Sagan Tosu FC vs Kawasaki Frontale, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Sagan Tosu FC

0 – 1

Full Time

Kawasaki Frontale

Sun 3 Dec 2023 · 05:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 87' Shota Hino og

Wataru Harada 60' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kawasaki Frontale — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Kawasaki Frontale 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.2 goals Kawasaki Frontale

Last 5 meetings

2023-12-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kawasaki Frontale 2023-05-07 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-08-31 Kawasaki Frontale 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-05-21 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Kawasaki Frontale 2021-11-07 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Kawasaki Frontale

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Dec	Kawasaki Frontale	H	0–1	L
25 Nov	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–2	D
11 Nov	Yokohama FC	H	1–3	L
27 Oct	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–1	D
21 Oct	Albirex Niigata	A	1–1	D
30 Sep	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	3–2	W

Kawasaki Frontale

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Dec	Sagan Tosu FC	A	1–0	W
24 Nov	Kashima Antlers	H	3–0	W
12 Nov	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	3–3	D
29 Oct	Kashiwa Reysol	A	1–1	D
20 Oct	Avispa Fukuoka	H	4–2	W
29 Sep	Albirex Niigata	H	2–3	L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

11% Clean Sheets
Kawasaki Frontale this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kawasaki Frontale

0-15

2/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/3

46-60

1/4

61-75

1/3

76+

7/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Sagan Tosu FC and Kawasaki Frontale get this one started.
5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
10' Bafetimbi Gomis has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 163 appearances.
15' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Akihiro Ienaga has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
20' So Kawahara needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 5 Yellow cards this season.
25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
35' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Kawasaki Frontale's compact 4-1-2-3.
40' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
45' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
50' Kosuke Yamazaki has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
55' The energy levels are beginning to show. Toru Oniki might look to freshen things up shortly.
59' Kawasaki Frontale make a change. Yusuke Segawa trudges off to be replaced by Tatsuki Seko on 59 minutes.
60' That looks like a foul for a card for Wataru Harada.
65' The 28-year-old Kento Tachibanada has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
67' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 67 minute. Kohei Tezuka leaves to be changed by Jun Nishikawa.
71' Time for substitution for Kawasaki Frontale. Daiya Tono is replaced by Akihiro Ienaga.
73' The crowd applauds Yuto Iwasaki as he leaves the pitch. Ayumu Yokoyama steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
78' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-1-2-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
81' The Kawasaki Frontale manager makes a substitution. Jesiel departs to be replaced by Takuma Ominami.
85' Toshio Shimakawa is replacing Akito Fukuta for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
87' Shota Hino is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
It finishes all square. Sagan Tosu FC and Kawasaki Frontale share the spoils 0-1.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

22
Cayman Togashi
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Toshio Shimakawa 85'
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↓ Shota Hino 73'
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Jun Nishikawa 67'
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 73'
24
Yoichi Naganuma
71
Il-kyu Park
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Ryonosuke Kabayama 85'
42
Wataru Harada
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
5
So Kawahara

Bench

4
Toshio Shimakawa ↑ 85'
18
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 67'
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 85'
9
Atsushi Kawata
31
Masahiro Okamoto
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 73'
38
Shota Hino ↑ 73'

Coach Kenta Kawai

Kawasaki Frontale Lineups

4-1-2-3

Starting XI

4
Jesiel ↓ Takuma Ominami 81'
11
Yu Kobayashi ↓ Shin Yamada 59'
2
Kyohei Noborizato
14
Yasuto Wakizaka ↓ Bafetimbi Gomis 81'
30
Yusuke Segawa ↓ Tatsuki Seko 59'
13
Miki Yamane
31
Kazuya Yamamura
33
Taisei Miyashiro
17
Daiya Tono ↓ Akihiro Ienaga 71'
8
Kento Tachibanada
1
Sung-ryong Jung

Bench

41
Akihiro Ienaga ↑ 71'
3
Takuma Ominami ↑ 81'
99
Naoto Kamifukumoto
16
Tatsuki Seko ↑ 59'
18
Bafetimbi Gomis ↑ 81'
20
Shin Yamada ↑ 59'
29
Kota Takai

Coach Toru Oniki

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Leandro Damiao	2
Ayumu Yokoyama	2
Akihiro Ienaga	2
Marcinho	2
Kei Chinen	2
Marcelo Ryan	1
Renzo Lopez	1
Atsushi Kawata	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-12-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kawasaki Frontale L 2023-11-25 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-11-11 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama FC L 2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-10-21 Albirex Niigata 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-09-30 Sagan Tosu FC 3–2 Kyoto Sanga FC W

Kawasaki Frontale Form

2023-12-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kawasaki Frontale W 2023-11-24 Kawasaki Frontale 3–0 Kashima Antlers W 2023-11-12 Kawasaki Frontale 3–3 Kyoto Sanga FC D 2023-10-29 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale D 2023-10-20 Kawasaki Frontale 4–2 Avispa Fukuoka W 2023-09-29 Kawasaki Frontale 2–3 Albirex Niigata L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

0.99 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.27 Kawasaki Frontale xG

I would bet for: Kawasaki Frontale or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw31% Kawasaki Frontale40%

Actual: Kawasaki Frontale win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes46% 0% No54%

Avg goals/match: 2.26

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	66%	34%
± 2.5	39%	61%
± 3.5	20%	80%
± 4.5	9%	91%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

59%

Draw or Kawasaki Frontale

71%

Sagan Tosu FC or Kawasaki Frontale

69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC20% Draw51% Kawasaki Frontale29%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.1%

0 – 0

12.7%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

9.1%

0 – 2

8.1%

1 – 2

8.1%

2 – 1

6.2%

2 – 0

4.9%

2 – 2

4.1%

1 – 3

3.5%

0 – 3

3.4%

3 – 1

2.1%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Kawasaki Frontale covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	17%	73%
-0.5	27%	—	73%
+0.5	59%	—	41%
+1	59%	22%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	12%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Kawasaki Frontale keeps clean sheet

38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.