Sagan Tosu FC vs Kawasaki Frontale, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Kawasaki Frontale — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Kawasaki Frontale 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Nov | Yokohama FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Oct | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Sep | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Nov | Kashima Antlers | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Nov | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 29 Oct | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Oct | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 4–2 | W |
| 29 Sep | Albirex Niigata | H | 2–3 | L |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
8%
Clean Sheets
Kawasaki Frontale this season
Kawasaki Frontale this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kawasaki Frontale
0-15
5/2
16-30
–/3
31-45
8/5
46-60
5/5
61-75
4/6
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kawasaki Frontale
| Marcinho | 8 G | 3 A |
| Yasuto Wakizaka | 4 G | 4 A |
| Tatsuya Ito | 3 G | 3 A |
| Pedro Romano | 3 G | |
| Lazar Romanic | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Sagan Tosu FC have kicked off against Kawasaki Frontale. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Kento Tachibanada has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' Shin Yamada is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kawasaki Frontale so far.
- 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Kawasaki Frontale are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 25' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 45' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Il-kyu Park suffering a number of foals already.
- 50' The energy levels are beginning to show. Toru Oniki might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 55' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 59' Fresh legs for Kawasaki Frontale! Tatsuki Seko comes on to replace Yusuke Segawa.
- 60' Poor challenge from Wataru Harada. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 65' Yuto Iwasaki has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 67' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Kohei Tezuka is replaced by Jun Nishikawa on 67 minute.
- 71' Another substitution for Kawasaki Frontale to replace Daiya Tono by Akihiro Ienaga on 71 minute.
- 73' Ayumu Yokoyama gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Yuto Iwasaki and will look to change the dynamic.
- 78' The 35-year-old Kyohei Noborizato has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 81' A tactical swap from Kawasaki Frontale — Takuma Ominami on, Jesiel off on 81 minutes.
- 85' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Akito Fukuta is replaced by Toshio Shimakawa.
- 87' Goal! Shota Hino scores his 1 goal in 279 matches.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for Sagan Tosu FC and Kawasaki Frontale (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 22
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Toshio Shimakawa 85'
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↓ Shota Hino 73'
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Jun Nishikawa 67'
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 73'
- 24
- 71
- 23
- 42
- 2
- 5
Bench
-
4
Toshio Shimakawa ↑ 85'
-
18
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 67'
-
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 85'
- 9
- 31
-
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 73'
-
38
Shota Hino ↑ 73'
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Kawasaki Frontale Lineups
4-1-2-3Starting XI
-
4
Jesiel ↓ Takuma Ominami 81'
-
11
Yu Kobayashi ↓ Shin Yamada 59'
- 2
- 14
-
30
Yusuke Segawa ↓ Tatsuki Seko 59'
- 13
- 31
- 33
-
17
Daiya Tono ↓ Akihiro Ienaga 71'
- 8
- 1
Bench
-
41
Akihiro Ienaga ↑ 71'
-
3
Takuma Ominami ↑ 81'
- 99
-
16
Tatsuki Seko ↑ 59'
-
18
Bafetimbi Gomis ↑ 81'
-
20
Shin Yamada ↑ 59'
- 29
Coach
Toru Oniki
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marcinho | 2 |
| Kei Chinen | 2 |
| Leandro Damiao | 2 |
| Ayumu Yokoyama | 2 |
| Akihiro Ienaga | 2 |
| Tojiro Kubo | 1 |
| Yu Kobayashi | 1 |
| Ryota Ohshima | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Kawasaki Frontale Form
2023-12-03
Sagan Tosu FC
0–1
Kawasaki Frontale
W
2023-11-24
Kawasaki Frontale
3–0
Kashima Antlers
W
2023-11-12
Kawasaki Frontale
3–3
Kyoto Sanga FC
D
2023-10-29
Kashiwa Reysol
1–1
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2023-10-20
Kawasaki Frontale
4–2
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2023-09-29
Kawasaki Frontale
2–3
Albirex Niigata
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.99
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27
Kawasaki Frontale xG
I would bet for:
Kawasaki Frontale or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kawasaki Frontale win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Kawasaki Frontale
71%
Sagan Tosu FC or Kawasaki Frontale
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
12.7%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.1%
0 – 2
8.1%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Kawasaki Frontale covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 17% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Kawasaki Frontale keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.