Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 2 Mar 2024 · 05:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 4–0 W
24 Feb Albirex Niigata H 1–2 L
03 Dec Kawasaki Frontale H 0–1 L
25 Nov Kashiwa Reysol A 2–2 D
11 Nov Yokohama FC H 1–3 L
27 Oct Nagoya Grampus A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Sagan Tosu FC A 0–4 L
24 Feb Avispa Fukuoka A 0–0 D
03 Dec Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–2 L
25 Nov FC Tōkyō A 3–1 W
11 Nov Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–0 D
28 Oct Yokohama FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Ekimae Real Estate Stadium that hosts another battle between Sagan Tosu FC and Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' It’s high time Kenta Kawai made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 14' Marcelo Ryan puts Sagan Tosu FC on the lead.
  • 19' The referee calls foul for Toya Nakamura. He receives a card.
  • 24' Yuki Horigome has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 29' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Toya Nakamura suffering a number of foals already.
  • 34' Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 39' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Musashi Suzuki made 188 appearances and scored 56 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 44' Supporters expect more eagerness from Wataru Harada, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 49' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo that had 381 games and scored 371 goals.
  • 54' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 54.
  • 57' That looks like a foul for a card for Toya Nakamura.
  • 57' Another change for Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo made on 57 minute. Tatsuya Hasegawa leaves to be changed by Musashi Suzuki.
  • 62' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 64' GOAL! Vinicius Araujo scores on 64.
  • 69' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Marcelo Ryan departs to be replaced by Cayman Togashi.
  • 74' Ayumu Yokoyama needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 79' It looks like no one’s ball. Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 81' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Yuki Horigome is replaced by Taichi Kikuchi on 81 minute.
  • 83' What a strike from Daihachi Okamura! The score is 2-1.
  • 86' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kentaro Moriya is hanging Akito Fukuta on the field on 86 minute.
  • 90' The referee shows Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo player a card on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.74 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC54% Draw25% Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo21%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
46%
Sagan Tosu FC or Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC38% Draw45% Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo17%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
10.6%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.5%
3 – 0
5.6%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.5%
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 17% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 23% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
38%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.