65%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
59%
FC Tōkyō or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 2
4.7%
2 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.3%
1 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
3.7%
0 – 2
3.6%
0 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Tōkyō
| Handicap | FC Tōkyō covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 13% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 18% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 16% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

