Sagan Tosu FC vs Kawasaki Frontale, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Kawasaki Frontale — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Kawasaki Frontale 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Nov | Yokohama FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Oct | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Sep | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Nov | Kashima Antlers | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Nov | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 29 Oct | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Oct | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 4–2 | W |
| 29 Sep | Albirex Niigata | H | 2–3 | L |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Kawasaki Frontale this season
Kawasaki Frontale this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kawasaki Frontale
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
4/2
61-75
1/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kawasaki Frontale
| Marcinho | 6 G | 1 A |
| Yasuto Wakizaka | 2 G | 3 A |
| Tatsuya Ito | 2 G | 1 A |
| Lazar Romanic | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Kawasaki Frontale get us underway at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- 5' Akito Fukuta, a Japan , has 8 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' Tatsuki Seko has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 15' Kawasaki Frontale come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 20' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Toru Oniki might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Bafetimbi Gomis suffering a number of foals already.
- 35' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Kawasaki Frontale are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 40' Takuma Ominami has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Kawasaki Frontale are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 50' Supporters expect more eagerness from Miki Yamane, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 55' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Kawasaki Frontale backline.
- 59' It is a substitution in Kawasaki Frontale team. Yusuke Segawa is replaced by Tatsuki Seko on 59 minute.
- 60' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Wataru Harada.
- 65' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 65.
- 67' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Kohei Tezuka departs to be replaced by Jun Nishikawa.
- 71' Fresh legs for Kawasaki Frontale! Akihiro Ienaga comes on to replace Daiya Tono.
- 73' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Yuto Iwasaki exits the field as Ayumu Yokoyama enters on 73.
- 78' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 81' Kawasaki Frontale ring the changes. Jesiel has done his job and it is now time for Takuma Ominami to step up.
- 85' The whistle greets Akito Fukuta as he departs to be replaced by Toshio Shimakawa.
- 87' Shota Hino does the damage! The net is bulging and Sagan Tosu FC surge ahead!
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Kawasaki Frontale to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 22
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Toshio Shimakawa 85'
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↓ Shota Hino 73'
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Jun Nishikawa 67'
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 73'
- 24
- 71
- 23
- 42
- 2
- 5
Bench
-
4
Toshio Shimakawa ↑ 85'
-
18
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 67'
-
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 85'
- 9
- 31
-
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 73'
-
38
Shota Hino ↑ 73'
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Kawasaki Frontale Lineups
4-1-2-3Starting XI
-
4
Jesiel ↓ Takuma Ominami 81'
-
11
Yu Kobayashi ↓ Shin Yamada 59'
- 2
- 14
-
30
Yusuke Segawa ↓ Tatsuki Seko 59'
- 13
- 31
- 33
-
17
Daiya Tono ↓ Akihiro Ienaga 71'
- 8
- 1
Bench
-
41
Akihiro Ienaga ↑ 71'
-
3
Takuma Ominami ↑ 81'
- 99
-
16
Tatsuki Seko ↑ 59'
-
18
Bafetimbi Gomis ↑ 81'
-
20
Shin Yamada ↑ 59'
- 29
Coach
Toru Oniki
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kei Chinen | 2 |
| Leandro Damiao | 2 |
| Ayumu Yokoyama | 2 |
| Akihiro Ienaga | 2 |
| Marcinho | 2 |
| Shin Yamada | 1 |
| Yasuto Wakizaka | 1 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Kawasaki Frontale Form
2023-12-03
Sagan Tosu FC
0–1
Kawasaki Frontale
W
2023-11-24
Kawasaki Frontale
3–0
Kashima Antlers
W
2023-11-12
Kawasaki Frontale
3–3
Kyōto Sanga FC
D
2023-10-29
Kashiwa Reysol
1–1
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2023-10-20
Kawasaki Frontale
4–2
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2023-09-29
Kawasaki Frontale
2–3
Albirex Niigata
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.99
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27
Kawasaki Frontale xG
I would bet for:
Kawasaki Frontale or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kawasaki Frontale win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Kawasaki Frontale
71%
Sagan Tosu FC or Kawasaki Frontale
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
12.7%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.1%
0 – 2
8.1%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Kawasaki Frontale covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 17% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Kawasaki Frontale keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

